Lithuania
Azerbaijan| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–0 | H45%D29%A26% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–0 | H44%D30%A26% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–0 | H43%D31%A26% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–0 | H47%D28%A25% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–0 | H44%D32%A24% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H40%D30%A30% | Missed | Exact |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–0 | H47%D28%A25% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–0 | H48%D27%A25% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–0 | H43%D32%A25% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–0 | H45%D28%A27% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–0 | H42%D30%A28% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–0 | H48%D28%A24% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–0 | H42%D31%A27% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Two limited sides, but Lithuania have home advantage, opened the group with a win, and have kept clean sheets in both modern meetings, while Azerbaijan have been dismal on the road with no competitive win since November 2023. Expect a tight, low-scoring game with a real chance of a stalemate.
Lithuania have home advantage, a better start to the group, and are unbeaten with clean sheets in recent head-to-head meetings, while Azerbaijan have been very poor away in competitive games and are winless since November 2023.
Lithuania hold home advantage against an Azerbaijan side that has struggled badly away in competitive fixtures, having won just once on the road since late 2022. In a tight, low-scoring League D encounter, Lithuania are well positioned to edge a narrow victory.
Lithuania host with momentum from opening win to top League D Group 2 and two clean-sheet unbeaten H2Hs this century, while Azerbaijan are winless in 13 competitive games (D2 L11) with just one away win since late 2022 and three straight Nations League away defeats. Home advantage in a low-scoring League D matchup makes Lithuania narrow favourites despite Azerbaijan's recent friendly wins over Tajikistan and San Marino.
Azerbaijan's competitive form is dire — no competitive win since November 2023 and only one away win (vs Estonia) since late 2022 per Flashscore — and Forebet flags three consecutive UNL away defeats in both halves. Lithuania, despite mixed recent results, has historically dominated this fixture at home (unbeaten this century with clean sheets) and enjoys home advantage in a League D opener.
Lithuania show slightly better recent form and home advantage, but Azerbaijan have demonstrated attacking potential and resilience in recent friendlies. Both teams lack consistency, and their head-to-head record is balanced, making a draw the most likely single outcome despite the probabilities reflecting a tight contest.
Lithuania carry momentum from a 2-0 opening win over Liechtenstein and have home advantage against an Azerbaijan side winless in competitive matches since November 2023 with three consecutive Nations League away defeats, despite the visitors' recent friendly wins over minnows. Expect a tight, low-scoring contest between two of Europe's weaker sides, with a narrow home win the most likely outcome but the draw a live possibility.
Lithuania hold home advantage and an unbeaten H2H record this century with clean sheets, while Azerbaijan have lost three straight Nations League away games at both half-time and full-time and last won a competitive away match in 2022.
Lithuania hold a modest home advantage against an Azerbaijan side with a prolonged competitive and away-game slump. Both teams have limited attacking quality, making a low-scoring home win or draw most likely.
Lithuania enter with momentum from a first-matchday win (3 points) and hold a strong H2H record against Azerbaijan — unbeaten with clean sheets in both meetings this century. Azerbaijan have lost three consecutive away Nations League matches and have not won a competitive game since November 2023, making a narrow home victory the most likely outcome despite Azerbaijan's recent friendly form.
Lithuania enter with momentum from a solid 2-0 away win over Liechtenstein and home advantage, while Azerbaijan have struggled for competitive wins and away form despite a higher FIFA ranking and recent friendly successes against weak sides. Low-scoring H2H history and both teams' defensive tendencies make a narrow home win or draw the likeliest paths.
Lithuania hold home advantage and a 2-0 opening win, while Azerbaijan's competitive away record is dire (no away win since Nov 2023, 3 straight NL away defeats). The H2H record favors Lithuania with clean sheets in both meetings this century, though both sides are low-scoring so a tight game is expected.
Lithuania hold home advantage and have a strong H2H record against Azerbaijan (unbeaten this century, clean sheets in both meetings), while Azerbaijan's competitive drought (no win since November 2023) and dismal away form (1 win in 12 away since late 2022) make a narrow home victory the most likely outcome.
LithuaniaAzerbaijan