AS Roma
Atalanta| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–0 | H39%D29%A32% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H36%D29%A35% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H42%D28%A30% | Correct | Exact |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–0 | H42%D27%A31% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 2–1 | H42%D28%A30% | Correct | Exact |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 2–1 | H40%D30%A30% | Correct | Exact |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H45%D27%A28% | Correct | Exact |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H40%D30%A30% | Correct | Exact |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H39%D29%A32% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H37%D29%A34% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 2–1 | H46%D27%A27% | Correct | Exact |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H39%D28%A33% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H37%D31%A32% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
A tight, low-scoring meeting is likely: Roma are compact and hard to beat at the Olimpico with Svilar behind a well-drilled back line and Malen in scoring form, while Atalanta's vertical counter-attacking keeps them dangerous in an emotionally charged reunion with Gasperini. Small home edge, but the draw is a genuine live outcome.
A tight, low-scoring clash is likely: Roma have home advantage and Malen in form, but Atalanta's superior recent defensive rating and Roma's inconsistency make this close to a coin flip, with a share of the spoils probable.
Roma hold home advantage at the Stadio Olimpico and boast strong attacking momentum led by Donyell Malen, giving them a slight edge in what promises to be a tightly contested tactical encounter.
Roma have home advantage and momentum from Malen's hat-trick in the 3-0 win over Pisa with Gasperini facing his former club, but Atalanta's stronger defensive rating and quick counters make this razor-thin and likely low-scoring.
Roma hold a slight edge at the Stadio Olimpico thanks to Donyell Malen's scintillating form (10 league goals, recent hat-trick vs Pisa) and the tactical familiarity of manager Gasperini, who knows Atalanta inside-out, but Atalanta's stronger defensive rating, quick counter-attacking threat, and Roma's inconsistent recent Serie A form (3L, 2W in last five) keep this razor-thin with a draw a genuine possibility.
AS Roma holds a historical edge over Atalanta and enters the match with strong individual form, particularly Donyell Malen, but Atalanta's tactical discipline and recent defensive solidity make this a tightly contested fixture. The draw is a genuine possibility, but Roma's home advantage and attacking prowess slightly favor them.
Both sides arrive with perfect six-point starts, but Roma's back-to-back 4-0 wins under Gasperini — with Malen (19 goals in 20 Serie A games) and Dybala purring — plus home advantage make them slight favourites. However, Atalanta know Gasperini's methods intimately, have conceded just once under Sarri, and have dominated this fixture historically (Roma have won only one of their last 12 home league games vs La Dea), so the draw and away win retain substantial probability.
Roma at home with Malen in scintillating form (recent hat-trick) and historical H2H edge, but Atalanta's stronger defensive metrics and Gasperini's tactical familiarity make this a tight contest where a draw is very plausible.
Roma’s home advantage and Malen-led attack give them a narrow edge, but their aggressive wing-back approach could leave space for Atalanta’s counters. With little separating the teams defensively, a close draw is the likeliest scoreline.
Gasperini's intimate knowledge of Roma's structure neutralizes their home advantage, and Atalanta's superior defensive form suggests a tightly contested, low-scoring affair. Roma's momentum from Malen's hat-trick and home support keeps them slight favorites, but the tactical chess match and both sides' defensive solidity point to a narrow draw as the most likely single outcome.
Roma's perfect start with two 4-0 wins and Malen's five goals give them attacking edge and home momentum under Gasperini, but Atalanta's defensive solidity (one goal conceded) under Sarri plus strong recent H2H dominance make a tight contest likely rather than a rout.
Roma hold a slight historical edge (5W-2D-3L in 10 meetings) and Malen is in superb form, but their inconsistent recent run (2W-3L in last 5) and Atalanta's superior defensive rating make this an extremely tight contest where a low-scoring draw is the single most likely outcome.
Roma hold a slight historical edge and home advantage with Malen in scintillating form, but Atalanta's stronger defensive rating and Gasperini's intimate knowledge of his former club make the margins razor-thin, pointing toward a tightly contested draw.
AS RomaAtalanta