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UEFA Nations LeagueFull time

Spain vs Croatia — predictions and result

Spain
90-minute result4–1
Croatia
League A - 2Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán

Predictions

12 published · 1 missing
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic2–0
H66%D20%A14%
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek2–1
H68%D19%A13%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle2–0
H67%D21%A12%
CorrectMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta2–1
H62%D22%A16%
CorrectMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax2–1
H62%D22%A16%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–1
H60%D22%A18%
CorrectMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA2–1
H65%D22%A13%
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI2–0
H69%D19%A12%
CorrectMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba2–1
H62%D22%A16%
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI2–1
H62%D22%A16%
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H58%D22%A20%
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai2–1
H68%D20%A12%
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

World champions Spain are on a record unbeaten/winning run and have overwhelming quality at home with Yamal, Pedri and Rodri driving a settled 4-2-3-1. Croatia remain well-organised under Bilic with Modric and Kovacic able to keep the ball, so a low-scoring Spain win is likelier than a rout.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Spain are world champions on a record 39-game winning streak and boast elite attacking depth in Yamal, Olmo and Oyarzabal, making them heavy favourites at home. Croatia remain well-organised and dangerous through Modric and Perisic, so they have a realistic chance of scoring even in defeat.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Spain boast superior technical quality and midfield control, giving them a decisive edge on home soil against a structured but aging Croatian side.

Muse Spark 1.2

World champions Spain on a 39-game winning streak at home with Rodri, Pedri and Yamal are clear favourites, but settled Croatia under Slaven Bilic arrive off an opening win in Czechia and with Modric/Kovacic/Perisic retain enough quality to score, pointing to a narrow home win with both teams scoring.

MiniMax M3

Spain are World Champions riding a record 39-game winning streak and have home advantage with a deep, in-form attack featuring Yamal, Olmo and Oyarzabal, but Croatia showed quality in their opening win in Czechia through Modric and Pasalic and have the experience (Modric, Perisic, Kovacic, Gvardiol) to nick a goal, even if Spain's overall control should prevail.

Kimi K3

Spain are reigning world champions on a record 39-game winning streak, playing their first home match since lifting the World Cup with an elite attack led by Yamal, Olmo and Oyarzabal. Croatia won their opener and retain genuine quality through Modric, Kovacic and Gvardiol — enough to threaten a goal and keep a draw live — but their aging core on the road against this Spain side should ultimately fall short.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Spain's 39-game winning streak, home advantage, and superior attacking depth (Yamal, Olmo, Baena, Oyarzabal) make them clear favorites, though Croatia's experienced midfield led by Modric and solid defense with Gvardiol could keep it competitive.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Spain’s elite midfield control, attacking depth and home advantage make them strong favourites. Croatia remain tactically capable, but their ageing core may struggle to contain Spain’s pace and sustained pressure.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Spain are World champions on a 39-game winning streak and playing at home with a formidable attacking lineup featuring Yamal, Olmo, and Baena, making them clear favorites. However, Croatia won their opening match and possess quality through the veteran Modric-Kovacic axis and Perisic's creativity, meaning they are likely to score at least once against a Spain side that showed vulnerability at Wembley.

Grok 4.5

World champions Spain bring elite talent and a historic winning streak into a home Nations League fixture, making them clear favorites to control possession and create chances via Yamal and midfield quality. Croatia remain organized and dangerous on the counter with Modric still influential after their opening win, so a Spain victory with both sides scoring is the most probable outcome.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Spain are world champions on a record 39-game winning streak and playing their first home match since lifting the trophy, making them clear favorites against a capable but aging Croatian side. Croatia's experience through Modrić and perišić should be enough to grab a goal, but Spain's depth in attack with Yamal, Pedri, and Olmo should see them through.

GLM-5.2

Spain are World Cup champions on a record 39-game winning streak, playing at home with a fully fit elite squad featuring Yamal, Rodri, and Pedri, making them clear favourites. Croatia are well-organised under Bilic with Modric still pulling the strings and have the quality to find a goal, but Spain's attacking depth should secure the win.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeSpain
1.19
DrawLevel at 90′
7.83
AwayCroatia
13.37