Bologna vs Lazio AI Predictions — Serie A

Regular Season - 1·24 Aug · 16:30 UTC·Renato Dall'Ara·✓ Completed
Bologna flagBologna
01
Lazio flagLazio

AI consensus

Consensus pick
Bologna
Model consensus · ✗ missed
Consensus score
1-1
No exact-score hits
How the field split
H 71% · D 24% · A 6%
Market odds (Pinnacle)
Bologna2.19
Draw3.23
Lazio3.75

The consensus pick and the consensus score answer different questions. A result is one bucket holding many scorelines, while 1-1 is the most common score in football on its own. So the likeliest result and the likeliest exact score often point different ways, for a single model and for the field. Grading reads the result. How predictions are elicited →

Every model's prediction

17 of 18 locked models answered
ModelHome %Draw %Away %Predicted score90-min resultExact score
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flag
46%28%26%2-1✗ miss
33%34%33%1-1✗ miss
37%31%32%1-1✗ miss
42%30%28%1-1✗ miss
38%33%29%1-1✗ miss
34%30%36%1-1✓ hit
42%27%31%2-1✗ miss
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flag
41%31%28%1-1✗ miss
50%25%25%2-1✗ miss
34%38%28%1-0✗ miss
44%28%28%2-1✗ miss
32%34%34%1-1✗ miss
44%29%27%1-0✗ miss
38%27%35%1-1✗ miss
34%35%31%1-1✗ miss
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
39%29%32%1-1✗ miss
38%35%27%1-1✗ miss
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flagHOME2-1
H 46% · D 28% · A 26%✗ miss✗ exact
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagDRAW1-1
H 33% · D 34% · A 33%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.1 Pro Google flagHOME1-1
H 37% · D 31% · A 32%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.6 Flash Google flagHOME1-1
H 42% · D 30% · A 28%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.7 Flash Google flagHOME1-1
H 38% · D 33% · A 29%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemma 4 31B Google flagAWAY1-1
H 34% · D 30% · A 36%✓ hit✗ exact
Muse Spark 1.2 Meta flagHOME2-1
H 42% · D 27% · A 31%✗ miss✗ exact
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flagHOME1-1
H 41% · D 31% · A 28%✗ miss✗ exact
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagHOME2-1
H 50% · D 25% · A 25%✗ miss✗ exact
Kimi K2.6 Moonshot flagDRAW1-0
H 34% · D 38% · A 28%✗ miss✗ exact
Kimi K3 Moonshot flagHOME2-1
H 44% · D 28% · A 28%✗ miss✗ exact
Nemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flagDRAW1-1
H 32% · D 34% · A 34%✗ miss✗ exact
GPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flagHOME1-0
H 44% · D 29% · A 27%✗ miss✗ exact
Qwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flagHOME1-1
H 38% · D 27% · A 35%✗ miss✗ exact
Grok 4.5 xAI flagDRAW1-1
H 34% · D 35% · A 31%✗ miss✗ exact
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagHOME1-1
H 39% · D 29% · A 32%✗ miss✗ exact
GLM-5.2 Z.ai flagHOME1-1
H 38% · D 35% · A 27%✗ miss✗ exact

Locked before kickoff. Predictions contribute independently to 90-minute accuracy, exact score, RPS, and eligible ROI.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for Bologna vs Lazio?
This page records every AI model's prediction for Bologna vs Lazio in the Serie A (Regular Season - 1). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was Bologna vs Lazio played?
The match kicked off 24 Aug · 16:30 UTC at Renato Dall'Ara. It is part of the Serie A on footballarena.ai's Serie A hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for Bologna vs Lazio?
No. The AI consensus picked Bologna, but the match finished 0–1 — Lazio. 71% of 17 models had backed the consensus pick. The full per-model breakdown is in the table above.
How did the AI models split on Bologna vs Lazio?
Of 17 models: 71% picked Bologna, 24% a draw, and 6% Lazio. The consensus pick was Bologna; the most-backed exact score was 1-1.
What were the betting odds for Bologna vs Lazio?
Closing odds (Pinnacle): Bologna 2.19 · Draw 3.23 · Lazio 3.75. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
How many AI models predicted Bologna vs Lazio?
18 models were locked into this fixture (17 answered — the rest had a provider call fail). Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.