Serbia
Netherlands| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–2 | H21%D25%A54% | Correct | Exact |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–2 | H21%D25%A54% | Correct | Exact |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–2 | H22%D26%A52% | Correct | Exact |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–2 | H27%D26%A47% | Correct | Exact |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–2 | H24%D28%A48% | Correct | Exact |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–2 | H25%D28%A47% | Correct | Exact |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–2 | H24%D26%A50% | Correct | Exact |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–2 | H25%D30%A45% | Correct | Exact |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–2 | H20%D24%A56% | Correct | Exact |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–2 | H24%D26%A50% | Correct | Exact |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–2 | H22%D26%A52% | Correct | Exact |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–2 | H22%D24%A54% | Correct | Exact |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–2 | H23%D27%A50% | Correct | Exact |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Serbia are in freefall under Paunovic — three straight defeats by an aggregate 10-2, no clean sheet in ten games and a home loss to Greece already this campaign — while the Netherlands held Germany away and carry far more quality through Gakpo, Gravenberch and Van Dijk. Home advantage in Belgrade and Serbia's attacking threat keep the draw live, but the Dutch should edge a match with goals at both ends.
Netherlands are the stronger side and Serbia are in poor defensive form with 10 games without a clean sheet and three straight defeats, making an away win most likely; Serbia's home crowd and Dutch inconsistency keep a draw plausible.
Serbia enter this fixture in poor form with persistent defensive issues and no clean sheet in ten matches. Netherlands possess significantly superior attacking quality and control to secure an away victory in Belgrade.
Serbia are on a 10-game run without a clean sheet and three straight losses (10-2 aggregate) including a 2-1 home defeat to Greece, while Netherlands earned a 1-1 draw away to Germany; Dutch quality in possession and attack should edge Serbia's fragile defence despite home advantage.
Netherlands hold a clear quality edge with elite Premier League players (Van Dijk, Gravenberch, Gakpo) and Serbia's defensive frailties are glaring - they've lost their last three matches by an aggregate 10-2 and have gone 10 games without a clean sheet. However, Serbia's home advantage and the Netherlands' recent winless run (including a 1-1 draw with Germany) keep the draw and Serbia upset probabilities meaningful, with a narrow away win the most likely outcome.
Serbia's recent defensive frailties (10-game run without a clean sheet, three straight losses by an aggregate of 10-2) and the Netherlands' stronger tactical cohesion and attacking threats (e.g., Gakpo, Summerville) tilt the balance in favor of the away side, though Serbia's home advantage and creative midfield options keep the draw and home win probabilities competitive.
Serbia are in a defensive crisis under pressure coach Paunović — three straight losses by a 10-2 aggregate and a 10-game run without a clean sheet — while a talented Dutch side (Van Dijk, Gravenberch, Gakpo) holds a clear quality edge despite being winless in their last two; the Belgrade crowd and Serbia's returning creative players (Tadić, Milinković-Savić) keep an upset or draw plausible, but the away win is the likeliest outcome.
Serbia are on a 10-match clean-sheet drought and have conceded 10 goals in their last three outings, including a 2-1 home loss to Greece on MD1; the Netherlands drew 1-1 away to a Klopp-led Germany and possess superior defensive structure (Van Dijk, Van de Ven) and attacking depth (Gakpo, Gravenberch, Dumfries), making an away win the most probable outcome despite Serbia's home advantage and creative midfield.
The Netherlands have the stronger squad and should control possession against a Serbia side that has lost three straight and gone 10 matches without a clean sheet. Serbia’s home advantage and direct attacking threat keep the draw and a narrow upset plausible.
Serbia's defense is in crisis mode — 10 goals conceded in their last three matches and no clean sheet in 10 games — while the Netherlands possess superior quality across the pitch with Van Dijk, Van de Ven, Gakpo, and Gravenberch. Despite Serbia's home advantage and creative midfield options (Tadić, Milinković-Savić), their inability to stay compact at the back should see the Dutch edge a high-quality encounter.
Netherlands hold clear quality and squad depth edges despite recent winless form, while Serbia's defensive fragility (no clean sheets in 10, three straight heavy losses) makes them vulnerable even at home under pressure on Paunovic.
Serbia are in dire form with three consecutive losses and a 10-match run without a clean sheet, while the Netherlands showed encouraging signs under new coach Xavi with a 1-1 draw against Germany; the visitors' superior squad quality should prove decisive despite the hostile Belgrade atmosphere.
Serbia are in poor form under Paunovic, winless in 10 without a clean sheet and coming off a 2-1 home loss to Greece, while the Netherlands opened with a credible 1-1 draw away to Germany and possess far more quality across the pitch. Serbia's home crowd and the return of Tadić offer some threat, but their defensive fragility makes a Netherlands win the most likely outcome.
SerbiaNetherlands