Croatia
England| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H30%D27%A43% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–2 | H24%D26%A50% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–2 | H27%D29%A44% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–2 | H31%D26%A43% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–2 | H30%D27%A43% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H30%D35%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–2 | H26%D28%A46% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–2 | H30%D28%A42% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H29%D29%A42% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H27%D29%A44% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–2 | H28%D26%A46% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–2 | H28%D27%A45% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–2 | H27%D30%A43% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
England's deeper, in-form squad under Tuchel (Kane, Bellingham, Gordon) outclasses an ageing, transitional Croatia side that has been inconsistent since the World Cup, though Zagreb remains a difficult venue and Modrić-led midfield control can keep it tight. A cagey, low-scoring game is likely, with the draw a genuine possibility and England the marginal favourites.
England bring superior individual quality through Kane, Bellingham and in-form Gordon, while an ageing Croatia midfield relies on Modrić to control possession. England's attacking depth should edge a tight away win, with a draw a real possibility given Croatia's home resilience.
England's depth and attacking potency led by Kane and Bellingham give them a narrow edge over an experienced Croatia side that remains competitive at home.
Croatia regain Modrić/Baturina to control midfield at home but mixed form vs heavyweights and reliance on set-pieces limits them, while England's Kane-Gordon-Bellingham front line and Tuchel's double-pivot give the visitors a slight edge despite conceding openly against Spain.
England hold the edge on paper with Kane leading the line, Gordon in form and Bellingham likely returning, while Croatia's recent form has been mixed and they've struggled against top-tier opposition. Croatia's home advantage and Modrić's control in midfield keep the match tight, but the Three Lions' superior firepower should be enough to edge it.
Croatia and England are closely matched, with Croatia's experienced midfield control and England's attacking prowess balancing the scales. Both teams have vulnerabilities in defense, and a draw is a highly plausible outcome given their recent form and tactical setups.
England arrive with the stronger attacking core — Kane leading the line, an in-form Gordon and Bellingham likely returning under Tuchel — while Croatia's post-World Cup form has been mixed and they have struggled against traditional heavyweights. Croatia's home midfield control through Modrić and set-piece threat keep them competitive, so the draw is a live outcome, but England's depth and quality make an away win the single most likely result.
England's superior attacking depth with Kane, Bellingham and Gordon outweighs Croatia's midfield control and set-piece threat at home, though Modrić's return and home advantage keep the match tight.
England have the stronger attacking ceiling with Kane, Bellingham and Gordon, but Croatia’s experienced midfield and home advantage should keep this competitive. England are likelier to win overall, though a tight 1-1 is the most plausible individual scoreline.
England enters as the stronger side with Kane in Ballon d'Or form, Bellingham likely returning, and Gordon firing, but Croatia at home with Modrić back controlling the midfield makes this a tight, tactical contest under Tuchel. Croatia's mixed recent form and historical struggles against top sides tilt the edge to England, yet the quality gap is narrow enough that a low-scoring draw remains highly plausible.
England hold the edge in squad quality and attacking threat led by Kane, with Bellingham's likely return tipping midfield battles; Croatia remain competitive at home via Modrić control and transitions but have mixed recent form against top sides, making a narrow Three Lions win the modal outcome while draws stay realistically probable.
England's superior squad depth with Kane, Bellingham, and Gordon gives them the edge despite Croatia's home advantage and Modrić's return; Croatia's mixed recent form and struggles against top sides point to an England victory, though a draw remains a real possibility.
England are the stronger side (4th vs 12th FIFA) and have won three straight against Croatia, including a 4-2 World Cup win, but Croatia's formidable home record (W8 D1 in last 9 competitive home matches) and England's significant squad withdrawals (Rice, Palmer, Mainoo, Rashford) keep this competitive and elevate the draw probability.
CroatiaEngland