Italy
Türkiye| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–0 | H62%D22%A16% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–0 | H66%D21%A13% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–0 | H64%D22%A14% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–0 | H63%D22%A15% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 2–1 | H57%D23%A20% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 2–1 | H45%D30%A25% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H62%D22%A16% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H58%D27%A15% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 2–1 | H62%D22%A16% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 2–0 | H54%D25%A21% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 2–1 | H55%D25%A20% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–1 | H57%D23%A20% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–0 | H62%D22%A16% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Italy are at home, hold a 4-0-1 historical edge over Türkiye and beat them 4-1 in Bursa only weeks earlier, with Donnarumma behind a settled back line and Frattesi/Esposito in form. Türkiye have the attacking talent to threaten on the break, which keeps a draw honestly in play, but Italy's control and set-piece/crossing volume should decide a low-to-moderate scoring game.
Italy have dominated this head-to-head (4 wins, no defeats) and beat Türkiye 4-1 in their last meeting in September, while Türkiye are still adjusting to League A and struggling defensively.
Italy hold a commanding head-to-head record against Türkiye, including a decisive 4-1 away victory in September, and their tactical solidity and superior midfield control should secure a comfortable home win.
Italy won 4-1 away in Bursa in September and leads H2H 4-0-1, facing a newly-promoted Türkiye side in mixed form whose back three (Demiral/Bardakci) conceded four last meeting; at home Italy's width and crossing volume should again stretch Türkiye's deep block, though Türkiye's set-piece/cross threat keeps upset potential alive.
Italy just thrashed Türkiye 4-1 in Bursa in the reverse fixture, exposing a fragile Demiral/Bardakcı-led defense, and now returns home with Frattesi pushing for a midfield spot and a high-work-rate side (100+ km, 100+ sprints in the previous match). Türkiye is in mixed form while adapting to League A, so Italy's superior depth and home advantage make them clear favorites, but a one-goal margin is most likely given Türkiye's ability to threaten on the break; the draw sits at its honest ~23% baseline.
Italy's superior defensive organization, recent dominance in head-to-head encounters, and tactical flexibility give them an edge, but Türkiye's attacking potential and home advantage make them dangerous. A draw is a significant possibility given the balanced nature of the fixture.
Italy are unbeaten against Türkiye in five meetings (4 wins, 1 draw) and already won the reverse fixture 4-1 in Bursa this campaign, so back on home soil in Bologna with a settled defence behind Donnarumma they are clear favourites. Türkiye carry genuine attacking threat but arrive in mixed form with a defence that Italy have repeatedly exposed, so a competitive away performance with a consolation goal looks plausible rather than a shock result.
Italy's dominant H2H record (4W-1D-0L), recent 4-1 win in the reverse fixture, home advantage, and Türkiye's defensive frailties against Italy's high-intensity pressing and crossing game make an Italy win most likely, though a draw remains a credible outcome given the competitive nature of League A.
Italy have the stronger squad, home advantage and a favorable recent head-to-head, including a 4-1 away win over Türkiye. Türkiye retain enough attacking quality to score, but their defense may struggle against Italy’s sustained pressure and crossing threat.
Italy dominated the reverse fixture 4-1 in September and holds a 4-0-1 H2H record, while Türkiye's defense (Demiral, Bardakcı) remains vulnerable and they are in mixed form. Türkiye are expected to defend deeply, which should limit their attacking output but Italy's quality in switching play and cutting through compact blocks should produce a controlled home win.
Italy hold a clear edge at home after already thrashing Türkiye 4-1 away in September, backed by superior squad quality, H2H dominance and defensive solidity; Türkiye can frustrate but are unlikely to reverse the hierarchy in regulation.
Italy boast a dominant H2H record (4-0-1) and thrashed Türkiye 4-1 in Bursa just weeks ago, and now have home advantage; however, Türkiye will be highly motivated to tighten up defensively after that humiliation, making a narrower result more likely than a repeat blowout.
Italy are at home in Bologna, unbeaten in their last two (4-1 win in Bursa over Türkiye and a 1-1 draw in France), while Türkiye have lost all three Nations League matches, conceded 3+ goals twice, and are missing suspended key attacker Arda Güler. The gulf in quality and form points to a comfortable Italian win, though Türkiye's ability to generate chances (20 shots vs Belgium) keeps a draw and an away upset in play.
ItalyTürkiye