Slovenia
Scotland| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H31%D30%A39% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H32%D34%A34% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H35%D34%A31% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 0–1 | H30%D29%A41% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H30%D32%A38% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H35%D35%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–1 | H36%D30%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H30%D35%A35% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H29%D36%A35% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H27%D33%A40% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H32%D30%A38% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H29%D36%A35% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H33%D35%A32% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Slovenia are struggling for form and are without Sesko, while Scotland—though under a brand-new coach with a youthful squad—have the better overall level and are unbeaten in the last five meetings; Slovenia's solid home record and the usual caution of a Nations League opener keep this tight.
A tight League B opener between a Slovenia side missing key striker Sesko but strong at home and a Scotland side under new boss Pocognoli whose head-to-head record (unbeaten in five vs Slovenia) points to a close contest.
Slovenia miss star forward Benjamin Sesko through injury but remain resilient at home, while Scotland enter under new manager Sebastien Pocognoli with a solid head-to-head record against their hosts, pointing to a tightly contested low-scoring stalemate.
Slovenia are hard to beat at home (2 defeats since Euro 2024) with Oblak and a 5-4-1 but are missing Sesko and have 1 win in 10; Scotland are unbeaten in 5 H2Hs (2W 3D) and bring new-manager bounce despite poor recent results, making a tight low-scoring away edge most likely.
Both sides enter with poor recent form: Slovenia have won just once in their last 10 and are missing Benjamin Sesko, while Scotland lost 0-3 to Brazil and 3-0 to Greece recently, though they are unbeaten in their last 5 meetings with Slovenia (2W, 3D). The historical head-to-head dominance of Scotland and new-manager bounce under Pocognoli gives them a slight edge, but both squads are short on confidence and quality, making a low-scoring stalemate the most plausible single outcome.
Both teams enter the match with mixed recent form and key absences, particularly Slovenia's lack of a clinical striker and Scotland's transitional phase under a new coach. The historical head-to-head record and Slovenia's home advantage balance the probabilities, making a draw the most likely outcome.
An evenly matched League B opener: Slovenia have home advantage and Oblak in goal but are in poor form (one win in five) and lose key striker Sesko to injury, while Scotland arrive under new boss Pocognoli unbeaten in their last five against Slovenia (two wins, three draws) despite recent heavy defeats to elite opposition. The H2H draw frequency and both sides' scoring struggles point to a tight, low-scoring contest with 1-1 the most likely scoreline.
Slovenia are winless in 9 of 10 and miss top scorer Sesko, while Scotland hold a five-match unbeaten H2H edge under new boss Pocognoli; both sides have shown defensive frailty recently, making a low-scoring draw the most probable outcome.
Slovenia's home advantage is offset by poor recent form and Benjamin Sesko's absence. Scotland are unbeaten in the last five meetings, but their coaching transition and mixed form make a low-scoring draw the likeliest outcome.
Scotland hold a strong head-to-head edge (unbeaten in five vs Slovenia) and enter with World Cup qualification momentum, while Slovenia are significantly weakened by Benjamin Sesko's absence and have won just once in their last ten. However, as a campaign opener between two teams in transition under new managers, a cautious, low-scoring affair is likely, with Scotland's slight quality advantage tempered by Slovenia's resilient home record.
Scotland hold a strong H2H edge (unbeaten in last five vs Slovenia) and enter under a new coach seeking a positive start, while Slovenia miss key striker Sesko and have won just once in ten; home resilience keeps the draw highly live as the modal outcome.
Slovenia's deep 5-4-1 setup and Oblak should keep this tight at home, but the absence of talisman Šeško blunts their attack significantly, with only 1 win in their last 12 matches. Scotland are unbeaten in all five H2H meetings and carry momentum from a new-manager bounce under Pocognoli, making a low-scoring draw the most likely outcome between two evenly matched but flawed sides.
Slovenia's home advantage is offset by the absence of key striker Benjamin Sesko and poor recent form (one win in ten), while Scotland's new manager Pocognoli and a strong head-to-head record (unbeaten in last five meetings) suggest the Scots can at least earn a point in a tight Nations League opener.
SloveniaScotland