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UEFA Nations LeagueFull time

Israel vs Rep. Of Ireland — predictions and result

Israel
90-minute result0–3
Rep. Of Ireland
League B - 2Nagyerdei Stadion

Predictions

12 published · 1 missing
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic1–1
H35%D28%A37%
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek1–1
H30%D36%A34%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle1–1
H36%D31%A33%
MissedMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta1–1
H39%D27%A34%
MissedMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax1–1
H42%D29%A29%
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot1–1
H31%D26%A43%
CorrectMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA1–1
H38%D28%A34%
MissedMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI1–1
H36%D30%A34%
MissedMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba1–1
H37%D30%A33%
MissedMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI1–1
H28%D32%A40%
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi1–1
H33%D30%A37%
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai1–0
H36%D35%A29%
MissedMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

These sides split their 2024-25 Nations League meetings 1-0 each way, and both remain closely matched: Israel carry more individual attacking talent (Solomon, Gloukh, Peretz) but leak goals, while Ireland under Hallgrímsson are well-organised, physical and hard to beat. Israel's 'home' advantage is diluted by playing at a neutral/displaced venue, so a tight, low-scoring game with a high draw chance is the fair read.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Both sides lost their openers with little attacking output, and Ireland are missing key attackers amid squad disruption while Israel have defensive injuries and a suspended forward; a low-scoring draw looks the most likely outcome at the neutral Debrecen venue.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Israel possess creative attacking talent in players like Oscar Gloukh and Manor Solomon, but their defensive fragility and lack of true home advantage level the contest against a physically resilient Ireland. A tight, balanced encounter with shared points is the most likely outcome.

Muse Spark 1.2

Evenly-matched League B Group 3 opponents with no form edge; Israel's designated home advantage is diluted by likely neutral venue and Ireland's defensive organisation points to a tight, low-margin game where a 1-1 draw is the single most likely scoreline.

MiniMax M3

Israel holds home advantage and has been the slightly stronger side in recent UEFA competitions, but Republic of Ireland remain a competitive opponent who will be difficult to break down. With both teams starting fresh in the 2026/27 campaign and no current form data, a tight, low-scoring encounter is most likely, with Israel's home edge giving them a marginal advantage but a draw a strong secondary outcome.

Kimi K3

Two closely matched League B sides, but Ireland's deeper Premier League/Championship-quality squad and more robust defensive structure give them a slight edge, especially since Israel's 'home' fixtures have routinely been staged at neutral venues, diluting home advantage. Israel's attacking talent (Solomon, Gloukh) keeps them dangerous, so 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline even though an away win is the most probable outcome.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Both sides lost openers (Israel 3-1 to Austria with a red card; Ireland 1-0 to Kosovo while missing Collins, Coleman, Ferguson, Cullen and with Bazunu withdrawn). Israel's 'home' tie in Debrecen offers minimal advantage, Ireland's squad is depleted and distracted, making a low-scoring draw the likeliest outcome.

GPT-5.6 Sol

The teams appear closely matched, with Israel's nominal home advantage offset by Ireland's defensive resilience. A tight, low-scoring draw is the most plausible scoreline.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Both teams lost their opening Nations League matches, but Israel were more competitive in a 3-1 defeat to Austria (before a red card) while Ireland managed only one shot on target in a 1-0 loss to Kosovo. Israel have a slight quality edge and are technically the home side at this neutral venue in Debrecen, but the politically charged, behind-closed-doors atmosphere and Ireland's recent improvement (including a 2-0 win over Portugal in WCQ) keep this finely balanced.

Grok 4.5

Ireland hold a clear FIFA ranking edge (around 59 vs 76) and stronger recent WCQ pedigree, yet both sides lost their Nations League openers and meet at a neutral Hungarian venue with key absences; low-scoring draws dominate their limited H2H and current form profiles.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Both teams lost their openers and are in poor form, making a tight, low-scoring contest likely. Ireland have superior squad quality on paper but were toothless against Kosovo, while Israel showed more attacking intent against Austria despite going down to ten men — the neutral venue in Hungary further levels the playing field.

GLM-5.2

Ireland's preparations have been severely disrupted by the unprecedented controversy around playing Israel, with a player withdrawal, a four-hour team vote, and no media or handshake protocols — all compounding an already poor opening display against Kosovo. Israel, while missing the suspended Abu Farchi, have been able to focus on football and hold a slight edge at a neutral venue behind closed doors.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeIsrael
2.68
DrawLevel at 90′
3.21
AwayRep. Of Ireland
2.83