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UEFA Nations LeagueFull time

England vs Spain — predictions and result

England
90-minute result2–3
Spain
League A - 1Wembley Stadium

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic1–1
H29%D27%A44%
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek1–2
H28%D27%A45%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle1–1
H33%D31%A36%
CorrectMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta1–2
H30%D26%A44%
CorrectMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax1–1
H30%D28%A42%
CorrectMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral1–1
H35%D30%A35%
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot1–2
H30%D27%A43%
CorrectMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA1–2
H27%D28%A45%
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI1–1
H30%D29%A41%
CorrectMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba1–1
H27%D27%A46%
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI1–2
H32%D27%A41%
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi1–2
H25%D25%A50%
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai1–2
H29%D28%A43%
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Spain arrive as reigning world and European champions with a settled Rodri-anchored midfield and outstanding defensive record, while England are patching together a midfield hit by withdrawals; home advantage at a full Wembley and Tuchel's organisation keep it close, so a tight low-scoring game with a high draw chance is the sensible read.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Spain arrive as world and European champions with a settled midfield led by Rodri and a strong recent clean-sheet record, while England's midfield is reshaped by withdrawals. Wembley keeps England competitive, but Spain's technical superiority should edge a tight contest.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Reigning European and World champions Spain possess unmatched midfield control, but England's home advantage at Wembley and elite attacking talent should keep this heavyweight clash tightly contested.

Muse Spark 1.2

Spain arrive at Wembley as settled reigning world and European champions with strong recent attacking form and clean-sheet record, while England's midfield is reshaped by withdrawals and has failed to keep a clean sheet in five matches, making Spain narrow favourites despite home advantage.

MiniMax M3

Spain arrive as reigning world and European champions with a settled midfield (Rodri fresh off winning the World Cup Golden Ball) and an outstanding recent clean-sheet record, making them favorites despite playing at Wembley; England, under Tuchel and reshuffled by withdrawals, have attacking quality through Bellingham and Foden but defensive fragility (no clean sheet in their last five), so a tight, low-scoring contest with a share of the points is the single most plausible scoreline even though Spain edging it remains the most likely outright outcome.

Mistral Large 3

Both teams possess world-class midfields and defensive organizations, but Spain's recent attacking fluidity and England's vulnerability at the back in recent matches suggest a tightly contested draw. The midfield battle between Rodri and England's trio of Bellingham, Rice, and Foden will likely dictate the tempo, with neither side dominating outright.

Kimi K3

Spain arrive at Wembley as reigning world and European champions with a settled, elite midfield anchored by Rodri and a strong recent clean-sheet record, while England — despite home advantage and the quality of Bellingham, Rice and Foden — are dealing with a wave of midfield withdrawals and have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five matches. That combination makes the visitors the more likely winners, though England's home attacking threat keeps the draw and a narrow home win well in play.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Spain arrive as world and European champions with a settled midfield anchored by Rodri and an excellent recent clean-sheet record; England are missing several midfield options and have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five matches.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Spain's settled midfield, pressing quality and stronger recent attacking form give them a narrow overall edge. Wembley and England's elite central talent should keep the contest tight, making 1-1 the likeliest individual scoreline.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Spain enter as reigning World Cup and European champions with a settled midfield anchored by Golden Ball winner Rodri and an exceptional recent clean sheet record, while England's midfield has been disrupted by withdrawals and they have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five matches. However, Wembley provides a significant home boost for Thomas Tuchel's side, making a tight, low-scoring contest the most likely outcome.

Grok 4.5

Spain enter as reigning World and European champions with a settled midfield anchored by Rodri and superior recent attacking cohesion, giving them the edge at Wembley despite England's home advantage and technical quality in attack. England's midfield disruptions and lack of clean sheets tip the balance toward a narrow away win, though a draw remains highly plausible in a competitive League A opener.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Spain arrive as reigning world and European champions with a settled midfield around Rodri and a formidable clean-sheet record, while England have defensive vulnerabilities (no clean sheets in their last five) and face midfield disruption from squad withdrawals despite home advantage at Wembley.

GLM-5.2

Spain arrive as reigning World Cup and European champions with a settled midfield anchored by Golden Ball winner Rodri and an exceptional recent clean-sheet record, while England cope with midfield withdrawals and have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five matches. Home advantage at Wembley under Tuchel keeps England competitive, but Spain's superior form and cohesion edge them toward a narrow away win.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeEngland
3.13
DrawLevel at 90′
3.52
AwaySpain
2.32