AI Consensus Odds — FIFA World Cup 2026

Tournament probabilities aggregated from frontier AI models. Updated daily.

Win — Lift the trophy

12 models · Source: Track 1

TeamProbabilityDecimal Odds
France46.7%2.14x
Brazil19.3%5.17x
Spain16.9%5.91x
Argentina13.7%7.27x
England3.3%30x
Algeria0%
Australia0%
Austria0%

Reach Final — Play the final

12 models · Source: Track 1

TeamProbabilityDecimal Odds
France83.3%1.2x
Argentina41.7%2.4x
Spain33.3%3x
Brazil25%4x
England16.7%6x
Algeria0%
Australia0%
Austria0%

Reach Semis — Make the last four

12 models · Source: Track 1

TeamProbabilityDecimal Odds
France100%1x
Argentina83.3%1.2x
Spain83.3%1.2x
England66.7%1.5x
Brazil50%2x
Germany8.3%12x
Portugal8.3%12x
Algeria0%

Out of Group — Reach Round of 32

12 models · Source: Track 2

TeamProbabilityDecimal Odds
Argentina100%1x
Belgium100%1x
Brazil100%1x
Canada100%1x
Colombia100%1x
Czech Republic100%1x
England100%1x
France100%1x

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