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Atalanta vs Cagliari — predictions and result

Atalanta
90-minute result1–2
Cagliari
Regular Season - 4New Balance Arena

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic2–0
H61%D23%A16%
MissedMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek2–0
H58%D24%A18%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle2–0
H64%D22%A14%
MissedMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta2–1
H60%D24%A16%
MissedMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax2–1
H60%D22%A18%
MissedMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral2–1
H55%D25%A20%
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–0
H65%D21%A14%
MissedMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA2–1
H58%D23%A19%
MissedMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI2–0
H65%D21%A14%
MissedMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba2–1
H55%D24%A21%
MissedMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI2–0
H55%D25%A20%
MissedMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H58%D23%A19%
MissedMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai2–1
H60%D22%A18%
MissedMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Atalanta are markedly stronger at home with superior attacking quality and squad depth, while Cagliari are a low-scoring, defensively-oriented side who travel poorly to elite venues. A narrow Atalanta win with one or two goals is the most likely profile, with the draw the main alternative if Cagliari sit deep effectively.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Atalanta's strong home head-to-head record, deeper squad and Cagliari's defensive absences make them clear favourites, while Cagliari's solid start and Atalanta's late collapse at Roma keep a meaningful draw/away share.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Atalanta boast superior offensive quality and depth at home against a Cagliari side that typically struggles to create clear chances against top-half opposition.

Muse Spark 1.2

Atalanta are clear favourites at home with superior squad quality and attacking depth (De Ketelaere, Krstovic/Scamacca, Ederson) against a Cagliari side built for mid-table security, but Cagliari's ability to find the net suggests a competitive 2-1 rather than a clean-sheet rout.

MiniMax M3

Atalanta are the stronger side at home and manager Palladino boasts a dominant 4W-1D record against Cagliari across five prior meetings; previews favor an Atalanta win with both teams finding the net, making 2-1 the most likely scoreline.

Mistral Large 3

Atalanta are stronger in attack and defense, play in a more structured system, and have clearer motivation for European qualification, while Cagliari are focused on mid-table stability. The predicted lineups and tactical setups favor Atalanta to edge this match.

Kimi K3

Atalanta are clear favourites at home: their squad (Carnesecchi, Scalvini, Kolasinac, Ederson, de Roon, De Ketelaere, Zalewski, Krstovic) is markedly deeper than a Cagliari side built for mid-table/relegation security, and they have dominated this fixture historically. Cagliari can be organised under Pisacane, so a draw carries an honest chance, but Atalanta's superior attacking quality at the Gewiss should tell, likely with a clean sheet.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Atalanta's superior squad depth and home advantage against a Cagliari side likely battling relegation; both teams to score given Atalanta's attacking system and Cagliari's counter-attacking threat.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Atalanta have the stronger squad and greater attacking quality, while home advantage should amplify their control. Cagliari can stay competitive, but Atalanta are more likely to create and convert the better chances.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Atalanta are significantly stronger on paper, playing at home in Bergamo with European ambitions, and field a quality squad featuring De Ketelaere, Ederson, and Krstovic. Cagliari are a mid-table side fighting for security, and while they can trouble Atalanta on the break, the hosts' attacking depth and home advantage should prove decisive in a game where both teams are likely to score.

Grok 4.5

Atalanta hold home advantage and superior squad quality under Sarri after a strong start (WWL), while Cagliari's solid but low-scoring early form (WLW) and defensive injuries make an away upset unlikely; expect a controlled home win responding to the Roma loss.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Atalanta are a significantly stronger side with European pedigree and have a dominant H2H record under Palladino (4W 1D vs Cagliari); playing at home in early-season conditions further favours them. Cagliari are expected to compete but ultimately lack the quality to match Atalanta's attacking depth, though a goal for the visitors is plausible.

GLM-5.2

Atalanta are clear favourites at home with a stronger squad and coach Palladino's excellent record against Cagliari (4 wins, 1 draw in 5 meetings). Cagliari have enough attacking quality to find the net, but Atalanta's superior shot quality and home advantage should secure the win.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeAtalanta
1.63
DrawLevel at 90′
4.06
AwayCagliari
5.67