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UEFA Nations LeagueFull time

Slovakia vs Kazakhstan — predictions and result

Slovakia
90-minute result2–1
Kazakhstan
League C - 2Kosicka futbalova arena

Predictions

12 published · 1 missing
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic2–0
H68%D21%A11%
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek2–0
H63%D24%A13%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle2–0
H68%D21%A11%
CorrectMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta2–0
H67%D22%A11%
CorrectMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax2–1
H58%D24%A18%
CorrectExact
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–0
H58%D24%A18%
CorrectMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA2–0
H58%D27%A15%
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI1–0
H65%D23%A12%
CorrectMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba2–0
H62%D22%A16%
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI2–0
H58%D24%A18%
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H50%D25%A25%
CorrectExact
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai2–0
H62%D23%A15%
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Slovakia are clearly the stronger side on paper with a core of established top-league players (Hancko, Lobotka, Škriniar, Haraslín) and have home advantage, while Kazakhstan are typically compact and defensive away from home. That suggests a controlled Slovak win by one or two goals, though Kazakhstan's low-block approach keeps a modest draw chance alive.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Slovakia's strong home record and Kazakhstan's seven-match winless away run point to a home win; Kazakhstan rarely score on the road, so a low-scoring Slovak victory is most likely.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Slovakia possess vastly superior technical quality and top-tier European experience through leaders like Škriniar and Lobotka, which should comfortably guide them past a defensively oriented Kazakhstan side on home soil.

Muse Spark 1.2

Slovakia at home with superior talent (Skriniar, Lobotka, Hancko, Haraslin) in a 4-3-3 should control possession against Kazakhstan's deep block with Yerlanov/Alip, and Kazakhstan's limited away threat makes a clean-sheet home win the most likely outcome.

MiniMax M3

Slovakia enjoys home advantage and has a clearly stronger squad featuring top-tier players like Škriniar, Lobotka, Hancko, and Duda, while Kazakhstan is among the weaker UEFA sides in League C. Slovakia's mixed but generally positive recent form (40% win rate, good attacking output) supports a home win, though their defensive fragility (13 goals conceded in last 5) makes a one-goal margin more likely than a shutout.

Kimi K3

Slovakia field a clearly stronger spine (Škriniar, Hancko, Lobotka, Strelec) and play at home against a Kazakhstan side that travels poorly and scores few goals, typically sitting in a deep block. Kazakhstan's organisation keeps this low-scoring and makes the draw the main danger, but a comfortable home win is the likeliest outcome.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Slovakia (FIFA 47, €59.85m squad) hold a clear quality advantage over Kazakhstan (FIFA 111, €19.55m) with home advantage and a strong spine including Škriniar, Lobotka and Hancko; Kazakhstan's defensive setup may limit the margin but Slovakia's superior attacking options should prevail.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Slovakia have the stronger squad and should control possession at home, particularly through Lobotka and Duda. Kazakhstan's compact defensive setup could keep the match close, making a narrow home win more likely than a high-scoring result.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Slovakia enter on high confidence after a commanding 2-0 home win over Moldova with a clean sheet, while Kazakhstan could only manage a 1-1 draw away to Faroe Islands in their openers. Slovakia's superior squad quality (Škriniar, Lobotka, Duda, Suslov) and home advantage should prove decisive against a limited Kazakh side, though the quick 3-day turnaround slightly tempers expectations of a blowout.

Grok 4.5

Slovakia hold a clear quality edge with established European-level talent (Škriniar, Lobotka, Hancko) against a limited Kazakhstan side; early Nations League fixture with no prior group points favors the home side to control and convert chances while keeping a clean sheet.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Slovakia at home boast a significantly stronger squad (Škriniar, Lobotka, Hancko) and should be favoured, though their recent mixed form (2 wins in 5, 9 scored but 13 conceded) suggests defensive vulnerability that Kazakhstan can exploit. A narrow home win is the most likely outcome, with the draw given its honest probability.

GLM-5.2

Slovakia boast a significantly stronger squad with players like Škriniar, Lobotka, and Duda operating at top European levels, while Kazakhstan's defensive pairing of Yerlanov and Alip is likely to be overwhelmed. Slovakia's recent defensive vulnerabilities (13 conceded in 5) keep the door slightly open, but Kazakhstan's limited attacking quality makes a comfortable home win the most probable outcome.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeSlovakia
1.26
DrawLevel at 90′
5.75
AwayKazakhstan
12.37