AS Roma
Fiorentina| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic | 2–0 | H52%D27%A21% | Correct | Missed |
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–0 | H50%D27%A23% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–1 | H54%D25%A21% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle | 2–1 | H47%D27%A26% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.6 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H49%D27%A24% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H49%D28%A23% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 1–1 | H38%D32%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–0 | H47%D27%A26% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–0 | H44%D31%A25% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H40%D35%A25% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K2.6Moonshot | 1–1 | H35%D38%A27% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H50%D27%A23% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H38%D32%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–0 | H52%D27%A21% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H39%D29%A32% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H46%D27%A27% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–1 | H50%D25%A25% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–0 | H60%D23%A17% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Roma have a commanding home record under Gasperini (13 wins, 3 losses at the Olimpico last season) and a dominant recent head-to-head against Fiorentina (4-0 and 1-0 wins), while the Viola come off a turbulent campaign; a controlled home win is most likely though season-opener uncertainty keeps the draw honest.
Season-opening fixture at the Stadio Olimpico where Gasperini's Roma were exceptionally strong and defensively miserly last term, with Svilar behind a settled back three, while Fiorentina remain a work in progress and tend to grind out tight, low-scoring games. A narrow home win by a single goal is the most likely outcome, with a stalemate a very live alternative.
Roma's strong Stadio Olimpico record, superior continuity under Gasperini and a dominant recent H2H against Fiorentina make them clear favourites, though Fiorentina's improved late-2025/26 form and new signings give them a path to a goal or a draw.
Roma begin their campaign with a potent attacking lineup featuring Donyell Malen and Paulo Dybala. While Fiorentina ended last season in stable form and boast a solid midfield, Roma's home advantage at the Stadio Olimpico should give them the edge in a closely contested opener.
Roma hold home advantage at the Stadio Olimpico on opening day and boast impressive attacking firepower, though a well-drilled Fiorentina side should keep the contest tight.
Roma hold a clear home advantage at the Stadio Olimpico on opening day and possess the attacking depth to edge past a well-organized Fiorentina side.
Both teams enter the match in stable, hard-to-beat form, with Roma remaining unbeaten in five and Fiorentina unbeaten in six. Given the tactical setups and recent tendency for draws for both sides, a closely contested stalemate is the most likely outcome.
Roma at the Olimpico with Gasperini's 3-4-2-1 and depth from Malen, Dybala and Soule are narrow favourites, but Fiorentina's six-match unbeaten run (3W 3D) and recent 0-0 resilience suggest a tight, low-scoring game.
Roma hold home advantage at the Olimpico in this season opener with a strong attacking unit featuring Dybala, Malen and Castro under Gasperini's 3-4-2-1, but Fiorentina's excellent late-2025/26 form (3W-3D-0L) and defensive solidity under De Gea make this a tight contest likely decided by a single goal, with a meaningful draw probability given the cautious nature of early-season fixtures.
Both teams have shown solid defensive form recently, with Roma recording three draws in their last five matches and Fiorentina maintaining unbeaten streaks. The likelihood of a tightly contested match with a draw as the most probable outcome is high, though Roma's home advantage gives them a slight edge.
Roma have drawn three of their last five outings and Fiorentina are unbeaten in their last six league matches with three wins and three draws. With both sides proving tough to break down, a closely-fought stalemate is the most probable outcome at the Olimpico.
Roma open the season at the Olimpico under Gasperini with a settled 3-4-2-1 and attacking options like Malen, Dybala and Soulé, making them deserved home favorites. Fiorentina arrive in resilient form (unbeaten with multiple draws in recent league games) and are hard to break down, so the draw merits an honest share of probability.
Both sides enter the season opener unbeaten in recent form (Roma 2W-3D, Fiorentina 3W-3D) and boast strong attacking options (Dybala/Malen vs Kean/Gudmundsson); Roma's home advantage at the Olimpico is offset by Fiorentina's stability under De Gea, making a tight, low-scoring draw the single most likely outcome.
Roma's home advantage and stronger attacking options give them the edge, while Gasperini's 3-4-2-1 should provide defensive control. Fiorentina remain capable of making this a tight, low-scoring opener.
Roma are slight favorites at the Olimpico under Gasperini's structured 3-4-2-1, but both sides come in defensively solid and draw-prone (Roma's last five: D-D-W-W-D; Fiorentina unbeaten in six with three draws). Matchday 1 rust and two well-organized mid-table contenders point to a tight, low-scoring affair where a draw is highly plausible.
Opening-weekend Serie A fixture with no current form data; Roma at home under Gasperini’s structured 3-4-2-1 hold a modest edge through squad depth and Olimpico factor, yet Fiorentina’s solid recent stability and balanced 3-5-2 make a low-scoring draw the single most probable scoreline.
Roma boast a formidable home record under Gasperini (13 wins, 3 losses last season) and have won their last two home meetings against Fiorentina without conceding, including a 4-0 demolition in May; Fiorentina's narrow defensive fullbacks are vulnerable to Malen's width, though opening-day unpredictability and Roma's incomplete squad preparation temper the margin.
Roma finished 3rd last season under Gasperini, are unbeaten in their last 7 league matches, and have not lost to Fiorentina at the Olimpico since 2018 — including a 4-0 win in May. Fiorentina have undergone a massive squad overhaul with a new coach and 6+ new starters, making them vulnerable against a settled, attacking Roma side at home.
AS RomaFiorentina