Belarus
Finland| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 0–1 | H20%D27%A53% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 0–1 | H18%D28%A54% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 0–2 | H20%D28%A52% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 0–1 | H22%D27%A51% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 0–1 | H18%D26%A56% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 0–1 | H25%D30%A45% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 0–1 | H26%D30%A44% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 0–1 | H25%D30%A45% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 0–1 | H21%D30%A49% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 0–1 | H20%D28%A52% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 0–1 | H22%D30%A48% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 0–1 | H25%D29%A46% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 0–1 | H24%D28%A48% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Finland are the clearly stronger side — unbeaten in all six previous meetings with Belarus and already seven points from three group games — while Belarus have struggled to create in competitive matches under Goncharenko and play this 'home' tie at a neutral venue in Budapest with no real crowd advantage. Belarus's improved defensive structure points to a low-scoring game, so a narrow Finnish win is most likely with a solid draw chance.
Finland lead the group with more attacking match-winners like Walta and Pohjanpalo, while Belarus are defensively solid and held Finland 0-0 in Helsinki; with this nominal home tie in Budapest offering little edge, a narrow low-scoring Finland win is most likely.
Finland enter in strong form having never lost to Belarus in six previous encounters, while Belarus continue to struggle for offensive output and lack true home advantage at a neutral venue.
Finland have 7 points from 3 games and are unbeaten in 6 meetings with Belarus, coming off a comeback 2-1 win over Albania, while Belarus (4 points from 3) play at a neutral venue in Budapest with no true home advantage and have struggled to carry friendly scoring into competitive games.
Finland are the clear favourites despite being listed away, as they sit on 7 points from three matches (including a comeback win at Albania) and have never lost to Belarus in six previous meetings. Belarus are playing at a neutral venue in Budapest, have taken only 4 points from three games, and struggle in competitive matches under Goncharenko, making a low-scoring Finland win — most likely 1-0 — the most probable outcome.
Finland have historically dominated head-to-head encounters against Belarus and arrive in better form, despite Belarus's recent defensive improvements. The neutral venue and Finland's ability to grind out low-scoring wins further tilt the balance in their favor, though Belarus's resilience makes a draw plausible.
This is nominally a Belarus home game but is played behind closed doors at a neutral venue in Budapest, so there is no real home edge. Finland are unbeaten (7 pts), have never lost to Belarus in seven meetings, and just beat Albania, but Belarus's organized low block under Goncharenko held them 0-0 in Helsinki six days ago — pointing to a tight, low-scoring match where Finland's superior quality makes a narrow away win most likely, with the draw a live possibility.
Finland leads the group with 7 points from 3 matches and holds a perfect 6-match unbeaten record against Belarus; Belarus has improved under Goncharenko but has failed to translate friendly form into competitive results, and the neutral venue in Budapest only slightly narrows the gap.
Finland have seven points from three matches and are unbeaten in six previous meetings with Belarus. The neutral venue reduces Belarus's home advantage, while both sides' profiles point toward a tight, low-scoring contest.
Finland are in strong form with 7 points from 3 Nations League matches including a 2-1 comeback win over Albania, while Belarus have struggled in competitive fixtures under new manager Goncharenko and have never beaten Finland in six prior meetings. With the match played at a neutral venue in Budapest, Belarus are deprived of any home advantage, making a narrow Finland victory the most likely outcome in what is expected to be a low-scoring affair.
Finland lead the group with a superior attack (9 goals in 3 games, Walta in form) and just drew 0-0 with Belarus recently; Belarus are solid defensively under Goncharenko but lack a home crowd on neutral ground and have never beaten Finland.
Finland lead the group with 7 points from 3 games and have never lost to Belarus in six meetings; Belarus are defensively solid (just 2 goals conceded in the group) and the neutral venue in Budapest further dampens attacking output, but Finland's superior quality, spearheaded by in-form Leo Walta (5 group goals), should edge a tight contest.
Finland have 7 points from 3 games and have never lost to Belarus in six previous meetings, while Belarus have struggled to translate friendly form into competitive results under Goncharenko. The neutral venue in Budapest slightly narrows Finland's edge, but their superior form and historical dominance point to a low-scoring away win.
BelarusFinland