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UEFA Nations LeagueFull time

Netherlands vs Germany — predictions and result

Netherlands
90-minute result1–1
Germany
League A - 1Johan Cruijff Arena

Predictions

12 published · 1 missing
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic1–1
H39%D28%A33%
MissedExact
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek1–1
H34%D30%A36%
MissedExact
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle1–1
H35%D29%A36%
MissedExact
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta1–2
H35%D27%A38%
MissedMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax1–1
H38%D28%A34%
MissedExact
KimiKimi K3Moonshot1–2
H33%D28%A39%
MissedMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA1–2
H28%D30%A42%
MissedMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI1–1
H31%D29%A40%
MissedExact
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba1–1
H33%D27%A40%
MissedExact
GrokGrok 4.5xAI2–2
H37%D30%A33%
MissedMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H38%D28%A34%
MissedMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai1–1
H34%D30%A36%
MissedExact

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Two evenly matched sides opening new eras under Xavi and Klopp, with no cohesion from recent camps and heavy absentee lists on both sides (De Jong, De Ligt, Simons, Malen, Kluivert out for the Dutch; Klopp leaving Wirtz, Woltemade and Pavlovic in his second squad while blooding uncapped players). The Netherlands' outstanding Amsterdam record and home advantage give them a small edge, but Germany's unbeaten run in the fixture and consistent scoring make a tight, high-draw-probability game — the last meeting here finished 2-2.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Two strong sides with new coaches (Xavi, Klopp) and both missing key players; Germany's midfield quality slightly edges it, but home advantage keeps the Netherlands competitive, making a tight draw the likeliest outcome.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Both European giants enter new tactical eras in their Nations League opener, and with high individual quality across both squads, a closely contested, score-draw is the most balanced outcome.

Muse Spark 1.2

Netherlands have home advantage but are without six key players including Frenkie de Jong, Xavi Simons and de Ligt and are bedding in Xavi's new possession system with three uncapped call-ups, while Klopp's Germany can exploit that transition with a press led by Kimmich and Musiala between the lines.

MiniMax M3

Both nations enter under new managers (Xavi for the Netherlands, Klopp reportedly for Germany) following disappointing World Cup exits, making this a transitional, cagey opener. The Netherlands miss key midfielders (De Jong, Schouten, Wieffer) but have home advantage and Brobbey in form, while Germany's quality (Musiala, Kimmich) keeps them slight favorites on paper — a stalemate 1-1 reflects the balance.

Kimi K3

Both sides debut new coaches (Xavi vs Klopp) after World Cup last-32 shootout exits, but the Dutch are hit harder by absences (de Jong, Simons, de Ligt, Malen, Kluivert) while Germany still field an in-form Musiala alongside Havertz and Kimmich despite missing Wirtz and Pavlovic. Germany are unbeaten in the last four meetings and have scored in 13 straight internationals, yet neither defence has kept a clean sheet in 2026 and the Dutch are unbeaten competitively at home since 2023 — so a tight, open game with a slight German edge and a very live draw.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Netherlands miss six key players (de Jong, De Ligt, Wieffer, Maatsen, Schouten, Simons) severely weakening their spine; Germany under Klopp bring high-press continuity and Musiala's creative threat, outweighing Dutch home advantage in this opener.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Germany have a slight overall quality edge and could benefit from Klopp’s pressing, while several Dutch midfield and defensive absences weaken the hosts. Netherlands’ home advantage and attacking talent should keep a draw firmly in contention.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Netherlands are at home but missing six key players including de Jong, de Ligt, and Simons, while Germany under new manager Klopp bring intensity and Musiala's creativity between the lines. Both sides are in transition after World Cup disappointments, making a tight, cagey opener the most likely outcome.

Grok 4.5

Both sides debut new coaches (Xavi and Klopp) after identical R32 penalty exits at WC 2026, with NL missing de Jong/Simons/de Ligt/Malen but enjoying home advantage and Brobbey form, while Klopp fields an experimental non-full-strength squad without Wirtz. Recent H2H and attacking styles point to an open, high-scoring stalemate.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Netherlands have home advantage and Brobbey in strong club form, but significant absences (De Jong, Simons, De Ligt, Schouten) and a new manager settling in balance against a Germany side also in transition under Klopp with Musiala as a decisive threat; a tight, competitive match is expected with the Dutch edging it narrowly.

GLM-5.2

Two evenly matched elite sides both transitioning under new coaches (Xavi for Netherlands, Klopp for Germany), with the Dutch missing several key players (de Jong, de Ligt, Simons) offsetting their home advantage. A tight, cautious opening group match points toward a narrow result, with Germany's marginally stronger squad availability giving them a slight edge.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeNetherlands
2.43
DrawLevel at 90′
3.77
AwayGermany
2.80