Atalanta
Bologna| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H44%D28%A28% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–0 | H49%D27%A24% | Correct | Exact |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H49%D27%A24% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–1 | H52%D26%A22% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 2–1 | H50%D26%A24% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 2–1 | H38%D30%A32% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H53%D25%A22% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H50%D25%A25% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H47%D28%A25% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 2–1 | H46%D26%A28% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 2–1 | H48%D27%A25% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–1 | H48%D25%A27% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–1 | H48%D27%A25% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Two well-matched sides who have traded tight results in recent seasons; Atalanta's home advantage and transition threat give them the edge, but Bologna's organised defence and set-piece quality make a low-scoring, tight game likely so early in the campaign.
Atalanta have started strongly under Sarri with back-to-back wins and are tough at the New Balance Arena, while Bologna lost their opener at home to Lazio and looked short of cutting edge. A tight, low-scoring home win is the most likely outcome.
Atalanta hold the attacking edge and home advantage at the Gewiss Stadium, giving them the upper hand against a well-organised Bologna side.
Atalanta's home advantage and attacking depth (Scamacca, Raspadori, Samardzic) meets a Bologna side on three consecutive defeats and with defensive absences, making Atalanta favourites in a close, transition-heavy game where Bologna's Orsolini/Ferguson can still threaten.
Atalanta hold home advantage and possess superior attacking depth with Scamacca, De Ketelaere, and Raspadori, while Bologna are depleted by the absence of first-choice goalkeeper Skorupski and the fitness concerns around Lucumi; however, Bologna's quality in midfield (Ferguson, Orsolini) and early-season unpredictability keep the match tight, justifying a meaningful draw probability.
Both teams are evenly matched historically and in recent form, with Atalanta's attacking prowess slightly edged by Bologna's resilience and home-away balance. The draw is a significant possibility, but Atalanta's home advantage and creative midfield tilt the scales marginally in their favor.
Atalanta are in strong early-season form (opening-day 2-1 win over Sassuolo plus a midweek Conference League qualifying win, four victories in their last five) and Sarri historically dominates Bologna, while the visitors arrive on three straight defeats including a goalless 0-1 opening loss to Lazio under new coach Tedesco. Bologna's decent underlying quality (56 points last season), a 1-0 win in the last head-to-head, and Atalanta's Thursday European trip justify honest draw and away probabilities, but the home side is the clear most likely winner.
Atalanta at home with a potent attack (Scamacca, De Ketelaere, Zalewski) face a Bologna side missing key players (Skorupski, Bernardeschi, Lucumi) and coming off three straight defeats; Atalanta's quick transitions should exploit Bologna's defensive vulnerabilities.
Atalanta’s home advantage and greater attacking depth make them slight favourites, but Bologna have enough midfield control and threat through Orsolini to keep this close. A draw remains a strong possibility between two well-matched sides.
Atalanta are strong at home with a potent attacking lineup featuring Scamacca, Raspadori, and Samardžić, and their quick transitions are expected to exploit Bologna's defensive vulnerabilities. Bologna come into this match on the back of three consecutive defeats, while Atalanta's coach holds a favorable head-to-head record against his Bologna counterpart, giving the home side a clear edge in an early-season fixture.
Atalanta typically start seasons strongly at home with high pressing and attacking depth under their system, edging a competitive Bologna side that is solid but often struggles away against top-half presses; early-season parity and Serie A draw rates support a tight contest most likely decided by one goal.
Atalanta are strong at home with a potent attack featuring Scamacca, De Ketelaere, and Samardžić, while Bologna are missing first-choice goalkeeper Skorupski and Bernardeschi. Early-season matchday 2 adds some uncertainty, but Atalanta's home advantage and deeper squad give them the edge.
Atalanta enter Matchday 2 in strong form under new boss Sarri with two consecutive wins including a European qualifier, while Bologna lost their opener to Lazio under new coach Tedesco. Atalanta's home advantage, superior early momentum, and Sarri's strong historical record against Bologna (11W-4D-4L) tip the balance, though the teams are closely matched in quality.
AtalantaBologna