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UEFA Nations LeagueFull time

Denmark vs Wales — predictions and result

Denmark
90-minute result2–0
Wales
League A - 2Parken Stadium

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic2–1
H58%D24%A18%
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek1–0
H50%D27%A23%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle2–1
H56%D26%A18%
CorrectMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta1–0
H50%D27%A23%
CorrectMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax2–1
H50%D20%A30%
CorrectMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral1–1
H50%D25%A25%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–1
H55%D24%A21%
CorrectMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA2–1
H45%D25%A30%
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI1–0
H53%D28%A19%
CorrectMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba1–0
H52%D25%A23%
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI2–1
H52%D26%A22%
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H48%D27%A25%
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai2–1
H47%D28%A25%
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Denmark are clearly the stronger side on paper and at home in Copenhagen, with Hojlund in scoring form, though their defence looked vulnerable in the loss to Norway. Wales under Bellamy are organised and kept things tight against Portugal, so a narrow Danish win with Wales scoring is the most likely outcome, with a real chance of a draw.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Denmark's home advantage, stronger squad and 7-4 head-to-head edge make them favourites, but Wales are defensively organised and have been hard to beat, pointing to a narrow home win with a credible draw risk.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Denmark hold home advantage and possess superior quality in attack through Rasmus Hojlund and Mikkel Damsgaard. While Wales remain competitive under Craig Bellamy, the Danes have historically dominated recent head-to-heads and should edge a close contest.

Muse Spark 1.2

Denmark's home advantage and 7-4 overall H2H edge (3-1 recent) make them favourites with Hojlund leading the line, but Wales' compact 4-2-3-1 has conceded <2 in 6 of 7 and Denmark have been slow starters and vulnerable at the back after the 5-goal loss to Norway, pointing to a tight, low-scoring home win.

MiniMax M3

Denmark's strong historical dominance over Wales (7-4 in 11 meetings, with no draws ever between the two) and home advantage give them the edge, though Wales's recent resilience — conceding under two goals in six of their last seven and pushing Portugal close — limits the margin. Denmark's shaky defensive display against Norway suggests they won't keep a clean sheet, making 2-1 the most plausible scoreline.

Mistral Large 3

Denmark hold a historical edge over Wales in head-to-head encounters, but Wales have shown defensive resilience recently and are unlikely to be overpowered. The match is poised for a tight, tactical contest, with a draw a genuine possibility despite their historical trend of decisive results.

Kimi K3

Denmark hold a dominant head-to-head record (7 wins in 11 meetings, 3-1 in recent encounters) and enjoy home advantage with Hojlund spearheading the attack, though their leaky defence (a five-goal loss to Norway) and Wales' resilience under Bellamy — conceding under two goals in six of their last seven — keep the visitors and the draw live in what should be a competitive contest.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Denmark hold home advantage and a strong H2H record (7-4 overall, 3-1 recent, no draws ever), with Rasmus Højlund in scoring form; however, Wales have been defensively resolute (conceding <2 goals in 6 of 7) and nearly earned a point against Portugal, suggesting a tight, low-scoring contest where the Danes edge a 2-1 win.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Denmark have the stronger squad, home advantage and a favorable recent head-to-head record. Wales can keep the contest tight, making a narrow, low-scoring home win more likely than a comfortable victory.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Denmark hold a strong H2H edge (7-4 overall, 3-1 recently) and have home advantage, but Wales are defensively organized—conceding fewer than two goals in six of their last seven—and nearly earned a point against Portugal. Expect a tight, tactical contest with Denmark edging it narrowly through home advantage and Hojlund's attacking threat.

Grok 4.5

Denmark hold a clear historical edge (7-4 H2H, no draws) and home advantage in League A, while Wales arrive after a solid showing vs Portugal and typically keep games tight. Expect a controlled Danish win in a moderately low-scoring tactical battle rather than a thrashing.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Denmark's home advantage and superior H2H record (3-1 in recent meetings) make them favorites, with Hojlund in form after scoring vs Norway. However, Wales showed resilience against Portugal and have been defensively compact (fewer than 2 goals conceded in 6 of their last 7), suggesting they can keep this tight and potentially take a point.

GLM-5.2

Denmark hold home advantage and a strong historical edge over Wales (7-4 H2H, no draws in 11 meetings), but their defensive vulnerabilities were exposed against Norway while Wales have been defensively resolute under Bellamy, conceding under two goals in six of their last seven. A narrow Denmark win is the most likely outcome, though Wales's tactical discipline keeps this competitive.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeDenmark
1.46
DrawLevel at 90′
4.68
AwayWales
7.14