Greece
Netherlands| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–2 | H27%D26%A47% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–2 | H26%D28%A46% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 0–1 | H22%D28%A50% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 0–1 | H27%D28%A45% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 0–1 | H27%D30%A43% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H30%D35%A35% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–2 | H29%D27%A44% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 0–1 | H25%D30%A45% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 0–1 | H25%D30%A45% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 0–1 | H33%D28%A39% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 0–1 | H28%D27%A45% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 0–1 | H25%D28%A47% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 0–1 | H28%D30%A42% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Netherlands carry clearly superior individual quality and have controlled matches so far (2-1 over Serbia), but Greece are in strong form after beating Germany and are compact and hard to break down at home, where their record is good. A tight, physical game with the Dutch edging it, though the draw is a live outcome.
Netherlands' superior quality, dominant underlying numbers and unbeaten 90-minute record make them the likeliest winners, though Greece's excellent start and home edge should keep the match tight and competitive.
The Netherlands boast superior individual quality across all departments and hold a strong head-to-head record over Greece. While the Greeks are defensively resolute at home, the Dutch should control possession and edge a narrow victory.
Greece are defensively solid at home (3 scored, 1 conceded, 1-0 over Germany) but Netherlands bring superior recent form (unbeaten in 5, +7 goal trend vs +1) and H2H edge (3-1), suggesting a tight, foul-heavy game edged by Dutch possession and attacking depth.
Netherlands are the stronger side with world-class quality (Van Dijk, Gravenberch), unbeaten in their last 5, and lead the H2H 3-1, but Greece's disciplined, physical home defense has conceded just once this campaign and they already beat Germany 1-0 here, pointing to a tight, low-scoring match where the visitors edge it 1-0.
Greece's disciplined and physical approach, combined with their recent defensive solidity, contrasts with the Netherlands' possession-heavy style, creating a balanced fixture. Both teams have recent wins and strong defensive records, making a draw the most likely outcome, though the Netherlands hold a slight edge in attacking prowess.
Netherlands hold a 3-1 edge in the recent head-to-head and arrive in strong form (e.g., a 2-1 win over Serbia), with superior possession and squad depth even in a rotated XI. However, Greece are disciplined and tough to break down at home — just one goal conceded in the campaign and a 1-0 win over Germany — so a tight, low-scoring match with a real draw chance is expected, with the Dutch narrowly favored.
Netherlands hold a 3-1 H2H edge and better recent form (unbeaten in 5), but Greece are disciplined at home (1-0 vs Germany, only 1 conceded in campaign) and the match is projected as very even. Slight edge to the visitors' possession quality, yet a high draw probability reflects Greece's defensive structure.
Netherlands have the stronger squad and greater possession quality, but Greece's disciplined, compact approach and home advantage make this likely to be tight. A narrow Dutch win is the likeliest outcome, with the draw a substantial possibility.
Greece's disciplined, low-block defensive approach (only 1 goal conceded this campaign, including a 1-0 win over Germany) makes this a tight affair at home, but Netherlands' superior squad depth, strong H2H record (3-1), and quality in final third (Summerville, Van de Ven, Van Dijk) give them a narrow edge to edge a low-scoring contest.
Netherlands hold clear quality and recent form edges (including a win over Serbia) plus superior H2H, while Greece's disciplined low-block and home resilience after beating Germany keep the margin tight and favor a low-scoring away win.
Netherlands hold a strong recent H2H advantage (3-1) and have shown superior attacking output (+7 goal trend vs Greece's +1), but Greece's disciplined defensive approach at home—where they've won 75% of Nations League matches and recently beat Germany 1-0—should keep this tight with few clear-cut chances. The Dutch quality in possession and their defensive solidity (Dumfries, Van Dijk, Van de Ven) should ultimately see them edge a low-scoring affair.
Netherlands hold a clear quality and form edge (unbeaten run, superior H2H 3-1, +7 goal trend vs Greece's +1), but Greece's defensive discipline and home advantage — evidenced by a 1-0 win over Germany — make this a tight, low-scoring affair where a narrow Dutch win is the most likely outcome.
GreeceNetherlands