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UEFA Nations LeagueFull time

Netherlands vs Serbia — predictions and result

Netherlands
90-minute result2–1
Serbia
League A - 4Philips Stadion

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic2–0
H68%D20%A12%
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek2–0
H64%D22%A14%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle2–0
H67%D21%A12%
CorrectMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta2–1
H62%D23%A15%
CorrectExact
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax2–1
H65%D22%A13%
CorrectExact
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral2–1
H50%D28%A22%
CorrectExact
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–1
H62%D23%A15%
CorrectExact
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA2–1
H62%D23%A15%
CorrectExact
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI2–0
H64%D22%A14%
CorrectMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba2–1
H62%D22%A16%
CorrectExact
GrokGrok 4.5xAI2–1
H58%D24%A18%
CorrectExact
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H62%D21%A17%
CorrectExact
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai2–0
H64%D22%A14%
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

The Netherlands are clearly the stronger side and at home should dominate possession against a Serbia team low on confidence after three straight international defeats and an ageing, disjointed attack. A controlled Dutch win by one or two goals is the most likely outcome, with Serbia's deep 5-man block offering some chance of a low-scoring stalemate.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Netherlands are in strong Nations League form, have already beaten Serbia 2-1 away, and enjoy greater attacking variety, while Serbia are on a five-match losing streak and likely to sit deep in a 5-4-1 that should eventually be broken down.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

The Netherlands boast superior quality across the pitch and strong home form, while Serbia have struggled for consistency and defensive stability in recent outings.

Muse Spark 1.2

Netherlands salvaged a point away to Germany while Serbia collapsed late to Greece for a third straight defeat; at home the Dutch possession and width (Dumfries/van de Ven) should break Serbia's five-man block despite recent BTTS trends.

MiniMax M3

Netherlands are clear favorites at home after a resilient stoppage-time draw at Germany, while Serbia arrive in poor form with three straight international defeats and four losses in their last five. The Dutch squad depth (Van Dijk, Dumfries, Gakpo, Reijnders) and home advantage should outweigh Serbia's veteran attacking threat, though both defenses have shown vulnerability recently — pointing to a narrow Dutch win rather than a shutout.

Mistral Large 3

The Netherlands are in stronger form, playing at home with a more cohesive tactical setup and greater attacking depth, while Serbia's recent struggles and defensive vulnerabilities make them underdogs despite their attacking talent.

Kimi K3

Netherlands are clear favourites at home against a Serbia side in poor form — three straight international defeats and a late collapse against Greece — while the Dutch (Gakpo, Reijnders, Gravenberch) have the quality to stretch Serbia's five-man defence. Serbia's Tadić/Jović threat and the Netherlands' run of both-teams-scoring matches keep an away goal likely, but a Dutch win is the probable outcome with the draw a live second option.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Netherlands' potent attack (Gakpo, Reijnders, Dumfries) and strong home form contrast with Serbia's three straight defeats and four losses in five; both teams have scored in six of the Dutch's last six, pointing to a 2-1 home win.

GPT-5.6 Sol

The Netherlands should dominate possession and exploit Serbia’s five-man defence through their width and stronger attacking quality. Serbia’s recent losing run and low confidence make a controlled Dutch home win the likeliest outcome.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Netherlands are strong favorites at home with a solid defensive display against Germany and a deep attacking roster, while Serbia are in poor form with three consecutive defeats and low confidence after a late collapse against Greece. However, the persistent BTTS trend in Netherlands matches and Serbia's attacking threats in Tadić and Jović suggest the visitors are likely to find the net in what should be a controlled Dutch victory.

Grok 4.5

Netherlands hold clear quality and home edge over a Serbia side on a poor run of results including a late collapse vs Greece; Dutch control of possession and width should force a win, though both teams' recent scoring trends point to a 2-1 rather than a clean sheet.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

The Netherlands are strong at home with a deep squad featuring Van Dijk, Gakpo and Dumfries, while Serbia are in dire form with three consecutive defeats and late-game collapses (e.g. Greece). However, both teams have scored in the Netherlands' last six matches, suggesting Serbia can find the net even in defeat.

GLM-5.2

Netherlands are unbeaten in the Nations League and already beat Serbia 2-1 away in Belgrade; now at home in Eindhoven against a Serbia side with zero points from three matches and no competitive win since November 2025, the Dutch should comfortably control the game and keep a clean sheet against a toothless Serbian attack.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeNetherlands
1.16
DrawLevel at 90′
8.01
AwaySerbia
14.38