FYR Macedonia
Scotland| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 0–1 | H26%D28%A46% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 0–1 | H23%D27%A50% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 0–1 | H26%D30%A44% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 0–1 | H32%D28%A40% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H26%D32%A42% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–2 | H25%D30%A45% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 0–1 | H24%D31%A45% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 0–1 | H22%D33%A45% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H27%D30%A43% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 0–1 | H25%D30%A45% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 0–1 | H24%D30%A46% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 0–2 | H17%D26%A57% | Correct | Exact |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 0–1 | H22%D31%A47% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Scotland carry clearly more individual quality and a far deeper pool than North Macedonia, and have won their recent competitive meetings both home and away, but Skopje is a tough, low-scoring venue where the hosts sit deep and the Scots have often needed narrow wins. With Scotland under pressure after a poor start to the group and North Macedonia bottom and desperate, a tight game is likely, with the draw well above its usual baseline.
Scotland are the stronger side and North Macedonia are winless in 10 with a long scoring drought, but Scotland have also started slowly with no goals in their opening two matches, so this should be tight and low-scoring with an away edge and a real draw risk.
Scotland possess superior squad quality and midfield control, giving them the edge away from home despite North Macedonia's resilience in Skopje.
Scotland hold a clear squad-quality edge despite only one point from two games, while North Macedonia are winless and bottom after successive defeats; home advantage keeps it tight but Scotland's need for points and Macedonia's draw-heavy, low-scoring profile points to a narrow away win.
Scotland has the superior squad quality but only1 point from their opening two matches, while FYR Macedonia sits bottom of Group 1 after successive defeats. North Macedonia's home advantage and desperation for points, combined with Scotland's well-documented inconsistency, makes a stalemate the single most likely 90-minute outcome, with a narrow Scotland win the next most probable.
Scotland's superior squad depth and recent competitive form in UEFA competitions, combined with FYR Macedonia's poor form in friendlies and their struggles in the current Nations League campaign, suggest Scotland are favorites. However, FYR Macedonia's home advantage and Scotland's inconsistency in away matches justify a significant draw probability.
Both sides arrive in dire attacking form — North Macedonia have gone a national-record six matches without scoring and are winless in nine, while Scotland have failed to score in four straight — so this profiles as a very low-scoring contest. Scotland's strong away record (one defeat in seven with five clean sheets) and superior squad depth make them favourites despite missing McTominay and the suspended Hendry, with Macedonia also depleted (Alioski, Churlinov out).
Both sides are in severe goal droughts (North Macedonia 6 games without scoring, Scotland 4), but Scotland's strong away defensive record (5 clean sheets in last 7) and unbeaten H2H run since 2008 give them the edge in a match likely to be decided by a single goal or end goalless.
Scotland have the stronger overall squad, but North Macedonia's home advantage should make this competitive. A low-scoring draw is the likeliest exact scoreline, with Scotland more likely to find a winner than the hosts.
North Macedonia are in dire form — 10 games winless, 6 without a goal, and 0 points from two Nations League matches (0-3 vs Switzerland, 0-2 vs Slovenia). Scotland, despite also failing to score in two games (0-0 vs Slovenia, 0-3 vs Switzerland with a red card), possess significantly higher individual quality with World Cup-caliber players like Robertson (earning his 100th cap), McGinn, and McTominay. Both teams' attacking struggles point to a low-scoring affair, but Scotland's superior squad depth should edge a tight game in Skopje.
Both sides are scoreless in the Nations League so far (Macedonia winless and goalless in six straight overall), pointing to a tight low-scoring affair, but Scotland's superior quality, solid recent away record and H2H edge make them slight favourites to grind out a narrow win.
North Macedonia are bottom of Group B1 with 0 points and have gone six consecutive matches without scoring a single goal—a national record—while Scotland, though winless under new coach Pocognoli, have been creating chances and are a significantly stronger squad desperate for their first victory in this campaign.
North Macedonia are on a national-record 6-game goalless streak with 0 wins in 10, while Scotland's solid away record (1 loss in 7, 5 clean sheets) and superior squad quality should edge a low-scoring affair in Skopje.
FYR MacedoniaScotland