Portugal
Norway| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–1 | H50%D25%A25% | Correct | Exact |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–1 | H63%D22%A15% | Correct | Exact |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H62%D22%A16% | Correct | Exact |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–1 | H52%D25%A23% | Correct | Exact |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 2–1 | H58%D23%A19% | Correct | Exact |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 2–1 | H50%D30%A20% | Correct | Exact |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H55%D24%A21% | Correct | Exact |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H50%D25%A25% | Correct | Exact |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 2–1 | H58%D23%A19% | Correct | Exact |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 2–1 | H50%D25%A25% | Correct | Exact |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 2–1 | H52%D25%A23% | Correct | Exact |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–1 | H52%D26%A22% | Correct | Exact |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–1 | H63%D22%A15% | Correct | Exact |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Portugal have won all three Nations League games under Jorge Jesus, including the reverse fixture in Oslo, and at home their midfield control (Vitinha, Bruno Fernandes, Neves) should give them the edge. Norway remain dangerous on the break through Haaland, Nusa and Odegaard, so an open, goal-filled game with a narrow Portuguese win is most likely.
Portugal have won all three group games, are at home in Porto and look stronger without the Ronaldo distraction, while Norway arrive with defensive absences and back-to-back defeats. Norway still carry a threat through Haaland, so a Portugal win with both teams scoring is the likeliest outcome.
Portugal boast superior technical quality and midfield control across the pitch, giving them a significant edge on home soil. While Norway's lethal frontline led by Erling Haaland carries a persistent goal threat on the break, Portugal's depth and attacking firepower should see them secure the win.
Portugal's perfect 3-win start at home with midfield control (Vitinha/Bruno Fernandes) and depth makes them favourites, but Norway's transition threat through Odegaard, Haaland, Bobb and Nusa keeps it close and likely both score.
Portugal enjoy home advantage and sit top of Group 4 on maximum points from three matches under Jorge Jesus, with deeper quality across the pitch than Norway. However, Norway's frontline — led by an in-form Erling Haaland and supported by Odegaard, Bobb and Nusa — is dangerous enough to punish any disjointed defending, and Ronaldo's reported struggles under Jesus's system keep this from being a comfortable home win.
Portugal are in strong form, top of their group, and playing at home with a cohesive tactical setup under Jorge Jesus. Norway, while dangerous with Haaland and Odegaard, have shown vulnerability in defense and rely heavily on counterattacks, which may be neutralized by Portugal's organized midfield and attack.
Portugal have won three straight under Jorge Jesus, boast the deeper squad and home advantage, and look more cohesive with Leao and Goncalo Ramos leading the line rather than funneling play through an out-of-form Ronaldo. Norway remain dangerous in transition through Haaland, Odegaard, Nusa and Bobb, but their defense and goalkeeping (Selvik) are a tier below, so a narrow home win with both sides scoring is most likely.
Portugal's three straight wins under Jorge Jesus, home advantage, and defensive spine of Dias/Cancelo/Mendes outweigh Norway's Haaland-led attack away from home; expect a tight, high-quality game with Portugal edging it.
Portugal’s greater depth, elite midfield control and home advantage make them favorites. Norway’s Haaland- and Odegaard-led attack remains a major counterattacking threat, so a narrow home win is most likely.
Portugal are top of Group 4 with nine points from three straight wins and enjoy home advantage under Jorge Jesus, but Norway's counter-attacking threat through Haaland, Odegaard, and Nusa—evidenced by their 3-2 win over Denmark—makes them dangerous enough to score and keep this competitive.
Portugal at home under Jesus hold the edge in squad depth and cohesion after a strong Nations League start, though Haaland and Odegaard give Norway clear counter-attacking threat that keeps the away win and draw live; 2-1 is the most probable decisive scoreline.
Portugal have won all three group matches and already beat Norway 2-1 in the reverse fixture in Oslo; playing at the Estádio do Dragão with superior midfield depth (Vitinha, Bruno Fernandes, Leão) gives them the edge, though Norway's Ødegaard-to-Haaland transition threat keeps this competitive and far from one-sided.
Portugal are in superb form with three straight Nations League wins including a 2-1 victory in Oslo last week and a 4-2 demolition of Denmark, while Norway are on a two-match losing streak with a leaky defense and a possible suspension to defender Heggem. Portugal's home advantage and superior squad depth should prevail, though Haaland gives Norway enough threat to likely find the net.
PortugalNorway