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UEFA Nations LeagueFull time

Belgium vs Türkiye — predictions and result

Belgium
90-minute result3–0
Türkiye
League A - 3Stade Maurice Dufrasne

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic2–1
H53%D24%A23%
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek2–1
H55%D25%A20%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle2–1
H58%D24%A18%
CorrectMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta2–1
H52%D24%A24%
CorrectMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax1–0
H55%D24%A21%
CorrectMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral1–1
H40%D30%A30%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–1
H56%D24%A20%
CorrectMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA2–1
H50%D28%A22%
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI2–1
H54%D25%A21%
CorrectMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba2–0
H53%D24%A23%
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI2–1
H55%D24%A21%
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H52%D25%A23%
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai2–0
H58%D24%A18%
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Belgium are at home with momentum from a strong 2-0 win in Italy and a competitive narrow loss to France, while Türkiye have lost both opening group games and four of their last five overall. Türkiye still carry real attacking threat through Güler and can punish van Bommel's transition-heavy setup, so a tight home win rather than a comfortable one looks most likely.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Belgium's home advantage and stronger recent platform (2-0 win in Italy, narrow loss to France) outweigh Turkiye's back-to-back defeats and defensive struggles, though the teams' draw-heavy head-to-head record and Arda Guler's threat keep the draw probability meaningful.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Belgium hold home advantage and have shown strong structural balance with an opening win over Italy, whereas Türkiye arrive in poor form having dropped four of their last five matches.

Muse Spark 1.2

Belgium enter with a 2-0 win in Italy and a narrow defeat to France, a stronger platform than Türkiye's two straight Nations League defeats (0-1 to France) and four losses in five. At home Belgium's compact defending and quick transitions should edge Türkiye despite Guler's half-space threat.

MiniMax M3

Belgium arrive with strong recent momentum after a 2-0 away win over Italy and a narrow loss to France, showing compact defending and quick transitions under van Bommel, while Türkiye are in clear decline having lost four of their last five and two consecutive Nations League matches; home advantage and the historical 3-3-3 head-to-head record slightly favor a low-scoring Belgian win.

Mistral Large 3

Both teams have shown vulnerabilities in recent matches, with Türkiye struggling for form and Belgium demonstrating compact defending but inconsistent attacking transitions. The draw is a genuine possibility given the tactical nuances and recent performances of both sides.

Kimi K3

Belgium have made the stronger start under van Bommel — a 2-0 win in Italy and only a narrow defeat to France — and their compact defending with quick transitions now gets home advantage. Türkiye arrive in poor shape, losing four of their last five and both opening group games, so despite Güler's threat in the half-spaces Belgium are clear favourites, with the draw the main alternative if Türkiye frustrate them.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Belgium have shown compact defending and quick transitions under van Bommel with a 2-0 win over Italy and narrow loss to France, while Türkiye have lost four of their last five including two Nations League defeats; home advantage and superior recent form edge it for Belgium.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Belgium’s compact defending and quick transitions, combined with home advantage, give them the edge against a Türkiye side vulnerable to turnovers. Türkiye’s attacking threat through Arda Güler should keep the contest competitive.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Belgium are in strong form under van Bommel, combining compact defending with quick transitions — evidenced by a convincing 2-0 win in Italy and only a narrow loss to France — while Türkiye have lost four of their last five and both Nations League matches so far, struggling to create and keep possession. Despite an even historical head-to-head, Belgium's home advantage and organizational edge should see them control the match and keep a clean sheet.

Grok 4.5

Belgium sit second after a solid 2-0 win in Italy and narrow home loss to France, while bottom-placed Türkiye have lost both games (0-1 France, 1-4 Italy) and look leaky. Home advantage and superior organisation under van Bommel make a Belgium win the clearest outcome, though Türkiye’s quality (Güler) keeps an away upset or draw possible.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Belgium have shown strong form under van Bommel with a 2-0 win over Italy built on compact defending and quick transitions, while Türkiye have lost four of their last five matches and are staring at a third straight Nations League defeat. Head-to-head history is evenly split, and Türkiye's desperation could produce a goal, but Belgium's home advantage and superior recent platform make them clear favourites.

GLM-5.2

Belgium have been solid under van Bommel, beating Italy 2-0 and only losing to France via a late stunner, while Türkiye have been poor with two defeats conceding five goals. Belgium's home advantage and superior form make them clear favourites against a Türkiye side risking a third consecutive loss.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeBelgium
1.52
DrawLevel at 90′
4.86
AwayTürkiye
5.68