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Malta vs Gibraltar — predictions and result

Malta
90-minute result1–1
Gibraltar
League D - 3Ta'Qali National Stadium

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic1–0
H62%D25%A13%
MissedMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek1–0
H55%D26%A19%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle1–0
H54%D28%A18%
MissedMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta1–0
H58%D27%A15%
MissedMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax1–0
H52%D27%A21%
MissedMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral1–0
H50%D30%A20%
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot1–0
H57%D25%A18%
MissedMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA1–0
H48%D28%A24%
MissedMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI1–0
H58%D27%A15%
MissedMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba1–0
H55%D24%A21%
MissedMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI1–0
H58%D27%A15%
MissedMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi1–0
H48%D30%A22%
MissedMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai2–0
H56%D26%A18%
MissedMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Malta have been the stronger and more consistent of the two minnows lately and have home advantage, while Gibraltar's stubborn 0-0 with Andorra showed defensive resilience but little attacking threat; a narrow, low-scoring Malta win is most likely with a real chance of a stalemate.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Malta's home advantage and stronger recent head-to-head record give them the edge, while Gibraltar arrive compact and hard to break down after a 0-0 draw with Andorra. A tight, low-scoring contest is likely, with Malta edging it.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Malta possess greater technical quality and home advantage against a defensive Gibraltar side that struggles to create chances.

Muse Spark 1.2

Malta at home hold a clear H2H edge (2-0-1 in last three) and momentum, while Gibraltar are improved and unbeaten in four but showed limited threat in a 0-0 opener at Andorra, making a narrow, low-scoring Malta win most likely.

MiniMax M3

Malta holds home advantage and a strong recent head-to-head record (67% wins), making them favorites against Gibraltar, who managed only a goalless draw with Andorra in their opener. Both sides are among Europe's weakest, so a low-scoring, tight contest is expected with a realistic chance of a draw.

Mistral Large 3

Malta holds a clear historical and recent-form advantage over Gibraltar, including a 67% win rate in their last meetings and home advantage in this fixture. However, Gibraltar's defensive resilience (evidenced by their goalless draw against Andorra) and Malta's tendency to struggle against lower-ranked teams justify a significant draw probability.

Kimi K3

Malta hold a clear edge in this minnow matchup, having won two of the last three meetings including a recent 1-0 friendly victory, and they carry momentum and home advantage against a Gibraltar side that managed only a 0-0 with Andorra despite a four-match unbeaten run. Expect a tight, low-scoring contest between two of Europe's weakest attacks, with Malta's slight quality gap making a narrow home win the most likely outcome while the draw remains a live possibility.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Malta hold a superior head-to-head record (67% win rate) and enjoy home advantage against a Gibraltar side that drew 0-0 with Andorra in their opener; however, Gibraltar's four-match unbeaten run and the typically tight nature of League D fixtures keep the draw probability elevated.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Malta appear the stronger side and have home advantage, while Gibraltar’s goalless opener against Andorra points toward another low-scoring match. Malta’s recent head-to-head edge makes a narrow home win the likeliest outcome.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Malta hold a strong historical edge over Gibraltar (2-0-1 in recent meetings) and have home advantage in this League D clash. Gibraltar underwhelmed with a 0-0 draw against Andorra in their opener, suggesting limited attacking threat, while Malta are in confident form and expected to control a low-scoring affair.

Grok 4.5

Malta hold a clear quality edge and home advantage over Gibraltar in League D, with a strong recent H2H record (mostly wins) and Gibraltar coming off a goalless draw vs Andorra; low-scoring 1-0 is the most probable outcome given both sides' limited attacking output.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Malta hold a clear historical edge over Gibraltar (2W-1D-1L in recent meetings) and have home advantage in a match between Europe's lowest-ranked sides. Gibraltar's goalless draw with Andorra suggests a limited attacking threat, making a low-sc Malta home win the most likely outcome.

GLM-5.2

Malta are clearly the stronger side (FIFA 161st vs 202nd), enter on a three-match winning streak with home advantage, and hold a 2-1 H2H edge. Gibraltar's unbeaten run came against minnow-level opposition, and their 0-0 draw with Andorra contrasts with Malta's 2-1 win over the same opponent, pointing to a comfortable home victory.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeMalta
1.27
DrawLevel at 90′
5.25
AwayGibraltar
11.74