Ukraine
Hungary| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H34%D29%A37% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 0–1 | H23%D29%A48% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H34%D31%A35% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 0–1 | H30%D27%A43% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H33%D36%A31% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H30%D35%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 0–1 | H28%D31%A41% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H28%D32%A40% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 0–1 | H32%D31%A37% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 0–1 | H30%D32%A38% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 0–1 | H28%D31%A41% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 0–1 | H25%D42%A33% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H31%D34%A35% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Ukraine are nominal hosts but play on neutral ground in Trnava, so the usual home edge is largely neutralised between two closely matched sides. Hungary have lost just once in seven (that defeat being September's reverse fixture) and carry more creative quality through Szoboszlai, while Ukraine's low-scoring, counter-based recent games point to a tight, low-total match where a draw is very live.
Hungary arrive in better form and are strong away from home, while Ukraine are missing key striker Sikan and defender Matviyenko to suspension. A low-scoring Hungary win is most likely, though the draw remains a real possibility given both sides' limited recent scoring.
With Ukraine hosting on neutral ground in Trnava, home advantage is largely negated in a tight clash between two well-matched sides. Both teams possess organized defenses and recent low-scoring profiles, making a closely contested draw the most probable outcome.
Hungary arrive with stronger recent form (only one defeat in last seven, W4 D2) and will dominate possession through Szoboszlai while Ukraine sit deep to counter; Ukraine's low scoring (no 3+ goal game in seven, BTTS in just 1 of last 6) and neutral-venue home in Trnava plus heavy recent defeat to Northern Ireland point to a tight, low-scoring away edge despite Ukraine winning September's reverse fixture.
Neutral venue in Trnava (per research notes) effectively cancels home advantage, while Hungary's better recent form (W4 D2 in last 7) is offset by the absence of key attackers Sallai and Varga, plus Ukraine's known tendency to sit deep, absorb pressure, and produce low-scoring games (only 1 of last 6 saw both teams score). A tight, cagey draw looks the modal outcome, with Ukraine's recent H2H win and Hungary's Szoboszlai-driven possession threat both keeping the win probabilities closely matched.
Both teams are evenly matched, with Hungary slightly favored in possession and attacking intent but Ukraine's defensive solidity and counter-attacking threat balance the scales. Recent form and tactical setups suggest a tightly contested draw is the most likely outcome.
Ukraine won the reverse fixture 1-0 in Budapest (Sikan), but their campaign has since collapsed — just one goal in three Nations League games including a heavy defeat to Northern Ireland — while Hungary have grown into the group, conceding only once and losing just once in their last seven overall. With the game on neutral ground in Trnava and both attacks toothless, a tight, low-scoring match favors a Hungary revenge win, though the draw is very live.
Hungary brings superior recent form (one loss in seven) but misses key attackers Sallai and Varga; Ukraine won the reverse fixture, sits deep and counters, and has seen both teams score in only one of their last six matches, pointing to a tight, low-scoring contest on neutral ground.
Hungary's stronger recent run gives them a narrow edge on neutral ground, although Ukraine won the reverse fixture. Ukraine's compact approach and Hungary's attacking absences point toward a tight, low-scoring match.
Hungary are slight favorites on neutral ground in Trnava, with Szoboszlai pulling the strings in possession against a Ukraine side that sits deep but has scored more than twice in only one of their last seven matches. Ukraine won the reverse fixture at the Puskás Aréna, but their chronic lack of firepower and the absence of a true home advantage tilt this tightly contested League B clash toward a narrow away win.
Both sides sit level on 4 points in a low-scoring Group B2 six-pointer on neutral ground in Trnava; Ukraine are missing key attackers and defenders after a 0-3 collapse to NI while Hungary arrive with consecutive clean sheets and better recent momentum despite Kerkez's suspension.
Both sides have scored just once in three Nations League matches and this is a neutral-venue affair in Trnava, making a draw the single most likely outcome. Hungary are on an upward trajectory with five consecutive clean sheets on the road, while Ukraine are missing suspended striker Sikan—their only NL goalscorer—after a demoralising 3-0 loss to Northern Ireland, tilting the secondary scoreline toward a narrow Hungary win.
Ukraine won the reverse fixture but are playing on neutral ground in Trnava with inconsistent form including a heavy defeat to Northern Ireland, while Hungary have been stronger overall (W4 D2 L1 in last seven) but are missing key attackers Sallai and Varga. With both sides lacking a decisive edge, a tight, low-scoring affair is most likely, with Hungary's better form giving them a slight nod.
UkraineHungary