Portugal
Wales| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–0 | H75%D17%A8% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–1 | H68%D20%A12% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–0 | H70%D20%A10% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–0 | H68%D19%A13% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 2–1 | H67%D20%A13% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–0 | H66%D20%A14% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H62%D23%A15% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 2–0 | H72%D18%A10% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 2–1 | H68%D19%A13% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 2–1 | H63%D23%A14% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–1 | H57%D23%A20% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–1 | H64%D23%A13% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Portugal have vastly superior individual quality across midfield and attack (Bruno Fernandes, Vitinha, Bernardo Silva, Ronaldo) and are at home in Lisbon opening the Jorge Jesus era, while Wales are missing several regulars and typically set up compactly in such away trips. New-manager teething issues and Wales' defensive discipline keep a modest chance of a low-scoring upset or draw.
Portugal have far superior individual quality and home advantage under new manager Jorge Jesus, while Wales are depleted and likely to sit deep. Portugal should control the game and create enough to win, though Wales can make it competitive.
Portugal boast superior technical quality across all departments and should dominate possession in Lisbon under new management. Wales face significant squad absences and will struggle to contain Portugal's creative midfield over 90 minutes.
Portugal at home in Lisbon with a full-strength squad (Fernandes, Bernardo Silva, Vitinha, Dias and Ronaldo) and defending Nations League champions face a depleted, newly-promoted Wales missing Rodon and others and relying on Championship-level replacements, so Portugal should dominate possession and chances despite new-manager teething issues under Jorge Jesus.
Portugal are defending Nations League champions at home in Lisbon with a star-studded squad featuring Fernandes, Bernardo Silva, Vitinha, Dias and Ronaldo under new boss Jorge Jesus, while Wales are missing key defenders (Rodon, Lawlor) and midfielders (Colwill) and have called up lower-league replacements; Wales have enough quality through Brennan Johnson and Ampadu to nick a goal on the break, but Portugal's superiority should ultimately tell in a tight home win.
Portugal, the defending Nations League champions, field a star-studded squad (Fernandes, B. Silva, Vitinha, Dias, Ronaldo) at home in Lisbon and face a Wales side newly promoted to League A and weakened by multiple withdrawals (Rodon, Colwill, Lawlor), forcing call-ups of lower-league replacements. The only caveat is Jorge Jesus's first match in charge, which slightly tempers the margin but not the expected outcome: Portuguese control and a comfortable home win.
Portugal's elite squad depth, home advantage at Estádio José Alvalade, and new-manager bounce under Jorge Jesus outweigh Wales' promotion momentum and key defensive absences (Rodon, Lawlor, Colwill).
Portugal's superior midfield creativity, attacking depth and home advantage should allow them to control the match against an injury-hit Wales squad. Jorge Jesus's first game adds some uncertainty, but Portugal should create enough chances while limiting Wales's threat.
Portugal possess a world-class squad featuring Bruno Fernandes, Bernardo Silva, and Cristiano Ronaldo, and are at home in Lisbon against a Wales side missing key defenders like Joe Rodon and Rubin Colwill. Although new manager Jorge Jesus may face some integration issues in his first match, Portugal's overwhelming quality advantage and Wales' depleted squad should see the Selecao control the game and secure a narrow victory.
Portugal's superior squad depth and creative midfield quality under new coach Jesus make them clear favorites at home against a newly promoted Wales side missing key defenders; a controlled but not necessarily clean win is the most likely outcome.
Portugal have superior squad depth and home advantage in Lisbon, with Bruno Fernandes, Bernardo Silva and Ronaldo in the squad, though Jorge Jesus's first competitive match in charge introduces some uncertainty. Wales are missing several key players including Rodon and Colwill, making it hard to contain Portugal's creative midfield over 90 minutes.
Portugal boast a star-studded squad at home in Lisbon under new manager Jorge Jesus, while Wales are depleted by several key absences and face a significant quality gap. Some teething problems under a new coach and Wales's compactness could keep it closer than expected, but Portugal's creative firepower should ultimately prevail.
PortugalWales