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UEFA Nations LeagueFull time

France vs Belgium — predictions and result

France
90-minute result4–1
Belgium
League A - 4Stade de France

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic1–0
H57%D25%A18%
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek1–0
H55%D26%A19%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle2–1
H53%D25%A22%
CorrectMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta2–1
H46%D26%A28%
CorrectMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax2–1
H43%D30%A27%
CorrectMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral1–1
H40%D30%A30%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot1–0
H46%D27%A27%
CorrectMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA2–1
H42%D28%A30%
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI2–1
H53%D25%A22%
CorrectMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba2–1
H44%D26%A30%
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI2–1
H50%D27%A23%
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H52%D25%A23%
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai1–1
H42%D28%A30%
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

France are unbeaten under Zidane, host at the Stade de France and have won the last six meetings including 1-0 in Brussels a week ago, while Belgium lose their two most important midfielders in the suspended De Bruyne and Tielemans. France's own absences (Mbappé, Upamecano) and their thin scoring return — three goals in three games — point to another tight, low-scoring home win, with a meaningful chance of a stalemate against a well-drilled Belgian defence.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

France are at home, won the reverse fixture 1-0, and Belgium are missing suspended midfielders De Bruyne and Tielemans, which blunts their creativity; France's controlled but low-scoring form under Zidane makes a narrow home win most likely.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

France hold a dominant head-to-head record against Belgium in recent competitive encounters and boast superior squad depth and home advantage. Although Belgium retain attacking threat through Kevin De Bruyne, Les Bleus should have enough firepower to edge a closely contested clash.

Muse Spark 1.2

France have won five straight vs Belgium and are at home but lose Mbappe (hyperextended knee after winner in Turkiye) with a makeshift back four, while Belgium beat Italy 2-0 with De Bruyne firing but are without Trossard and have failed to keep a clean sheet in six straight H2Hs with BTTS in 4/5, favouring a narrow France win with both scoring.

MiniMax M3

France hold home advantage and historically dominate this fixture (last 5 meetings before Sep 28), and they tend to score first in H2Hs while failing to keep clean sheets. However, Mbappé is sidelined with a hyperextended knee — a significant attacking loss — and Belgium just beat France in Brussels, buoyed by an in-form De Bruyne. A narrow France win with goals at both ends is the most likely outcome, though a draw is well-supported.

Mistral Large 3

France enters with strong recent form and tactical cohesion in a 4-3-3 system, but Belgium's offensive firepower and home advantage balance the scales. Both teams have struggled to keep clean sheets in recent head-to-heads, making a draw the most likely outcome, though France holds a slight edge.

Kimi K3

France have won six straight meetings with Belgium, including 1-0 in Brussels just last week, and return to the Stade de France with Michael Olise in match-winning form; however, Mbappé's absence (knee) blunts their attack and Belgium's firepower (De Bruyne, Lukaku, Openda) keeps this a tight, low-scoring contest with the draw very live.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

France have won the last five H2H meetings and scored first in 8 of 10 recent matches, but miss Mbappé (knee) while Belgium miss Trossard; both won openers (France 1-0 vs Turkey, Belgium 2-0 vs Italy) and Belgium have conceded in six straight vs France, pointing to a narrow home win with goals.

GPT-5.6 Sol

France have the deeper squad and a strong recent head-to-head record, including five consecutive wins over Belgium. Mbappé's reported absence reduces their attacking edge, while Belgium's scoring threat makes a narrow home win more likely than a clean sheet.

Qwen3.7 Plus

France have won the last five head-to-heads and are at home, but the absence of Mbappe (knee injury) dulls their attacking edge. Belgium are also missing Trossard yet still boast De Bruyne and offensive depth; with BTTS in 4 of Belgium's last 5 and no clean sheet in 6 straight vs France, a narrow French win with both teams scoring is the most likely outcome.

Grok 4.5

France lead the group unbeaten and have won the last six H2H meetings, including 1-0 in Brussels last week; home advantage plus Belgium missing key midfielders De Bruyne and Tielemans outweighs France's absences of Mbappe and suspended Upamecano in a typically tight, low-scoring contest.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

France have won the last six H2H meetings and enjoy home advantage at Stade de France, but Belgium's massive blow of losing both De Bruyne and Tielemans to suspension severely weakens their creative midfield. France miss Mbappé and the suspended Upamecano, yet their attacking depth with Olise, Dembélé, and Doué should be enough to edge a tight contest.

GLM-5.2

France hold a strong historical edge (five straight wins over Belgium) and have home advantage, but Mbappé's knee injury deprives them of their match-winner, while Belgium arrive in confident mood after beating Italy 2-0 with De Bruyne in fine form. The combination of France's attacking absence and Belgium's inability to keep clean sheets against France points toward a closely contested match, with a draw a highly plausible outcome.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeFrance
1.54
DrawLevel at 90′
4.76
AwayBelgium
5.63