Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Model notes
Claude Opus 5
Slovakia have clearly superior individual quality and already beat Moldova 2-0 in the reverse fixture a week and a half earlier, but their poor away record and Moldova's improved confidence after ending a long winless run in Kazakhstan keep this tight. A low-scoring Slovakia win is likeliest, with a real chance of a stalemate in Chisinau.
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Slovakia are the stronger side and won the reverse fixture 2-0, but their poor away record and Moldova's confidence-boosting win over Kazakhstan make this closer than the reverse meeting. A narrow Slovakia win with both teams scoring looks most likely, with the draw given honest weight.
Gemini 3.7 Flash
Slovakia hold a clear quality advantage over Moldova, having already won the reverse fixture 2-0, though the hosts will put up resistance following their recent victory over Kazakhstan.
Muse Spark 1.2
Slovakia won the reverse 2-0 on 26 Sept and remain the stronger side despite missing two midfielders, but their poor away form (6 losses in last 8 away, 1 win) tempers the edge against a Moldova side buoyed by ending a 17-game winless run with a 2-1 win in Kazakhstan and scoring in 5 of last 6.
MiniMax M3
Slovakia won the reverse fixture 2-0 and are the stronger side on paper, but their historically poor away form (6 losses in 8 recent away outings) and Moldova's recent attacking improvement — including a 2-1 win over Kazakhstan that ended a long winless run — make this a competitive home game where a draw is very plausible, even though Slovakia remain slight favorites.
Kimi K3
Slovakia have the clear quality edge and won the reverse fixture 2-0 just ten days ago, but they have lost six of their last eight away matches and are missing two midfield options. Moldova, buoyed by a 2-1 win over Kazakhstan that ended a long winless run and showing new attacking life, can make this very competitive in Chisinau, so the draw is a genuine threat to the Slovakian favorite status.
Nemotron 3 Ultra
Moldova snapped a 17-match winless run with a 2-1 victory in Kazakhstan and enjoy home advantage against a Slovakia side that has lost six of its last eight away fixtures and is missing two midfielders; the reverse fixture ended 2-0 to Slovakia in Slovakia, but current form and venue favour a tight, low-scoring draw.
GPT-5.6 Sol
Slovakia are the stronger side and recently beat Moldova 2-0, but their poor away record and midfield absences reduce confidence. Moldova’s recent win over Kazakhstan suggests they can keep this competitive and potentially score.
Qwen3.7 Plus
Slovakia won the reverse fixture 2-0 just 10 days ago and remain the stronger side on paper, but their dreadful away record (6 losses in 8) and two missing midfielders blunt their edge. Moldova are riding the confidence of a first win in 17 games and have home advantage in Chisinau, making a tight, low-scoring affair the most likely outcome.
Grok 4.5
Slovakia won the reverse fixture 2-0 just 10 days earlier and remain the stronger side overall, but Moldova’s fresh 2-1 win over Kazakhstan ended a long drought and they score at home; Slovakia’s poor recent away record (one win in eight) keeps the gap modest and a draw plausible.
MiMo v2.5-Pro
Slovakia won the reverse fixture 2-0 and have superior squad quality, but their dreadful away form (6 losses in 8 away outings) and missing midfield options significantly level the playing field; Moldova's recent 2-1 win over Kazakhstan and home advantage point to a competitive, low-scoring draw as the most likely single outcome, with Slovakia still edging it overall on quality.
GLM-5.2
Slovakia are clearly the stronger side (FIFA 45 vs 159), won the reverse fixture 2-0, and sit top of the group with 7 points from 3, but their away record is poor with 6 losses in their last 8 road trips and they were held 1-1 by Faroe Islands last time out. Moldova's recent improvement — a 2-1 win over Kazakhstan and three draws in their last four — plus home advantage and Slovakia's midfield absences (Bénes, Bero) keep the draw in play, but Slovakia's overall unbeaten run and quality edge should see them edge it with both sides scoring.