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AC Milan vs Atalanta — predictions and result

AC Milan
90-minute result3–2
Atalanta
Regular Season - 7San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic1–0
H43%D28%A29%
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek2–1
H50%D26%A24%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle2–1
H48%D27%A25%
CorrectMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta2–1
H50%D26%A24%
CorrectMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax2–1
H56%D25%A19%
CorrectMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral2–1
H45%D30%A25%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–1
H52%D25%A23%
CorrectMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA2–1
H52%D26%A22%
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI2–1
H48%D27%A25%
CorrectMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba2–1
H47%D27%A26%
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI2–1
H48%D26%A26%
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H45%D26%A29%
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai2–1
H48%D27%A25%
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Milan carry momentum from a 4-0 Europa League rout and strong recent home form at San Siro, while Atalanta travel with several defensive absences and have been less convincing (9 pts to Milan's 12). Both sides prioritise control, so a tight, low-scoring game with a narrow home edge is most likely.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Milan's San Siro momentum and deeper attacking options should edge an Atalanta side missing several defensive regulars, but Atalanta's attacking quality keeps the match close.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

AC Milan carry strong momentum and home advantage into this clash, where Atalanta's defensive absences are likely to be exploited by the Rossoneri's potent attack.

Muse Spark 1.2

Milan's momentum from 4-0 at Salzburg and 3-0 vs Lecce plus San Siro home advantage faces an Atalanta side missing several defenders, making hosts narrow favourites in an open game where both attacks should score.

MiniMax M3

AC Milan are building momentum at San Siro with a third straight home Serie A win expected, bolstered by Atalanta's defensive absences. Atalanta still carry enough attacking threat (De Ketelaere, Krstovic) to grab a goal, but Milan's superior home form and Atalanta's vulnerabilities on the road point to a narrow Rossoneri win.

Mistral Large 3

AC Milan enter the match with momentum from recent performances and home advantage at San Siro, while Atalanta's defensive vulnerabilities and absences could hinder their chances. However, Atalanta's attacking threat and Milan's inconsistent form keep the draw probability high.

Kimi K3

Milan are building real momentum under Amorim (3-0 vs Lecce, 4-0 at Salzburg) and are making San Siro a fortress again, while Atalanta arrive with multiple defensive absentees that leave them exposed to Gimenez, Pulisic and Leão. Atalanta still carry enough attacking threat through De Ketelaere and Krstovic — and have historically troubled Milan — so a competitive match with both sides scoring and a meaningful draw chance is expected.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

AC Milan enter on strong momentum after a 4-0 Europa League win and are building a fortress at San Siro under Amorim's 4-3-3, while Atalanta carry attacking threat but face key defensive absences that leave them vulnerable to Milan's forward line led by Giménez and Pulisic.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Milan have home advantage and improving attacking momentum, while Atalanta's defensive absences increase their vulnerability. Atalanta still carry enough attacking quality to score and keep the contest close.

Qwen3.7 Plus

AC Milan are at home with 12 points and fresh momentum from a dominant Europa League win, while Atalanta sit on 9 points and face key defensive absences. Milan's attacking trio of Gimenez, Pulisic, and Leão should exploit Atalanta's vulnerable back line, though Gasperini's side retain enough quality to threaten, making a narrow home win the most likely outcome.

Grok 4.5

Milan sit higher in the table with stronger recent form and home momentum at San Siro, while Atalanta's defensive absences leave them vulnerable despite attacking threat; a tight home win is the modal outcome in a competitive Serie A clash.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Milan are building momentum at San Siro with convincing recent home wins (3-0 vs Lecce, 4-0 vs Salzburg) and are exploiting wide areas effectively under Amorim's 4-3-3, while Atalanta carry attacking threat through De Ketelaere, Samardzic, and Krstovic but have significant defensive absences that leave them vulnerable on the road.

GLM-5.2

Milan are at home with strong momentum from a 4-0 Europa League win and are seeking a third straight Serie A home victory, while Atalanta contend with several defensive absences. However, Atalanta's attacking quality keeps this competitive, making a narrow Milan win the most likely outcome.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeAC Milan
1.82
DrawLevel at 90′
3.79
AwayAtalanta
4.49