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UEFA Nations LeagueFull time

Cyprus vs Latvia — predictions and result

Cyprus
90-minute result2–1
Latvia
League C - 4GSP Stadium

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic1–1
H40%D29%A31%
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek1–0
H45%D29%A26%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle1–0
H40%D32%A28%
CorrectMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta1–1
H38%D29%A33%
CorrectMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax1–0
H40%D32%A28%
CorrectMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral1–1
H35%D30%A35%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot1–0
H42%D28%A30%
CorrectMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA1–1
H38%D30%A32%
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI1–0
H46%D29%A25%
CorrectMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba1–0
H40%D30%A30%
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI1–0
H48%D28%A24%
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi1–1
H41%D31%A28%
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai1–0
H44%D31%A25%
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Two closely matched League C sides with similar recent form (both around 2W-1D-3L), so home advantage in Nicosia gives Cyprus a modest edge, aided by Pittas/Kakoullis's threat on transitions. Latvia's compact, low-foul defensive structure and reliable goalkeeping point to a tight, low-scoring game with an elevated draw chance.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Cyprus have home advantage and clearly the better recent form, including a 2-0 win over Armenia, while Latvia are winless in the group and have scored once in three matches. The fixture still carries real draw risk given the teams' two prior meetings both ended level, so a low-scoring home edge is the most likely outcome.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Cyprus holds home advantage in what projects to be a cagey, low-scoring League C encounter against a pragmatic Latvian defense. The hosts' transition threat gives them a slight edge to secure a narrow victory.

Muse Spark 1.2

Cyprus have slight home edge and more transition threat (6 fast breaks, 61.3% long-ball accuracy) but both sides are 2W-1D-3L and Latvia's disciplined 5-4-1 keeps games low-scoring (4GF/6GA vs 9GF/10GA), making a tight 1-1 the single most likely scoreline in an otherwise coin-flip contest.

MiniMax M3

Cyprus hold home advantage and possess the stronger attacking options (Edwards, Pittas, Kakoullis), giving them a slight edge over a defensively organized Latvia side. However, Latvia's discipline, Matrevics's goalkeeping form (one UNL clean sheet, consistent save totals), and the even recent head-to-head record (both2W-1D-3L in recent runs) keep the draw distinctly plausible, with a low-scoring 1-0 Cyprus win the most likely single outcome.

Mistral Large 3

Both teams exhibit similar recent form (2W-1D-3L) and defensive vulnerabilities, with Cyprus relying on fast breaks and physicality while Latvia prioritizes a controlled, disciplined approach. The draw is a highly plausible outcome given their comparable strengths and tactical contrasts.

Kimi K3

Two evenly matched League C sides with identical recent records (2W-1D-3L), but Cyprus holds home advantage and carries more attacking threat through transitions, fast breaks and players like Edwards and Pittas. Latvia's projected 5-4-1 under Nicolato points to a disciplined, low-event game, making a narrow home win the modal outcome with the draw a live possibility.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Cyprus's direct attacking style and home edge are balanced by Latvia's disciplined low-block defence and goalkeeper Rihards Matrevics's strong form; both teams show near-identical recent records (2W-1D-3L) but Cyprus scores and concedes more, pointing to a tight, low-scoring draw.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Cyprus have the home advantage and greater attacking threat, particularly in transition, while Latvia tend toward a cautious, low-scoring approach. With the teams otherwise fairly evenly matched, a narrow Cyprus win is most likely but the draw remains a significant possibility.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Cyprus host Latvia at Neo GSP needing to bounce back from a late 1-2 loss to Montenegro, and boast superior attacking quality through Pittas, Edwards, and Kakoullis. Both teams lost their MD1 openers and are level on zero points, but Cyprus's home advantage and greater offensive threat give them a narrow edge in what projects as a tight, low-scoring affair between two evenly-matched League C sides who drew 1-1 in 2024.

Grok 4.5

Cyprus hold home advantage and better recent form after a 2-0 win over Armenia, while Latvia have managed just one goal and one point from three matches and sit bottom. The reverse fixture ended 0-0, so a low-scoring home win is the clearest path.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Cyprus have a strong competitive home record (W3 D2 L1 in last 6) and are slightly more attacking, but the first meeting ended 0-0 and both sides are closely matched at League C level, making a draw the single most likely outcome. The 1-1 scoreline reflects Cyprus's home edge likely producing a goal this time while Latvia's discipline keeps them in the contest.

GLM-5.2

Cyprus are at home in Nicosia, unbeaten in their last two Nations League matches including a 2-0 win over Armenia, while Latvia have lost four of five and are dealing with injuries and a suspension. Cyprus's attacking trio of Kakoullis, Edwards and Loizou is in good form, but the previous meeting ended 0-0 and Latvia's defensive discipline keeps a draw in play.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeCyprus
1.62
DrawLevel at 90′
3.89
AwayLatvia
5.77