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AC Milan vs Lecce — predictions and result

AC Milan
90-minute result3–0
Lecce
Regular Season - 5San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza

Predictions

12 published · 1 missing
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic2–0
H73%D18%A9%
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek2–0
H65%D21%A14%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle2–0
H70%D19%A11%
CorrectMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta2–0
H68%D21%A11%
CorrectMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax2–0
H73%D17%A10%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–0
H70%D19%A11%
CorrectMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA2–0
H65%D25%A10%
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI2–0
H72%D19%A9%
CorrectMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba2–0
H68%D19%A13%
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI2–0
H62%D23%A15%
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–0
H68%D20%A12%
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai2–0
H70%D19%A11%
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Milan have a large squad-quality edge at San Siro and a dominant recent record against Lecce (four straight home wins without conceding), while Di Francesco's side are missing several players and set up to defend deep. A midweek European defeat and Lecce's low-block resilience keep some draw/low-scoring risk in play.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

AC Milan's strong home record in this fixture (four straight home wins by 9-0 aggregate, Lecce winless since 2006) and Lecce's several key absences point to a comfortable Rossoneri victory. Lecce have also failed to score in four of the last five meetings, making a home clean sheet the likeliest outcome.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

AC Milan boast superior individual quality and a dominant head-to-head record against Lecce at San Siro. With Lecce dealing with several key absences, the Rossoneri are well-positioned to control the match and secure a comfortable victory.

Muse Spark 1.2

Milan have won four straight home games vs Lecce 9-0 aggregate and Lecce are winless in this fixture since 2006 (scoreless in 4 of last 5), with Milan at full strength (Modric, Rabiot, Pulisic behind Ramos) against a depleted Lecce side relying on Falcone, outweighing Milan's midweek 0-2 loss to Benfica.

MiniMax M3

Milan boast an exceptional home record against Lecce, winning the last four meetings at San Siro by an aggregate 9-0, with Lecce's last league win over the Rossoneri dating back to 2006. Milan have a vastly superior squad (Modric, Pulisic, Ramos) and are motivated to bounce back from their midweek Europa League loss to Benfica, while Lecce arrive with several key absentees and a defensive unit that historically struggles to contain Milan at home.

Kimi K3

Milan have won their last four home meetings with Lecce by a 9-0 aggregate, and Lecce haven't beaten the Rossoneri in Serie A since 2006 while failing to score in four of the last five encounters. Milan arrive with a full-strength squad under Amorim (Pulisic, Modric, Ramos) seeking redemption after a midweek European loss, while Di Francesco's Lecce are missing multiple key players, making a comfortable home win the clear most likely outcome.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

AC Milan have won their last four home meetings with Lecce by an aggregate 9-0 and field a near-full-strength XI including Pulisic, Modrić and Ramos, while Lecce are missing several key players and have not beaten Milan in Serie A since 2006; Milan's midweek Europa League loss may slightly temper the margin.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Milan’s stronger squad and excellent home record against Lecce make them clear favourites, with Lecce scoreless in four of the last five meetings. Milan’s midweek European defeat adds some uncertainty, but the visitors’ roster issues further tilt the matchup toward the hosts.

Qwen3.7 Plus

AC Milan are overwhelming favorites at home, having won their last four home meetings against Lecce by a combined 9-0 while Lecce haven't beaten them since 2006. Milan have a full squad available under Amorim and should bounce back from their midweek Europa League defeat, while Lecce face multiple absentees and have failed to score in four of the last five meetings.

Grok 4.5

Milan dominate historically at home against Lecce (last four H2H home wins by 9-0 aggregate, Lecce winless since 2006 and often goalless). Despite a midweek Europa setback, Amorim's full-strength side should control a resilient but limited Lecce outfit early in the season.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

AC Milan boast an exceptional home record against Lecce (9-0 aggregate across the last four San Siro meetings, no Lecce win since 2006) and field a quality-laden squad including Modric, Pulisic, and Ramos, while Lecce face multiple injury absences and a significant quality gap. Milan's midweek Europa League loss to Benfica adds motivation for a domestic rebound, though the 3-4-2-1 system and Modric's control should limit any vulnerability.

GLM-5.2

AC Milan are at full strength under Amorim with a strong 3-4-2-1 featuring Modric, Pulisic, and Ramos, while Lecce travel with multiple key players ruled out and a historically dire record at San Siro (no win since 2006, 0-9 aggregate across the last four visits). The quality gap and Lecce's absentee crisis make a comfortable home win the most likely outcome.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeAC Milan
1.26
DrawLevel at 90′
6.19
AwayLecce
11.80