Claude Opus 5
Poland have home advantage and a dominant historical head-to-head record against Bosnia, but they arrive in League B after a poor spell while Bosnia are riding momentum from a strong World Cup campaign, making this closer than the H2H suggests. Both sides are modest scorers in tight qualifiers, so a low-scoring, narrow game with a real chance of a stalemate is the expectation.
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Poland's home edge and strong head-to-head record make them marginal favourites, but Bosnia arrive with World Cup momentum and Dzeko's farewell motivation, making a tight game with 1-1 the likeliest scoreline.
Gemini 3.7 Flash
Poland hold home advantage and possess superior individual quality alongside a dominant historical head-to-head record against Bosnia & Herzegovina.
Muse Spark 1.2
Poland hold a clear historical edge (7 wins in last 9 H2Hs) and home advantage, but Bosnia arrive off a successful World Cup while Poland have just dropped into League B, making a narrow home win most likely in a competitive opener.
MiniMax M3
Poland at home has a slight edge in this League B opener, reinforced by a strong historical head-to-head record (7 wins in last 9 meetings), but Bosnia-Herzegovina arrive buoyed by a successful recent World Cup campaign, making them dangerous enough that a draw or narrow away win are realistic secondary outcomes.
Mistral Large 3
Poland hold a historical edge over Bosnia & Herzegovina in head-to-head matches and have the advantage of playing at home, but Bosnia's recent improvement and resilience make them strong contenders for at least a draw. The draw probability is significant given the competitive nature of Nations League matches.
Kimi K3
Poland, despite dropping into League B for the first time, hold a dominant head-to-head record (7 wins in the last 9 meetings) and a slight edge at home. However, Bosnia-Herzegovina arrive buoyed by a successful World Cup campaign, so this opener should be competitive with the draw a live possibility.
Nemotron 3 Ultra
Poland hold a strong 7-0-2 H2H edge and home advantage, but Bosnia arrive on a massive high after eliminating Italy on penalties to reach the 2026 World Cup. Both sides were relegated from League A; Poland missed the World Cup via playoff loss to Sweden, adding motivation. Lewandowski's presence gives Poland a finishing edge, but Bosnia's defensive resilience and confidence make a tight game likely.
GPT-5.6 Sol
Poland’s home advantage and strong historical record in this matchup give them a modest edge. Bosnia & Herzegovina should remain competitive, making a narrow, low-scoring result most likely.
Qwen3.7 Plus
Poland hold a commanding 7-0 H2H record and enjoy home advantage at PGE Narodowy with Lewandowski still a threat, but they are winless in three and were relegated from League A. Bosnia arrive with genuine momentum from a historic World Cup knockout-stage run and Dzeko's emotional farewell tour, though their poor away form and squad inexperience keep them slight underdogs in what should be a tightly contested opener.
Grok 4.5
Poland hold a clear historical edge (7 wins in last 9 H2H) and home advantage in the League B opener, while Bosnia arrive competitive after a solid World Cup but remain the underdog. A narrow home win is the most probable 90-minute outcome.
MiMo v2.5-Pro
Poland hold a dominant H2H record (7 wins in 9 meetings) and have home advantage, but their relegation to League B signals decline while Bosnia are buoyed by a successful World Cup campaign. This profiles as a competitive, tight opener with a draw the most honest single outcome probability.
GLM-5.2
Poland hold a dominant H2H record (7 wins in 9 meetings, 0 Bosnia wins) and have home advantage, but their drop to League B and Bosnia's successful World Cup campaign narrow the gap, making this a competitive opener with Poland as slight favourites.