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UEFA Nations LeagueFull time

Romania vs Sweden — predictions and result

Romania
90-minute result0–1
Sweden
League B - 4Arena Națională

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic1–2
H28%D26%A46%
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek1–2
H22%D25%A53%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle1–2
H26%D27%A47%
CorrectMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta1–2
H31%D26%A43%
CorrectMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax1–1
H33%D29%A38%
CorrectMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral1–2
H30%D30%A40%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot1–2
H29%D27%A44%
CorrectMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA1–2
H30%D30%A40%
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI1–2
H30%D28%A42%
CorrectMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba1–2
H30%D28%A42%
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI1–2
H24%D26%A50%
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi1–2
H23%D27%A50%
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai1–2
H24%D24%A52%
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Romania are pointless after three games, shipped six in Warsaw and must reshuffle a defence missing both suspended centre-backs Dragusin and Ghita, while Sweden lead the group, won the first leg 2-1 and have Gyokeres scoring in six straight Nations League matches. Potter's side have kept no clean sheets in 13 games, so Romania should score at home, but the visitors' superior attack makes a narrow away win most likely.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Sweden are unbeaten Group B4 leaders with in-form Gyokeres and Isak, and beat Romania 2-1 in the reverse fixture, while Romania have conceded 12 goals across three heavy Nations League defeats and are clearly out of form under a struggling new regime. Romania's home crowd limits the margin, but Sweden look the clear value side.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Sweden top the group having already defeated Romania 2-1 in the reverse fixture, powered by an in-form frontline featuring Viktor Gyokeres. Romania have won just once in seven matches in 2026 and their leaky defense is likely to struggle against Sweden's clinical attack despite home advantage.

Muse Spark 1.2

Sweden beat Romania 2-1 in the reverse fixture and are described as two points clear at the top of Group B4 after also beating Poland, while Romania's recent form is patchy (2W1D2L) and both sides are on long runs without a clean sheet (15 for Sweden, 6 for Romania), pointing to an open game with a slight away edge.

MiniMax M3

Sweden under Graham Potter are the form side in League B Group 4 (won2-1 vs Romania in the first leg, 3-1 vs Poland), but they are away here and likely to manage the game given their cushion at the top of the group, while Romania will push at home. Both teams have been extremely porous defensively (Sweden 15 games without a clean sheet, Romania 6 without one), making a low-scoring draw the single most plausible scoreline despite Sweden's edge.

Mistral Large 3

Sweden have shown stronger recent form and defensive resilience, while Romania struggle with consistency, especially away from home. However, both teams have leaky defenses, making a draw or narrow away win the most likely outcomes.

Kimi K3

Sweden are top of Group B4 after beating Romania 2-1 in the first leg and Poland 3-1, and their attacking quality under Potter outweighs Romania's home advantage. Romania are inconsistent (two wins, one draw, two defeats in five) and, like Sweden (15 games without a clean sheet), leak goals — so an open match tilts toward the in-form visitors, with the draw a live alternative.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Sweden top Group B4 with three wins from three, including a 2-1 first-leg victory over Romania, but have conceded in 15 straight matches; Romania are winless in five away games and have kept just one clean sheet in six, pointing to an open game where Sweden's superior attack edges a high-scoring away win.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Sweden’s greater attacking quality gives them a narrow edge, while Romania’s inconsistent form and vulnerability against strong opposition are concerns. Romania’s home advantage and Sweden’s long run without a clean sheet keep the draw and a home result realistic.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Sweden are in strong form, sitting top of Group B4 with wins over Romania (2-1) and Poland (3-1), and Graham Potter's side have potent attacking options. However, both teams have severe defensive vulnerabilities — Sweden haven't kept a clean sheet in 15 matches and Romania in six — meaning Romania should score at home, but Sweden's superior quality and momentum should see them edge a high-scoring affair.

Grok 4.5

Sweden lead the group unbeaten with superior attack led by in-form Gyokeres and recent H2H win, while Romania sit bottom after three heavy losses and are missing key centre-backs Dragusin and Ghita. Home advantage and Sweden's clean-sheet drought keep a draw or narrow Romania response possible, but away win is clearest outcome.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Sweden are unbeaten group leaders with Gyökeres in record-breaking scoring form, while Romania sit bottom with 0 points and just one win in seven matches in 2026 under returning coach Hagi. Both sides are defensively leaky (Sweden 15 games without a clean sheet, Romania none in 6), suggesting goals at both ends, but Sweden's superior quality and momentum make them clear favourites even away in Bucharest.

GLM-5.2

Sweden are top of Group B4 with 7 points from 3 matches and boast a record-breaking Viktor Gyokeres in attack, while Romania sit bottom with zero points, are missing both suspended centre-backs (Dragusin and Ghița) after a 6-0 thrashing by Poland, and have just one win in seven matches in 2026. Sweden's leaky defence under Potter suggests Romania can score at home, but the visitors' superior form and head-to-head dominance (4 wins in last 5 meetings) make an away win the most likely outcome.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeRomania
4.27
DrawLevel at 90′
4.08
AwaySweden
1.74