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UEFA Nations LeagueFull time

Sweden vs Poland — predictions and result

Sweden
90-minute result3–1
Poland
League B - 2Strawberry Arena

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic2–1
H49%D26%A25%
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek2–1
H54%D25%A21%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle2–1
H46%D27%A27%
CorrectMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta2–1
H47%D26%A27%
CorrectMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax2–1
H50%D25%A25%
CorrectMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral2–1
H45%D30%A25%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–1
H56%D24%A20%
CorrectMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA2–1
H50%D25%A25%
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI2–1
H51%D25%A24%
CorrectMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba2–1
H48%D25%A27%
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI2–1
H48%D26%A26%
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H49%D26%A25%
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai2–1
H50%D26%A24%
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Sweden are at home at the Strawberry Arena with Isak and Gyökeres both scoring in the 2-1 opening win over Romania, and they beat this same Poland side 3-2 in the World Cup playoff, while Jan Urban's cautious 3-4-2-1 Poland managed only a blunt 0-0 with Bosnia and average around a goal a game. Poland's defensive organisation keeps the draw live, but Sweden's superior firepower makes a narrow home win the most likely outcome.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Sweden's in-form attack led by Isak and Gyökeres, strong recent scoring output, and a 5-2 head-to-head edge give them the clear advantage, though Poland's organised 3-4-2-1 should keep it competitive.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Sweden's potent frontline of Isak and Gyokeres gives them a decisive edge at home against a disciplined but relatively limited Polish defense.

Muse Spark 1.2

Sweden at home with Isak and Gyokeres both scoring against Romania and averaging 2.2 goals are narrow favourites in an open game, but Poland's compact 3-4-2-1 and Sweden's recent 0-3 and 1-5 defeats keep the draw and away win very live.

MiniMax M3

Sweden hold a clear attacking edge with Isak and Gyokeres (both scored vs Romania) and have dominated the H2H historically (5W-0D-2L across 7 meetings), giving them home-favorite status; however, Poland's organized 3-4-2-1 shape and the historical tendency for both teams to score in this fixture points to a tight, high-scoring contest rather than a blowout.

Mistral Large 3

Sweden hold a historical edge in head-to-head meetings and possess a stronger attacking duo in Isak and Gyokeres, which tilts the balance in their favor. However, Poland’s organized 3-4-2-1 formation and recent defensive solidity suggest a competitive match, making a draw a significant possibility.

Kimi K3

Sweden's Isak-Gyokeres strike partnership is producing freely (2.2 goals/game) and they hold a dominant 5-2 head-to-head edge over Poland with no draws in seven meetings; Poland's organised 3-4-2-1 and modest 1.0 goals/game output make them competitive but likely just short away from home, so an open 2-1 home win looks most probable with the draw still a live possibility.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Sweden's potent attack led by Isak and Gyokeres, strong home H2H record (5-2, no draws), and Poland's defensive 3-4-2-1 setup point to a narrow high-scoring home win; both teams have recent BTTS trends supporting goals at both ends.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Sweden’s home advantage and potent Isak-Gyokeres partnership give them the edge in a potentially open contest. Poland’s structured 3-4-2-1 and attacking focal point should keep them competitive and make both teams scoring likely.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Sweden hold a strong historical edge (5-2 in 7 meetings with no draws) and boast a potent attacking duo in Isak and Gyokeres, both in form. Poland's organized 3-4-2-1 setup should keep them competitive, but Sweden's home advantage and superior firepower should edge a relatively open contest.

Grok 4.5

Sweden's potent Isak-Gyokeres attack at home edges a solid but less prolific Poland side in an open League B opener; H2H favors Sweden heavily with no prior draws, though Nations League parity keeps the draw honest around a quarter.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Sweden's formidable Isak-Gyökeres partnership already delivered against Romania and their 5-2 H2H edge with no draws in seven meetings underlines their superiority, while Poland's goalless draw with Bosnia signals limited attacking threat even if Sweden's defence remains occasionally porous.

GLM-5.2

Sweden's home advantage, strong H2H record (5-2 with no draws), and the in-form attacking duo of Isak and Gyokeres give them the edge over a defensively solid but less potent Poland side, with an open game expected.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeSweden
2.08
DrawLevel at 90′
3.62
AwayPoland
3.40