Bosnia & Herzegovina
Poland| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H38%D28%A34% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H33%D36%A31% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H36%D30%A34% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–1 | H40%D28%A32% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H42%D30%A28% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H35%D30%A35% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–1 | H38%D30%A32% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H38%D30%A32% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H35%D32%A33% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H42%D28%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H32%D28%A40% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H34%D35%A31% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H35%D36%A29% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Two closely matched sides: Bosnia's home advantage in a hostile venue and Poland's recent winless run tilt it slightly to the hosts, but Poland's away record against decent opposition keeps it near even. Bosnia's leaky defence (no clean sheet in five) plus the low-scoring trend in their recent games points to a tight 1-1 type contest.
Bosnia are hard to beat at Bilino Polje but have drawn their last three home games, while Poland have been poor on the road; Bosnia's loss of Dzeko and Lewandowski's threat balance toward a tight draw.
Bosnia and Herzegovina boast solid home resilience, while Poland possess quality in attack but have struggled for consistency on the road, pointing toward a tightly contested draw.
Bosnia at home get a narrow edge given Poland's winless last three and only recent away wins vs inferior opposition, while Bosnia's run of no clean sheet in five but BTTS in 8 of 10 and 7 of 9 under 2.5 goals points to a tight, both-teams-to-score game.
Bosnia hold home advantage at Bilino Polje and Poland are winless in three with poor away form against credible opposition, but their defence has shipped goals in five straight (no clean sheet), while both teams have scored in 8 of Bosnia's last 10 — pointing to a tight, low-scoring affair where the draw carries honest value and 1-1 is the modal scoreline.
Both teams enter the match with mixed recent form, with Poland winless in their last three and Bosnia & Herzegovina conceding in five straight matches but keeping games low-scoring. The draw probability is high due to their defensive vulnerabilities and tendency for both teams to score, leading to a balanced but volatile contest.
The reverse fixture finished 0-0 in Warsaw, and the trends point to another tight, low-scoring contest: Bosnia have lost just once in their last eight home games but drawn their last three at home, while Poland have won only against League D opposition across their last eight away matches (D1, L5). Poland carry more individual quality and a hat-trick-fresh Lewandowski, but Bosnia's World Cup knockout momentum, home edge and Poland's travel sickness tilt this slightly toward the hosts, with the draw very live despite Bosnia beginning life without the retired Dzeko.
Bosnia have conceded in five straight but keep games low-scoring (7 of last 9 under 2.5), while both teams scored in 8 of their last 10; Poland are winless in three and struggle away versus peers, pointing to a tight, cagey opener with both sides finding the net.
Bosnia’s home advantage and Poland’s three-match winless run make this finely balanced, although Bosnia’s five-game spell without a clean sheet limits confidence in a home win. Recent low-scoring trends point toward a tight draw.
Bosnia holds a home advantage and Poland are winless in their last three matches with poor away form, but Bosnia's defensive frailties (no clean sheet in five) and the strong BTTS trend (8 of last 10) combined with low-scoring games (7 of last 9 under 2.5) point to a tight, both-teams-score draw as the single most likely outcome.
Both sides enter the new Nations League campaign with no recent competitive data and mixed underlying trends; Poland hold a slight edge in squad quality and away potential while Bosnia at home and low-scoring patterns support a tight contest most likely ending level.
Bosnia's last three home matches all ended level and the reverse fixture was 0-0, pointing strongly toward a draw; Poland's poor away form and Bosnia's defensive vulnerability (no clean sheet in 5) suggest both teams find the net in a low-scoring contest.
Bosnia are unbeaten in five home games but their last three at home ended level, and they now face Poland without retired legend Dzeko. Poland arrive with momentum from a 6-0 thrashing of Romania with Lewandowski back among the goals, but their away form remains questionable, making a tight draw the most likely outcome in a rematch of the opening 0-0.
Bosnia & HerzegovinaPoland