Bulgaria
Estonia| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H38%D29%A33% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–0 | H45%D30%A25% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–0 | H50%D29%A21% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–1 | H42%D28%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H38%D32%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–0 | H45%D27%A28% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H40%D32%A28% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–0 | H44%D30%A26% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H36%D28%A36% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H39%D32%A29% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H33%D35%A32% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H40%D31%A29% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Bulgaria have home advantage and marginally more individual quality, but they are in a long winless slump (including a home defeat to Luxembourg on matchday one) and struggle to score, while Estonia arrive in solid form with a tight defence. Low-scoring, tight game with a genuinely high draw chance.
Bulgaria's home advantage and Estonia's depleted attack give the hosts a narrow edge, but Bulgaria's own injuries and recent defensive vulnerability keep this tight and draw-heavy.
Bulgaria enjoy home advantage at Stadion Hristo Botev and possess the superior overall squad quality despite recent mixed form, giving them the edge against an organized Estonia side.
Bulgaria have home advantage at Hristo Botev but are out-of-form (1-2 home loss to Luxembourg, one clean sheet in six) while Estonia are in-form (DWWLDW, 1.83 PPG, 1.33 goals scored per game), making a tight low-scoring draw the most likely single scoreline despite Bulgaria remaining slight favourites for the result.
Bulgaria's home advantage is offset by their poor recent form (1-2 home loss to Luxembourg), while Estonia arrive in excellent shape with three wins in their last six (D W W L D W) and strong attacking output (1.33 goals/game). The contrast in momentum points to a tight, low-scoring contest where a draw is a genuine possibility, though Bulgaria's historical edge and home setting keep them slight favorites.
Bulgaria's home advantage and their 2-0 win in the only previous home meeting make them narrow favourites, but their poor recent run (including a home loss to Luxembourg) versus Estonia's strong form (W3 D2 L1, 1.83 PPG) keeps this League C tie tight and likely low-scoring.
Bulgaria hold a historical home edge (2-0 win in the only prior meeting at Stadion Hristo Botev) but arrive in poor form with just one clean sheet in six games; Estonia are unbeaten in five (3W-2D), averaging 1.33 goals scored and 1.00 conceded, making a tight, low-scoring draw the most probable outcome.
Bulgaria’s home advantage and stronger historical baseline give them a narrow edge, including a 2-0 win in Estonia’s only previous visit. Estonia’s better recent form keeps the draw and away-win probabilities substantial in what should be a low-scoring match.
Bulgaria have home advantage and won the only previous meeting 2-0, but are out of form after a shock 1-2 home loss to Luxembourg. Estonia arrive in strong recent form (D W W L D W, 1.83 ppg) and are still considered underdogs, making this a tightly contested League C clash where a draw is a highly plausible outcome.
Bulgaria hold a clear ranking edge and home advantage plus an unbeaten H2H record, yet they are missing key attackers and just lost at home to Luxembourg; Estonia arrive in strong form after a credible draw in Iceland and solid defensive numbers, making a low-scoring stalemate the single most probable 90-minute outcome.
Bulgaria are in poor form, having lost at home to Luxembourg on matchday one and struggled throughout 2026, while Estonia are enjoying their best run since 2022 and earned a creditable draw in Iceland; this looks evenly poised with a draw the most likely outcome.
Bulgaria have home advantage and historical superiority but are out of form, including a recent home loss to Luxembourg, while Estonia arrive in strong form (DWWLDW). The visitors' momentum narrows the gap enough to make a draw the most likely single scoreline, though Bulgaria's home edge keeps them slight favourites overall.
BulgariaEstonia