Georgia
Ukraine| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H33%D29%A38% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H31%D36%A33% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H31%D30%A39% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–1 | H34%D30%A36% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H38%D34%A28% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–1 | H31%D28%A41% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H25%D35%A40% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H29%D30%A41% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H28%D36%A36% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H32%D30%A38% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H30%D38%A32% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H27%D35%A38% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Ukraine carry slightly more depth and momentum after opening the campaign with a win over Hungary, while Georgia have struggled in recent competitive fixtures despite a solid home record in Tbilisi. The sides are closely matched with a history of tight, low-scoring meetings, so a scoring draw is a very live outcome.
Georgia are tough to beat at home in Tbilisi and have drawn three of their last four home meetings with Ukraine, while both sides look closely matched in League B, pointing to a scoring draw.
Georgia are consistently resilient on home soil in Tbilisi, but Ukraine possess slightly superior overall squad quality and depth, making a tightly contested scoring draw the most probable outcome.
Georgia are strong in Tbilisi (W10 D5 in last 20 home) and have won 7 of last 8 Nations League games, but have lost 6 of last 7 competitive matches conceding 16; Ukraine arrive off a 1-0 win over Hungary and with Dovbyk returning, while 3 of the last 4 Georgia home H2Hs were draws, pointing to a tight, low-scoring stalemate.
Georgia have drawn three of their last four home meetings with Ukraine, and their strong Tbilisi record (W10 D5 L5 in last 20) makes them slight favorites despite a worrying recent competitive slump. Ukraine arrive buoyed by a 1-0 win over Hungary and the return of striker Artem Dovbyk, but the historical head-to-head pattern at this venue strongly favors a scoring draw.
Ukraine are the slightly stronger side and arrive in better form after beating Hungary 1-0 with in-form striker Dovbyk returning, while Georgia have lost six of their last seven competitive internationals and conceded 16 goals. However, Georgia are tough to beat in Tbilisi (only five losses in their last 20 home games) and three of their last four home meetings with Ukraine ended level — including a 1-1 in 2024 — so the draw carries heavy weight, with 1-1 the most likely scoreline.
Georgia have drawn 3 of their last 4 home meetings with Ukraine, but their recent competitive form is poor (6 losses in 7, conceding 16 goals). Ukraine won their Nations League opener vs Hungary and welcome back in-form striker Artem Dovbyk, giving them a slight edge, though both teams' tendency to score (40% BTTS rate for Ukraine) supports a tight, high-scoring draw.
Ukraine have the stronger overall squad and arrive with better competitive momentum, but Georgia's strong home record makes this a close contest. A low-scoring draw is the likeliest exact scoreline, though Ukraine are marginally more likely to win overall.
Georgia's poor recent competitive form is offset by their strong home record in Tbilisi and a history of draws against Ukraine, while Ukraine's solid start and returning striker Artem Dovbyk keep them highly competitive, pointing towards a tight 1-1 stalemate.
Evenly matched League B sides with Ukraine slightly stronger overall and Dovbyk available, but Georgia solid at home in Tbilisi and recent H2H/draws common; low-scoring stalemate most likely given both sides' defensive setups and early-group caution.
Georgia have a strong home record in Tbilisi (W10 D5 L5 in last 20) and have drawn 3 of their last 4 home matches against Ukraine, while Ukraine are boosted by the return of in-form striker Artem Dovbyk but are away from home. Both sides are closely matched in quality, making a scoring draw the most likely outcome.
Ukraine enter in better competitive form (beat Hungary 1-0 in their opener) and welcome back in-form striker Dovbyk, while Georgia have lost six of their last seven competitive outings. However, Georgia's strong home record (only 5 defeats in 20 home matches) and a history of draws between these sides (3 draws in the last 4 home H2H meetings) point toward a tight, low-scoring affair.
GeorgiaUkraine