San Marino
Finland| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 0–3 | H3%D9%A88% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 0–2 | H4%D8%A88% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 0–2 | H4%D11%A85% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 0–3 | H4%D13%A83% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 0–2 | H4%D13%A83% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 0–2 | H5%D10%A85% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 0–2 | H4%D11%A85% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 0–2 | H8%D17%A75% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 0–2 | H4%D12%A84% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 0–3 | H7%D11%A82% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 0–3 | H4%D12%A84% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 0–2 | H3%D10%A87% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 0–3 | H4%D11%A85% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
San Marino remain the weakest side in Europe with minimal goal threat, while Finland — despite inconsistency — have comfortably beaten similar opposition (including a 1-2 and a 6-0 in recent meetings). Home advantage in Serravalle only slightly narrows a large quality gap, so an away win by 2-3 goals is the clear expectation.
Finland are vastly stronger than San Marino and should control the match comfortably; San Marino rarely score but are stubborn early, so the most likely outcome is a routine Finnish away win by a couple of goals.
Finland possess vastly superior technical quality across the pitch compared to San Marino's minnows and should control possession comfortably to secure a routine away win.
Finland are several levels above San Marino despite being off their EURO 2020 peak, with recent 4-0 win over Andorra showing ability to create distance vs minnows; San Marino's 1-2 in Nov 2023 was an outlier and they remain heavy underdogs even at home.
San Marino is consistently one of the weakest teams in world football and rarely wins, while Finland — despite inconsistent recent form — possesses vastly superior quality with experienced attacking options like Pukki and Pohjanpalo. The previous meeting in November 2023 ended 2-1 to Finland, and a similar margin (or slightly wider) is the most likely outcome here, with Finland dominating possession and chances against a San Marino side expected to sit deep and absorb pressure.
Finland are significantly stronger than San Marino, with a clear upward trend in recent form and a history of comfortable wins against lower-ranked opponents. San Marino's defensive limitations and lack of attacking threat make a Finland win the most likely outcome.
San Marino are among the weakest national teams in the world, with negligible attacking threat and a history of heavy defeats, while Finland are an established mid-tier European side that already beat them 2-1 in 2023 Euro qualifying and should control the match comfortably. A draw or shock San Marino result is only a remote possibility, with a clean-sheet Finland win by 2-3 goals the most likely outcome.
Finland's attacking duo of Pohjanpalo and Pukki plus recent form (4-0 vs Andorra, 2-0 vs New Zealand) overwhelming San Marino's limited defence; previous meeting in San Marino ended 1-2 to Finland in Nov 2023.
Finland have a substantial advantage in squad quality and should control the match against one of Europe's weakest sides. San Marino's improved competitiveness and home setting slightly temper expectations of a rout.
Finland are vastly superior to San Marino in every metric, with recent results including a 4-0 win over Andorra and strong form (5 wins, 2 draws in last 15). San Marino are among Europe's weakest sides and rarely score, making a comfortable away win with a clean sheet the most likely outcome.
San Marino are perennial minnows who struggle to score or keep clean sheets against any competitive side; Finland, even if not at peak, possess far superior quality and should control the match and win comfortably away.
Finland are vastly superior in quality and looking to bounce back after League B relegation, while San Marino—despite a historic League D promotion—face a massive step up in class and should struggle to contain Finland's attack, though their improved confidence may keep the scoreline from being a rout.
San Marino (FIFA rank 211) have won just twice competitively in their history and are winless in 15 matches, while Finland (rank 75) possess far superior firepower with Pohjanpalo and Kallman up front. Despite Finland's poor away record, the gulf in quality should produce a comfortable away win with multiple goals.
San MarinoFinland