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UEFA Nations LeagueFull time

Poland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina — predictions and result

Poland
90-minute result0–0
Bosnia & Herzegovina
League B - 1National Stadium Warsaw

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic1–1
H45%D28%A27%
MissedMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek1–1
H46%D27%A27%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle2–1
H52%D28%A20%
MissedMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta2–1
H48%D27%A25%
MissedMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax2–1
H42%D29%A29%
MissedMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral1–1
H45%D30%A25%
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–1
H46%D26%A28%
MissedMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA2–1
H42%D28%A30%
MissedMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI1–0
H47%D29%A24%
MissedMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba1–1
H40%D28%A32%
MissedMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI2–1
H52%D26%A22%
MissedMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi1–1
H42%D28%A30%
MissedMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai2–1
H45%D28%A27%
MissedMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Poland have home advantage and a dominant historical head-to-head record against Bosnia, but they arrive in League B after a poor spell while Bosnia are riding momentum from a strong World Cup campaign, making this closer than the H2H suggests. Both sides are modest scorers in tight qualifiers, so a low-scoring, narrow game with a real chance of a stalemate is the expectation.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Poland's home edge and strong head-to-head record make them marginal favourites, but Bosnia arrive with World Cup momentum and Dzeko's farewell motivation, making a tight game with 1-1 the likeliest scoreline.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Poland hold home advantage and possess superior individual quality alongside a dominant historical head-to-head record against Bosnia & Herzegovina.

Muse Spark 1.2

Poland hold a clear historical edge (7 wins in last 9 H2Hs) and home advantage, but Bosnia arrive off a successful World Cup while Poland have just dropped into League B, making a narrow home win most likely in a competitive opener.

MiniMax M3

Poland at home has a slight edge in this League B opener, reinforced by a strong historical head-to-head record (7 wins in last 9 meetings), but Bosnia-Herzegovina arrive buoyed by a successful recent World Cup campaign, making them dangerous enough that a draw or narrow away win are realistic secondary outcomes.

Mistral Large 3

Poland hold a historical edge over Bosnia & Herzegovina in head-to-head matches and have the advantage of playing at home, but Bosnia's recent improvement and resilience make them strong contenders for at least a draw. The draw probability is significant given the competitive nature of Nations League matches.

Kimi K3

Poland, despite dropping into League B for the first time, hold a dominant head-to-head record (7 wins in the last 9 meetings) and a slight edge at home. However, Bosnia-Herzegovina arrive buoyed by a successful World Cup campaign, so this opener should be competitive with the draw a live possibility.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Poland hold a strong 7-0-2 H2H edge and home advantage, but Bosnia arrive on a massive high after eliminating Italy on penalties to reach the 2026 World Cup. Both sides were relegated from League A; Poland missed the World Cup via playoff loss to Sweden, adding motivation. Lewandowski's presence gives Poland a finishing edge, but Bosnia's defensive resilience and confidence make a tight game likely.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Poland’s home advantage and strong historical record in this matchup give them a modest edge. Bosnia & Herzegovina should remain competitive, making a narrow, low-scoring result most likely.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Poland hold a commanding 7-0 H2H record and enjoy home advantage at PGE Narodowy with Lewandowski still a threat, but they are winless in three and were relegated from League A. Bosnia arrive with genuine momentum from a historic World Cup knockout-stage run and Dzeko's emotional farewell tour, though their poor away form and squad inexperience keep them slight underdogs in what should be a tightly contested opener.

Grok 4.5

Poland hold a clear historical edge (7 wins in last 9 H2H) and home advantage in the League B opener, while Bosnia arrive competitive after a solid World Cup but remain the underdog. A narrow home win is the most probable 90-minute outcome.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Poland hold a dominant H2H record (7 wins in 9 meetings) and have home advantage, but their relegation to League B signals decline while Bosnia are buoyed by a successful World Cup campaign. This profiles as a competitive, tight opener with a draw the most honest single outcome probability.

GLM-5.2

Poland hold a dominant H2H record (7 wins in 9 meetings, 0 Bosnia wins) and have home advantage, but their drop to League B and Bosnia's successful World Cup campaign narrow the gap, making this a competitive opener with Poland as slight favourites.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomePoland
1.68
DrawLevel at 90′
3.85
AwayBosnia & Herzegovina
5.05