Slovenia
FYR Macedonia| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–0 | H44%D29%A27% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–0 | H58%D28%A14% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–0 | H54%D27%A19% | Correct | Exact |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–0 | H51%D28%A21% | Correct | Exact |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–0 | H44%D32%A24% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H45%D30%A25% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–0 | H55%D25%A20% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–0 | H50%D28%A22% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–0 | H48%D30%A22% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–0 | H38%D32%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–0 | H48%D27%A25% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–0 | H48%D28%A24% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–0 | H55%D27%A18% | Correct | Exact |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Slovenia have home advantage and a slightly deeper pool, but both sides are pragmatic, low-scoring teams and North Macedonia have been hard to beat in recent competitive campaigns, so a tight, tense match with a high draw chance is expected.
Slovenia are at home with the stronger squad and Jan Oblak in goal, while North Macedonia arrive in poor form and have gone several matches without scoring; Slovenia's own blunt attack points to a low-scoring home win.
Slovenia hold significant tactical and individual advantages with strong defensive structure and clinical attacking outlets at home, while North Macedonia often struggle for consistent chance creation on the road against well-organized sides.
Slovenia hold home advantage after a solid 0-0 with Scotland while North Macedonia are goalless in five matches (0 scored, 11 conceded) including a 0-3 loss to Switzerland, making a low-scoring home win the most likely outcome despite a historically even H2H.
Slovenia is favored at home with a stronger squad (Oblak, Sesko) and credible recent form, but FYR Macedonia's recent record (5 draws in 10 friendlies) suggests they are difficult to break down rather than pushover opposition, while the opening Nations League fixture adds uncertainty — making a narrow home win the most likely outcome with a draw a real possibility.
Slovenia enters this fixture as the stronger side based on recent historical performance and home advantage, but FYR Macedonia's poor form is counterbalanced by their tendency to draw matches, particularly against teams of similar caliber like Slovenia. A tightly contested match is likely.
Slovenia (Oblak, Šeško) are the stronger, defensively solid side at home and opened this group with a draw, while North Macedonia's form has collapsed — one goal scored and 18 conceded across their last six, including a 0-3 Nations League loss to Switzerland and a 1-7 thrashing in Wales. The H2H is historically tight (2-1-2 for Macedonia, 2012-2021) and Slovenia's matches are typically low-scoring, so a narrow home win is most likely, with the draw a live alternative given Slovenia's draw-heavy profile.
Slovenia host North Macedonia at Stozice Stadium with a clear form advantage: the hosts drew their opener vs Scotland and boast Jan Oblak in goal, while North Macedonia lost 3-0 to Switzerland and are winless in eight with goals in just one of their last six matches. Historical H2H favors North Macedonia but is outdated (last meeting 2021); current form and home advantage point to a narrow Slovenia win in a low-scoring game.
Slovenia have a modest overall quality advantage and home edge, while FYR Macedonia's poor win rate makes an away victory less likely. Macedonia's draw-heavy profile keeps the stalemate probability substantial in what should be a low-scoring match.
Both teams are in poor form with identical 1W-5D-4L friendly records, but Slovenia have home advantage, a stronger squad on paper (featuring players like Oblak and Šeško), and sit above North Macedonia in the group after earning a point in their opener. North Macedonia's historically decent H2H record is offset by their current bottom-of-the-group status and Slovenia's tendency to grind out narrow results at home under new manager Boštjan Cesar.
Slovenia hold a clear edge in quality and recent competitive pedigree over FYR Macedonia, who have struggled for wins in friendlies; a tight, low-scoring home win is the most probable 90-minute outcome in this opening League B fixture.
Slovenia are ranked significantly higher (#56 vs #69) and have home advantage at Stadion Stožice, while North Macedonia have been in dire form—failing to score in multiple recent matches including a 0-3 loss to Switzerland on matchday 1. However, Slovenia themselves are struggling under new manager Cesar (1W in last 5), so a narrow, low-scoring home win is the most likely outcome.
Slovenia are at home with a stronger squad anchored by Jan Oblak, while FYR Macedonia are winless in eight and were completely outclassed (0-3, zero shots on target) by Switzerland in their opener. Slovenia's own scoring struggles keep the draw in play, but FYR Macedonia's defensive frailties and dismal form make a home win the most likely outcome.
SloveniaFYR Macedonia