Bologna
Lazio| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic | 1–1 | H46%D29%A25% | Missed | Missed |
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–1 | H46%D28%A26% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H33%D34%A33% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle | 1–1 | H37%D31%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.6 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H42%D30%A28% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H38%D33%A29% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 1–1 | H34%D30%A36% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–1 | H42%D27%A31% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H41%D31%A28% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 2–1 | H50%D25%A25% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K2.6Moonshot | 1–0 | H34%D38%A28% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H44%D28%A28% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H32%D34%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–0 | H44%D29%A27% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H38%D27%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H34%D35%A31% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H39%D29%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H38%D35%A27% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Bologna have strong home form at the Dall'Ara and enter a new season as a solid mid-table-to-European contender, while Lazio face injury doubts including keeper Provedel; a tight, low-scoring contest is likely with a slight edge to the hosts.
Bologna have been consistently strong at the Dall'Ara and retain their core (Skorupski, Ferguson, Orsolini) while Lazio open a new era with an unsettled squad and injury doubts including Provedel. Opening-day uncertainty keeps the draw well in play, but the hosts' greater continuity gives them the edge.
Both sides start under new managers with unsettled form: Bologna had a poor pre-season and lost key players, while Lazio were beaten by Serie B Mantova in the Coppa Italia. With little between them, a low-scoring opening-day draw looks most likely.
Both sides enter the new season with revamped squads and potential absences in goal, making a tightly contested match likely. Bologna's strong home record at the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara should be enough to earn a point against a dangerous Lazio outfit.
Bologna hold home advantage at the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara for their Serie A season opener against a Lazio side missing starting goalkeeper Ivan Provedel and several squad players. A tightly contested opening-weekend battle between two top-half contenders makes a low-scoring draw or a narrow home victory the most probable outcomes.
Both sides enter the opening round with restructured squads, likely leading to a tactical and evenly matched encounter at the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara. Bologna's established home resilience should effectively counter Lazio's dynamic midfield quality, making a competitive draw the most probable outcome.
Both teams are entering new eras and starting the season with key absences in goal, particularly Lazio missing Provedel. Given the balanced nature of the predicted lineups and the typical caution of a Matchday 1 fixture, a draw is highly probable.
Bologna's home advantage at the Dall'Ara and availability of Skorupski contrasts with Lazio missing Provedel for Mandas, tilting a balanced, transitional Matchday 1 clash slightly to the hosts, though new-look attacks on both sides keep a draw very live.
Opening-day Serie A clash between two sides entering new eras; WhoScored previews a tightly contested affair, and both clubs face key absences (Bologna's Skorupski reportedly unavailable historically drops their win rate ~28%, while Lazio miss Provedel). Bologna's home advantage at the Dall'Ara gives a marginal edge, but transitional squads and missing key figures on both sides push the draw probability above baseline, with 1-1 the most plausible single scoreline.
Bologna’s defensive vulnerability without Skorupski and Lazio’s missing key figures (Provedel, captain) tilt the balance toward Bologna, especially at home. However, Lazio’s structured midfield and attacking trio ensure a competitive match.
Both clubs are under new management with overhauled squads and low confidence after disjointed pre-seasons, so a cagey draw is the most probable outcome. Bologna’s stronger attack and home advantage make a narrow home win the likeliest decisive scoreline.
Bologna's strong home record at the Dall'Ara and recent dominance in this fixture (including a 5-0 home win in March 2025) make them favorites, especially with Lazio missing first-choice keeper Provedel (Mandas deputizes) and integrating many new signings like Frattesi, Taylor and Dia. However, both clubs are in transitional seasons with reshaped squads for this matchday-1 opener, so the draw and a Lazio win remain very live possibilities.
Both sides miss their first-choice keepers in a season opener; Bologna's home edge is offset by a 28% win-rate drop without Skorupski, while Lazio's revamped attack (Frattesi, Dia, Zaccagni) keeps the visitors dangerous.
Bologna's home advantage and slightly stronger attacking lineup give them the edge, though Lazio have enough midfield and forward quality to keep this tight. Goalkeeper uncertainty and an opening-round setting increase the draw risk.
Serie A Matchday 1 opener between two evenly matched sides both entering new eras and potentially missing their first-choice goalkeepers (Skorupski for Bologna, Provedel for Lazio). Bologna's home advantage at the Dall'Ara and the addition of Dovbyk give them a marginal edge, but Lazio's quality midfield of Frattesi, Rovella, and Taylor with a dangerous front three of Noslin, Dia, and Zaccagni keeps this tightly balanced, making a low-scoring draw the most likely single scoreline.
Both sides start under new coaches with squad turnover, shaky pre-season/cup form and key absences, making a tight, low-confidence opener likely; recent H2H favours Lazio slightly but Bologna's home edge and mutual defensive questions point to a shared spoils.
Both teams are in transition under new coaches with mixed pre-season form, but Bologna's full squad availability and home advantage are offset by Lazio's strong recent H2H record at the Dall'Ara; Lazio's extensive injury list and low confidence make an away win harder to see, while a cagey opening-day draw is the most honest single outcome.
Both sides are under new management and in transition, with Bologna having lost key players (Lucumi, Freuler, Castro) and Lazio in deep crisis after a humiliating Coppa Italia exit to Serie B Mantova, multiple injuries (Romagnoli, Isaksen, Cataldi, Tavares), and the departures of Gila and Provedel. Bologna's home advantage and Lazio's greater turmoil give the hosts a slight edge, but neither side is confident and a cagey season opener makes a draw highly plausible.
BolognaLazio