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Atalanta vs Sassuolo — predictions and result

Atalanta
90-minute result2–1
Sassuolo
Regular Season - 1New Balance Arena

Predictions

18 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 4.8Anthropic2–0
H63%D22%A15%
CorrectMissed
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic2–0
H59%D24%A17%
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek2–1
H55%D24%A21%
CorrectExact
GoogleGemini 3.1 ProGoogle2–1
H63%D22%A15%
CorrectExact
GoogleGemini 3.6 FlashGoogle2–1
H62%D23%A15%
CorrectExact
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle2–0
H63%D23%A14%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemma 4 31BGoogle2–1
H58%D24%A18%
CorrectExact
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta2–1
H53%D26%A21%
CorrectExact
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax2–1
H55%D25%A20%
CorrectExact
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral2–1
H50%D28%A22%
CorrectExact
KimiKimi K2.6Moonshot2–1
H47%D28%A25%
CorrectExact
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–1
H54%D26%A20%
CorrectExact
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA2–1
H50%D28%A22%
CorrectExact
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI2–1
H58%D24%A18%
CorrectExact
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba2–1
H54%D24%A22%
CorrectExact
GrokGrok 4.5xAI2–1
H55%D25%A20%
CorrectExact
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H55%D24%A21%
CorrectExact
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai2–1
H55%D25%A20%
CorrectExact

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 4.8

Atalanta open at home as clear favorites against a weaker Sassuolo side, backed by their superior squad depth and attacking quality; while a season-opener carries some rust, home advantage and quality gap point to a comfortable Atalanta win.

Claude Opus 5

Atalanta open at home with clearly superior squad depth and quality (Scamacca, Zalewski, Samardzic, Ederson) despite a new coach and a reshaped back line missing Hien and Ahanor, while Sassuolo, though sharp after a 3-0 Coppa win, are a mid-table side who have struggled at Bergamo. Season-opening uncertainty and Atalanta's more controlled, lower-scoring recent approach keep the draw at a fair share.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Atalanta's strong Serie A opener record and superior home attacking depth outweigh a clunky first Sarri-ball outing, while Sassuolo's defensive absences and patchy pre-season point to a narrow home win despite their attacking threats.

Gemini 3.1 Pro

Atalanta enter the new season balancing domestic duties with European commitments, which could test their squad depth early on. While Sassuolo showed good form in the Coppa Italia and can threaten offensively, Atalanta's superior quality and home advantage should see them edge a competitive fixture.

Gemini 3.6 Flash

Atalanta begin their Serie A campaign under new manager Maurizio Sarri at home, where their superior attacking quality and squad depth give them a distinct edge. Although Sassuolo arrive with confidence following a 3-0 Coppa Italia win, Atalanta's formidable home record in Bergamo makes a narrow victory for La Dea the most probable outcome.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Atalanta boast superior individual quality and home advantage in Bergamo, positioning them to dictate tempo and control the match. Sassuolo possess attacking threat on the break but are vulnerable defensively against Atalanta's fluid forward line.

Gemma 4 31B

Atalanta enters as the stronger side despite a tactical shift under Juric and some defensive absences. Sassuolo has attacking quality with Berardi and Pinamonti, but Atalanta's home advantage and overall squad depth make them the likely victors in the season opener.

Muse Spark 1.2

Atalanta are still favourites at home with greater depth in attack (Scamacca, Raspadori, Samardzic) but are in transition under Juric to a more cautious system with key defensive absences (Hien, Ahanor) and sandwiched between European ties, while promoted Sassuolo arrive after a 3-0 Coppa win and carry real threat through Berardi, Lauriente and Pinamonti, making a high-scoring home win narrowly most likely.

MiniMax M3

Atalanta are clear favorites at home with superior squad quality, but Maurizio Sarri's tactical overhaul (abandoning the three-man defence) and defensive absences (Hien, Ahanor) introduce uncertainty, while Sassuolo possess genuine attacking threat through Berardi, Pinamonti and Laurienté. The Stats Zone preview flags Atalanta's 'inertia' under Sarri and the fixture falling between two European matches suggests possible rotation, making a narrow home win with both sides scoring the most likely outcome.

Mistral Large 3

Atalanta, under a new tactical system and with home advantage, are favorites, but Sassuolo's attacking depth and Atalanta's recent tactical shift to a more cautious approach increase the likelihood of a competitive match. Historical head-to-head results also show a tendency for closely contested games, justifying a significant draw probability.

Kimi K2.6

Atalanta are implementing Maurizio Sarri’s new system without defenders Isak Hien and Honest Ahanor following a laboured midweek European display, while Sassuolo enter after a 3-0 cup win with dangerous attackers Berardi and Pinamonti, pointing to a tight contest where the hosts’ superior attacking talent should just prevail.

Kimi K3

Atalanta open the season at home with the stronger squad, but new coach Sarri is still bedding in a reshaped 4-3-3 and defensive absences (Hien, Ahanor) plus a European-match schedule add vulnerability. Sassuolo arrive with genuine attacking threat (Berardi, Pinamonti, Laurienté), a 3-0 Coppa Italia win under their belt, and the last head-to-head finished 1-1 — enough to keep the draw and an upset live, but Atalanta's home edge makes a narrow home win the likeliest outcome.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Atalanta's home advantage under new manager Juric's cautious system faces Sassuolo's confident 3-0 cup win and potent attack (Berardi, Pinamonti, Laurienté); Atalanta's defensive absences (Hien, Ahanor) elevate draw and away probabilities.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Atalanta have the stronger overall squad and home advantage, with enough attacking quality to create multiple chances. However, their defensive absences and transition to a new system give Sassuolo's experienced front line a realistic chance of scoring.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Atalanta enter as clear favorites at home with superior squad depth (Scamacca, De Ketelaere, Lookman), but new manager Ivan Juric's shift to a cautious system and defensive absences (Hien, Ahanor) introduce uncertainty on opening day. Sassuolo arrive with match fitness from a 3-0 Coppa Italia win and dangerous attacking options (Berardi, Pinamonti, Laurienté), making a narrow Atalanta victory the most likely but not dominant outcome.

Grok 4.5

Atalanta enter as clear favorites at home on opening weekend with superior squad depth and attacking quality despite tactical transition under new management, while Sassuolo showed early Coppa promise but remain the weaker side overall; draws remain common in Serie A openers and H2H.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Atalanta are the stronger side at home with a deep squad featuring Scamacca, Samardzic, and Zalewski, but their shift to a more cautious style under new management and defensive absences (Hien, Ahanor) could keep Sassuolo in the game; the visitors showed sharp attacking form in their Coppa Italia win and possess dangerous forwards in Berardi, Pinamonti, and Laurienté.

GLM-5.2

Atalanta are clear favourites at home with a strong season-opener record (7 wins in last 8) and superior squad depth, but defensive injuries (Hien, Ahanor, Scalvini all out) and Sarri's still-bedding-in system after a clunky midweek European draw temper expectations. Sassuolo's poor pre-season under novice coach Aquilani and dreadful record in top-flight openers (3 straight losses, 0 goals) suggest an away upset is unlikely, though Berardi and Laurienté offer enough threat to find the net against a patched-up back line.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeAtalanta
1.54
DrawLevel at 90′
4.44
AwaySassuolo
6.16