Scotland
Switzerland| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H29%D28%A43% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 0–2 | H23%D29%A48% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–2 | H27%D30%A43% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–2 | H33%D28%A39% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H40%D32%A28% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H30%D35%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–1 | H31%D28%A41% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H30%D35%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 0–1 | H25%D29%A46% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H32%D29%A39% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–2 | H28%D27%A45% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H30%D30%A40% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–2 | H24%D27%A49% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Switzerland are the stronger, more settled side and opened with a comfortable 3-0 win, while Scotland are adapting to a new coach and are missing McTominay, Adams, Shankland, Tierney and McLean, which guts their attacking threat. Hampden and the Swiss absences (Xhaka, Embolo) plus their modest away record keep this tight, so a low-scoring draw is nearly as likely as a Swiss win.
Switzerland arrive in stronger form and have more depth despite their absentees, while Scotland are missing key attackers and have struggled for goals; Scotland's home edge keeps it competitive, but the Swiss should edge a low-scoring contest.
Switzerland carry strong momentum after a dominant 3-0 win in their opener and possess superior technical quality. Scotland created chances in their opening draw under new management, but missing several regular starters tilts the edge towards a narrow Swiss victory.
Switzerland top Group 1 after a clinical 3-0 win over North Macedonia (Amdouni double) while Scotland drew 0-0 with Slovenia despite 2.16 xG and four big chances; Swiss quality makes them slight favourites but Scotland's strong home form, Switzerland's noted road struggles and key absences on both sides (Xhaka/Embolo vs McTominay, Adams, Tierney) point to a tight away win.
Scotland's strong home form and Switzerland's documented struggles on the road offset Switzerland's higher overall squad quality; both sides are missing key attacking players (Scotland: McTominay, Adams, Shankland; Switzerland: Embolo), and a tight, low-scoring draw feels most likely given Pocognoli's Scotland being solid defensively but blunt in attack.
Scotland showed defensive solidity and attacking promise in their opening draw but lack clinical finishing and key players, while Switzerland are strong but inconsistent away from home, with both teams missing influential figures. The tactical setups and recent history suggest a tightly contested match.
Switzerland come off a convincing 3-0 win over North Macedonia and have the deeper squad, but they're missing Xhaka and Embolo, while Scotland — without McTominay, Tierney, McLean and others — still created 2.16 xG in their 0-0 with Slovenia and enjoy home advantage at Hampden. The sides' last meeting at Euro 2024 ended 1-1, and with both teams depleted in key areas a tight, low-margin contest looks likely, with the Swiss only slight favourites.
Scotland created 2.16 xG but drew 0-0 vs Slovenia and miss McTominay, Adams, Shankland, Tierney, McLean; Switzerland beat North Macedonia 3-0 but lack Xhaka and Embolo and have struggled away. Their last competitive meeting (Euro 2024) finished 1-1, and both sides show attack-minded setups with defensive absences.
Switzerland have the stronger squad overall and arrive with greater attacking momentum, while Scotland are missing several important players. Home advantage and Scotland’s encouraging chance creation keep the draw probability substantial, but a narrow Swiss win is most likely.
Switzerland are the stronger side coming off a convincing 3-0 win over North Macedonia, but Scotland's home advantage and strong home form keep this tight. Both teams are missing key players (Scotland without McTominay and Tierney; Switzerland without Xhaka and Embolo), and their last competitive meeting at Euro 2024 ended 1-1, suggesting another closely contested, low-scoring affair.
Switzerland arrive in better form after a 3-0 win and hold a clear quality edge despite missing Xhaka and Embolo, while Scotland's home draw showed promise but lacked finishing and key absentees (McTominay, Tierney) weaken them. A tight Swiss away win is the most likely 90-minute outcome.
Switzerland are the stronger side and impressed in their 3-0 opening win, but Scotland showed encouraging signs under new manager Pocognoli (2.16 xG vs Slovenia) and have solid recent home form; missing key players on both sides (McTominay, Tierney, Xhaka, Embolo) levels the playing field, making this likely tight — their last competitive meeting was a 1-1 draw at Euro 2024.
Switzerland arrive in superb form (7W-3D in last 10, World Cup quarter-finalists, convincing 3-0 opener) while Scotland are under a new manager and missing key players including McTominay, Tierney, and Adams. Hampden Park home advantage and Scotland's encouraging 2.16 xG vs Slovenia keep the draw in play, but Switzerland's superior quality and momentum should edge it.
ScotlandSwitzerland