Wales
Denmark| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H31%D27%A42% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H31%D27%A42% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H31%D30%A39% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–2 | H32%D28%A40% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H33%D28%A39% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–2 | H25%D30%A45% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–2 | H32%D27%A41% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–2 | H30%D30%A40% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H27%D29%A44% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H28%D28%A44% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–2 | H29%D28%A43% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–2 | H28%D27%A45% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H24%D31%A45% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Denmark have the stronger squad depth (Højlund, Højbjerg, Hjulmand, Damsgaard) and already beat Wales 2-0 in Copenhagen earlier in the group, but Cardiff is a difficult venue and Bellamy's side have momentum after coming from behind to beat Norway. Expect a tight, low-scoring game where a draw is a very live outcome.
Denmark's superior squad and 2-0 win over Wales last week make them narrow favourites, but Wales' home win over Norway and Denmark's leaky defence (seven goals conceded in three group games) keep this close, with 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline.
Wales have renewed momentum under Craig Bellamy following a comeback win over Norway, but Denmark possess greater midfield control and attacking depth, making a closely contested draw the most likely outcome in Cardiff.
Wales bring home advantage and momentum from their comeback 2-1 win over Norway, but Denmark's superior squad depth and in-form Rasmus Højlund give them a slight edge despite conceding three to Norway last time out, pointing to a tight, low-scoring away win.
Denmark possess the stronger individual quality on paper (Højlund, Højbjerg, Damsgaard) and have generally outperformed Wales at this level, but Wales' home advantage under Craig Bellamy, combined with their encouraging 2-1 comeback win over Norway, keeps this competitive. A tight, low-scoring contest with Denmark slight favorites and a share of the spoils the most plausible single scoreline.
Denmark possess greater squad depth, attacking quality, and recent competitive resilience, while Wales are improving under Craig Bellamy but remain vulnerable defensively, especially against a clinical forward line like Denmark's. The draw is a significant possibility given Wales' home advantage and recent form, but Denmark are the more likely winners.
Denmark possess the stronger squad on paper — Højlund in form up front with Højbjerg, Hjulmand and Damsgaard behind him — and historically have the edge in this matchup, though absences of Dolberg and Osula trim their attacking depth. Wales are resurgent under Bellamy (a comeback 2-1 home win over Norway) and Cardiff home advantage plus Denmark's leaky defense in Oslo make this tight, so the draw carries an honest share of the probability.
Denmark's superior squad depth and Rasmus Højlund's form give them the edge despite missing Dolberg and Osula, while Wales are severely short-handed despite momentum from beating Norway.
Denmark have the stronger overall squad and midfield, but Wales' home advantage and attacking pace should make this competitive. Denmark are more likely to win overall, though a tight 1-1 is the likeliest individual scoreline.
Denmark are the stronger side on paper and won the reverse fixture 2-0, but Wales are at home in Cardiff with renewed confidence after a morale-boosting 2-1 comeback win over Norway. Denmark's attack led by Højlund is potent, yet Wales' home advantage and momentum under Bellamy should keep this tight, making a narrow Denmark win or draw the most likely outcomes.
Denmark hold clear quality and ranking superiority plus a fresh 2-0 win over Wales, outweighing the hosts' Cardiff boost and Norway victory; Wales miss Wilson and Rodon while Hojlund remains in form, tilting the most likely result toward a narrow away success.
Denmark's superior squad depth and quality (Højlund, Hjulmand, Højbjerg, Damsgaard) and a 2-0 win in the reverse fixture make them clear favourites, while Wales are severely short-handed despite a morale-boosting 2-1 comeback win over Norway; home support in Cardiff keeps it competitive but Denmark's attacking potency should prove decisive.
Denmark dominated Wales 2-0 in Copenhagen a week ago and hold a near-20-year unbeaten run against the Dragons, but their defense has been leaky (7 conceded in 3 NL games) and Wales showed renewed vigor in a 2-1 home win over Norway. Cardiff's home advantage plus Denmark's defensive frailty makes a draw the most likely single scoreline at 1-1, though Denmark remain favorites to edge it.
WalesDenmark