Iceland
Bulgaria| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–0 | H65%D22%A13% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–1 | H54%D25%A21% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–0 | H54%D26%A20% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–2 | H34%D27%A39% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H38%D32%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H53%D26%A21% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H50%D28%A22% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–0 | H54%D27%A19% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 2–0 | H52%D26%A22% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 2–1 | H52%D26%A22% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H39%D29%A32% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H37%D31%A32% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Iceland are unbeaten in this campaign (1-1 with Estonia, 3-0 at Luxembourg) and are strong at Laugardalsvollur, while Bulgaria are bottom with one point, managed by an interim coach after a home defeat to Luxembourg and a goalless draw with Estonia. Bulgaria's low-scoring, defensive setup keeps the draw a live risk, but Iceland's home attack should edge it.
Iceland are top of the group and boosted by a 3-0 win over Luxembourg, while Bulgaria are managerless, bottom with one point and missing key midfielders; home advantage and momentum point to an Iceland win, though a close contest is likely.
Iceland hold the quality edge in attack with talents like Orri Oskarsson and enjoy strong home advantage in Reykjavik against a Bulgaria side that consistently struggles to create chances on the road.
Iceland are winless in six this calendar year and likely without Thordarson at home despite Orri Oskarsson's form (3 in 6), while Bulgaria bring strong road form (two wins, one draw) into a balanced League C group, tipping a narrow away win with both teams likely to score.
Both Iceland and Bulgaria are struggling sides coming into this League C opener — Iceland have been winless across six2026 matches and Bulgaria lost to Luxembourg recently, but Iceland's home advantage in a 1-4-4-2 setup and Bulgaria's tendency to concede (both teams scored in 50% of their matches) point toward a tight, low-scoring stalemate.
Iceland sit top of Group C4 after ending their long winless run with victory in Luxembourg and have lost just once in their last four at home (including a 2-2 with France), with Orri Oskarsson in good scoring form. Bulgaria are bottom of the group under interim coach Atanas Ribarski, are missing key attackers Chochev, Despodov and Krastev, and already lost at home to Luxembourg, so despite a decent recent away run they look vulnerable in Reykjavik; the draw stays a live outcome given Iceland's habit of stalemates.
Iceland top Group C4 with 4 points after a 3-0 win over Luxembourg ended a seven-match winless run, while bottom-placed Bulgaria (1 point) are in disarray after manager Aleksandar Dimitrov resigned following a chaotic 0-0 draw with Estonia. Iceland have lost only one of their last four home games, but Bulgaria arrive on a three-match unbeaten away run and Iceland miss versatile defender Stefan Thordarson (muscle) and possibly Albert Gudmundsson (shoulder).
Iceland have the stronger squad and a meaningful home advantage, with Orri Oskarsson offering a credible scoring threat against a vulnerable Bulgaria side. Iceland's inconsistent form and possible absence of Stefan Thordarson keep the draw probability significant.
Iceland tops Group C4 with 4 points from 2 matches (1-1 vs Estonia, 3-0 vs Luxembourg) and is unbeaten in four home games, while Bulgaria sits bottom with just 1 point, failed to score in a 0-0 draw with Estonia, and is managed by an interim coach. Iceland's attacking form (4 goals in 2 NL games, Orri Oskarsson in fine form) against Bulgaria's toothless attack makes a home win the clear expectation.
Iceland lead the group undefeated after a 3-0 win over Luxembourg and sit higher-ranked at home with solid recent home form, while Bulgaria are bottom with one point, managerless after a chaotic 0-0, and lost to the same Luxembourg side. A tight Iceland win is most likely given Bulgaria's road resilience but overall struggles.
Iceland have home advantage but have gone winless across six matches this calendar year, while Bulgaria's games tend to be high-scoring (3.7 avg goals) with both teams scoring frequently; this points to an evenly contested match with a draw the single most likely scoreline.
Iceland hold home advantage and boast the in-form Orri Oskarsson (3 goals in 6 games), but they are winless in their last six matches this calendar year, while Bulgaria arrive with a solid road run (two wins, one draw). The combination of Iceland's poor form and Bulgaria's away resilience points to a tight, low-scoring affair with a draw as a strong possibility.
IcelandBulgaria