Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Model notes
Claude Opus 5
Kazakhstan have a solid home record in Astana and should control possession against a Moldova side that typically sits deep and offers little going forward, but their lack of a clinical edge keeps this a tight, low-scoring affair with a real draw risk.
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Kazakhstan's home advantage and greater control in possession make them favourites, but Moldova's deep 5-3-2 block and counter-attacking threat should keep the game close, making a 2-1 home win the most likely scoreline.
Gemini 3.7 Flash
Kazakhstan hold a strong home advantage in Astana and boast superior technical quality to break down a low-block defensive Moldova side.
Muse Spark 1.2
Kazakhstan's significant home advantage in Astana and expected possession dominance via Zaynutdinov against Moldova's deep 5-3-2 should create the edge, but Moldova's counter threat and Kazakhstan's search for first win under new manager keeps it tight with high BTTS trend (70%, 2.9 avg).
MiniMax M3
Kazakhstan hold a clear home advantage and will look to dominate possession in a 4-3-3 setup, while Moldova — historically one of Europe's weakest sides (world rank ~181, conceded 30 in recent World Cup qualifying) — will sit deep in a 5-3-2 and counter through Ambros and Cojocaru. However, Moldova's defensive resilience in low blocks and the precedent of their previous 0-1 win at this venue keep the draw and away result meaningfully live, hence an honest ~28% draw probability.
Kimi K3
Kazakhstan (FIFA 111) have won three of their last four home games, all with clean sheets, and face a Moldova side (159) winless in 17 matches stretching back to November 2024, including heavy away defeats. The hosts' own attacking limitations under new boss John van 't Schip (one win in eight, missing Satpaev and Kuat) and Moldova's knack for scoring on the road keep the draw live, so a narrow home win is the modal outcome.
Nemotron 3 Ultra
Kazakhstan hold home advantage and a new-manager bounce against a Moldova side that conceded 30 goals in their last qualifying campaign; however, Moldova find the net in 70% of matches, making a home win with both teams scoring the most probable outcome.
GPT-5.6 Sol
Kazakhstan's home advantage and greater ability to control territory give them a modest edge. Moldova's deep defensive shape should keep the match tight, making a low-scoring draw a substantial possibility.
Qwen3.7 Plus
Kazakhstan hold a clear home advantage and are desperate for a first win under their new manager, while Moldova (world-ranked 181) will sit deep in a 5-3-2 but historically leak goals. With 70% of Moldova's matches seeing both teams score and an average of 2.9 goals, a narrow home win with Moldova grabbing a consolation via counter-attack is the most likely outcome.
Grok 4.5
Kazakhstan hold a clear home edge and should control possession against a compact, counter-oriented Moldova side; both are evenly matched mid-tier League C sides with no prior group points, making a low-scoring home win the most probable 90-minute outcome while still allowing a realistic draw chance.
MiMo v2.5-Pro
Kazakhstan have home advantage and are expected to dominate possession through their 4-3-3 setup, while Moldova's deep defensive approach and historically poor away record make them unlikely winners, though their counter-attacking threat and tendency for both teams to score in their matches suggests they could nick one goal.
GLM-5.2
Kazakhstan are at home with a commendable home record and expected to dominate possession against a Moldova side that will sit deep in a 5-3-2 and counter-attack. Kazakhstan's quality edge and home advantage should edge a tight, low-scoring League C affair.