Latvia
Montenegro| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 0–1 | H25%D27%A48% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 0–2 | H18%D27%A55% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 0–1 | H23%D29%A48% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–2 | H27%D26%A47% | Correct | Exact |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–2 | H25%D30%A45% | Correct | Exact |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H25%D35%A40% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–2 | H23%D28%A49% | Correct | Exact |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–2 | H25%D30%A45% | Correct | Exact |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 0–1 | H24%D29%A47% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–2 | H25%D28%A47% | Correct | Exact |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 0–2 | H20%D27%A53% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 0–1 | H26%D29%A45% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–2 | H23%D30%A47% | Correct | Exact |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Montenegro are clearly the stronger side on personnel and recent results (including a win over Cyprus), while Latvia have struggled for goals and sit bottom of the group after losing to Armenia; home advantage in Riga and Latvia's compact defensive setup keep the draw a live option in a likely low-scoring game.
Montenegro have won both Nations League games and are unbeaten in their last four away matches, while Latvia have one point and have failed to score in three straight. Latvia's blunt attack and Montenegro's stronger form point to a controlled away win.
Montenegro possess the superior technical quality and an unbeaten historical record against Latvia across their previous encounters. While the hosts will look to maintain a compact defensive shape in Riga, the visitors have enough attacking edge to carve out a narrow win.
Montenegro are unbeaten in four head-to-heads vs Latvia (2 wins) and arrive with revived away form (unbeaten in last four away, three wins), while Latvia sit bottom of League C Group 2 on -2 GD with only narrow wins over Gibraltar recently; BTTS in 70% of Montenegro games points to a 1-2 away win.
Montenegro are unbeaten in four previous meetings with Latvia (2 wins) and have won three of their last four away matches, while Latvia are bottom of League C Group 2 after a 0-2 loss to Armenia, making the Brave Falcons favourites despite the trip to Riga; however, Latvia's desperate need for points and defensive 4-4-2 shape, combined with the tight 1-1 historical result, keep the draw probability meaningfully high.
Montenegro hold a slight edge in recent form and historical head-to-head results, but Latvia's defensive resilience at home and Montenegro's tendency to concede goals in away matches make a draw the most likely outcome. Both teams are likely to prioritize defense, leading to a low-scoring but tightly contested match.
Montenegro are unbeaten in all four previous meetings with Latvia (two wins, two draws) and arrive in strong form, unbeaten in their last four away matches with three wins, including a 2-1 victory over Cyprus. Latvia sit bottom of the group after a 2-0 defeat to Armenia, with their only recent wins coming narrowly against Gibraltar, so the visitors' superior quality and momentum make an away win the most likely outcome, though League C away trips keep the draw very live.
Montenegro are unbeaten in four previous meetings with Latvia (two wins) and have won three of their last four away matches, while Latvia sit bottom of the group with a negative goal difference; both teams score frequently in Montenegro games, suggesting a narrow away win.
Montenegro have the stronger recent away profile and are unbeaten in four previous meetings with Latvia. Latvia’s limited attacking threat points toward a close, low-scoring away win, with the draw still a significant possibility.
Montenegro enter with improved form, an unbeaten away run (three wins in four), and a strong head-to-head record over Latvia, who sit bottom of League C Group 2 after a 0-2 loss to Armenia and whose only recent wins came against Gibraltar. With BTTS hitting 70% in Montenegro's matches and an average of 3.5 goals per game, a narrow away win with Latvia scoring is the most likely outcome.
Montenegro sit top with two wins and strong recent away form plus H2H dominance, while Latvia have one point, no goals in three games and poor home record, making an away win the clearest outcome.
Montenegro are unbeaten in all four previous meetings with Latvia and carry strong recent away form into a match against a Latvia side that has won just 2 of their last 15 games and frequently blanks at home. The visitors' attacking duo of Osmajic and Krstovic should prove the difference in a low-scoring contest.
Montenegro are unbeaten in four previous meetings with Latvia and arrive in strong away form (unbeaten in last four on the road, winning three), while Latvia have struggled with only narrow wins over Gibraltar and a recent 0-2 loss to Armenia. Montenegro's higher quality and better recent results make them favourites, but Latvia's home advantage and defensive approach keep the draw in play.
LatviaMontenegro