Norway
Portugal| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H36%D26%A38% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H30%D28%A42% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–2 | H28%D27%A45% | Correct | Exact |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–2 | H33%D28%A39% | Correct | Exact |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H27%D30%A43% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–2 | H28%D34%A38% | Correct | Exact |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–2 | H31%D26%A43% | Correct | Exact |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–2 | H30%D28%A42% | Correct | Exact |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H30%D28%A42% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–2 | H27%D27%A46% | Correct | Exact |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H34%D28%A38% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–2 | H29%D28%A43% | Correct | Exact |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–2 | H28%D27%A45% | Correct | Exact |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Portugal carry more overall squad depth and quality with Ronaldo, Bruno Fernandes and a settled defensive core, but Norway in Oslo with Haaland and Ødegaard are a genuine threat and both sides have leaked goals recently, so the gap is small and a high-scoring, tight contest is likely.
Portugal's superior squad depth, H2H record and Norway's defensive fragility make them marginal favourites, but Norway's home form with Haaland and Odegaard should keep it close; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline.
Portugal boast superior depth and midfield control across the pitch, but Norway's firepower via Haaland and Odegaard ensures an open contest in Oslo.
Norway are dangerous at home with Haaland/Odegaard/Bobb/Nusa but have failed to keep a clean sheet in nine, while Portugal bring superior depth and a 3-1 recent H2H edge having won the last two meetings; an open BTTS game slightly favours Portugal.
Portugal hold a clear quality edge (leading the recent H2H 3-1) with a deeper, more balanced squad featuring Bruno Fernandes, Bernardo Silva-quality creators and Ronaldo up front, but Norway at home in Oslo possess elite individual firepower in Haaland and Ødegaard. Norway's chronic inability to keep clean sheets (none in last 9) limits a home win, while Portugal's cautious approach under new management and travel away make a 1-1 draw the modal scoreline.
Portugal possess superior individual quality, tactical cohesion, and recent head-to-head dominance, but Norway’s attacking threat (Haaland, Ødegaard) and home advantage make a draw highly plausible. Defensive vulnerabilities in both teams further increase the likelihood of an open, closely contested match.
Portugal bring the deeper, higher-quality squad (Dias, Fernandes, Ronaldo, Vitinha, Neves) and have won the last two head-to-heads, while Norway have failed to keep a clean sheet in nine straight matches. However, Oslo is a tough trip and Haaland/Ødegaard give Norway genuine punch, so this shapes as an open game Portugal edge more often than not, with the draw a live possibility.
Portugal's superior squad depth and 3-1 H2H edge outweigh Norway's home advantage; Norway's nine-match clean-sheet drought and Portugal's attacking firepower (Ronaldo, Fernandes, Félix) point to a narrow away win, though both sides' defensive frailties keep the draw probability high.
Portugal have the stronger, deeper squad and the better recent head-to-head record, but Norway’s home advantage and elite Haaland-Ødegaard attacking axis narrow the gap. Norway’s poor clean-sheet run makes Portugal likelier winners overall, though both teams’ attacking quality makes 1-1 the most plausible exact score.
Portugal's superior squad depth and H2H dominance (3-1 recent record, winning last two) give them the edge, but Norway's home threat through Haaland and Ødegaard combined with Portugal's defensive vulnerabilities (blank vs Colombia, new coach still adjusting) ensures both teams score. Norway's leaky defense (no clean sheet in 9 matches) ultimately costs them against Portugal's attacking quality.
Both sides opened with wins (Norway 3-2 vs Denmark via Haaland brace; Portugal 1-0 vs Wales) and sit level on points; Norway's home form, WC QF pedigree and Haaland threat balance Portugal's superior H2H record, squad depth and reigning NL champion status under Jesus, making a tight draw the modal outcome.
Portugal have a stronger overall squad and lead the H2H 3-1 in recent meetings, while Norway's nine-match run without a clean sheet points to defensive vulnerability against Ronaldo, Bruno Fernandes and João Félix; however, Haaland and Ødegaard at home in Oslo ensure Norway remain a genuine threat, keeping the draw in play.
Portugal's superior squad depth and 3-1 recent H2H advantage give them the edge, but Norway's home advantage with Haaland and Ødegaard keeps them in contention. Norway's nine-match run without a clean sheet is a concern against Portugal's attacking firepower.
NorwayPortugal