Croatia
Spain| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–2 | H17%D21%A62% | Correct | Exact |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–2 | H12%D21%A67% | Correct | Exact |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–3 | H16%D23%A61% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 0–2 | H18%D22%A60% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–2 | H14%D19%A67% | Correct | Exact |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–2 | H18%D24%A58% | Correct | Exact |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–2 | H15%D25%A60% | Correct | Exact |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–2 | H16%D22%A62% | Correct | Exact |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–2 | H23%D25%A52% | Correct | Exact |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–2 | H18%D22%A60% | Correct | Exact |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–2 | H15%D22%A63% | Correct | Exact |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–2 | H18%D23%A59% | Correct | Exact |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Spain arrive unbeaten in over 40 games, with three wins from three in the group including a 4-1 victory over this same Croatia side, and have scored 10 goals in their last three matches. Croatia, reeling from a heavy defeat to England and leaking goals at a group-worst rate, get a modest home bump in Split but little else.
Spain are in dominant form, unbeaten in 41 with 10 straight wins and a 4-1 victory over Croatia already in this group, while Croatia have leaked 12 goals in the Nations League.
Spain are in dominant form with a flawless record in the group, having already defeated Croatia 4-1. Croatia's recent defensive vulnerabilities leave them severely exposed against Spain's prolific attack.
Spain are unbeaten in 41 (10 straight wins) and beat Croatia 4-1 in the reverse fixture, while Croatia have conceded 12 goals in three games after a heavy loss to England, making the away side clear favourites despite absences of Nico Williams and Ferran Torres.
Spain are on a 41-match unbeaten run, have already beaten Croatia 4-1 in the reverse fixture, and have scored 10 goals in three group games, while Croatia have shipped a joint-second-most 12 goals and were demolished by England last time out, making a Spanish win the clear base case even at Split.
Spain arrive unbeaten in 41 matches with 10 straight wins, having already beaten Croatia 4-1 in the reverse fixture, while Croatia's defense has collapsed with 12 goals conceded (second-worst in League A) including a historic mauling by England. Croatia's home crowd in Split and Modric-led quality keep an upset or draw plausible, but Spain's firepower (Yamal, Pedri) and momentum make an away win clearly most likely.
Spain are unbeaten in 41 matches with 10 straight wins, already beat Croatia 4-1 in the reverse fixture, and have scored 10 goals in their last three Nations League games; Croatia have conceded 12 goals (joint second-worst in the competition) and haven't beaten Spain in three meetings.
Spain’s superior form, attacking output and recent 4-1 win over Croatia make them clear favourites. Croatia’s home advantage and Spain’s attacking absences preserve a meaningful draw chance, but Croatia’s defensive vulnerability should prove decisive.
Spain are in exceptional form (41 unbeaten, 10 straight wins) and demolished Croatia 4-1 in the reverse fixture just a week ago, while Croatia's defense has been porous (12 goals conceded in the competition). Despite missing Williams and Ferran Torres, Spain's attacking depth with Yamal, Pedri, and Oyarzabal should prove too much, though Croatia's home advantage in Split and motivation to bounce back keep the match competitive.
Spain enter unbeaten in 41 with 10 straight wins and three NL victories already, having thrashed Croatia 4-1 recently while Croatia conceded heavily vs England and rank among the league's leakiest defences; Spanish attacking output (10 goals in three games) should again prove decisive despite the away venue.
Spain are in extraordinary form—unbeaten in 41 matches, winning their last 10, having already demolished Croatia 4-1 in the reverse fixture, and scoring 10 goals in their last three Nations League outings. Croatia are in crisis after a historic mauling by England and have shipped 12 goals in the competition (second-worst defensive record), making a Spanish away victory the clear most likely outcome.
Spain are unbeaten in 41 matches, already beat Croatia 4-1 in the reverse fixture, and have scored 10 goals in three Nations League outings, while Croatia have conceded 12 and are coming off a heavy defeat to England. Despite home advantage in Split, Spain's superior form and attacking quality make them clear favourites.
CroatiaSpain