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Armenia vs Montenegro — predictions and result

Armenia
90-minute result2–3
Montenegro
League C - 2Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic1–1
H30%D27%A43%
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek1–1
H30%D32%A38%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle1–1
H36%D31%A33%
MissedMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta1–1
H38%D28%A34%
MissedMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax1–1
H42%D30%A28%
MissedMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral1–1
H35%D30%A35%
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot1–1
H39%D28%A33%
MissedMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA1–1
H35%D30%A35%
MissedMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI1–1
H29%D32%A39%
CorrectMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba1–1
H34%D30%A36%
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI1–2
H33%D28%A39%
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi1–2
H30%D28%A42%
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai1–1
H31%D30%A39%
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Montenegro carry the stronger squad (Krstovic, Jovetic, Adzic) and a clear ranking edge, but Armenia have become awkward opponents in Yerevan and Montenegro rarely win big, so a tight, low-scoring game is likely with the visitors marginal favourites.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Montenegro arrive with stronger recent form and more attacking quality, while Armenia are missing several defenders and may sit deeper. Armenia's home edge and a cautious approach should keep it tight, but Montenegro hold a narrow edge to win.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Both sides possess similar quality in League C, with Armenia holding home advantage in Yerevan while Montenegro relies on experienced attacking options like Stevan Jovetic and Nikola Krstovic in an evenly matched encounter.

Muse Spark 1.2

Both teams won their openers and are level on points in League C Group 2 with Armenia top only on goal difference, so form is even; Armenia's home advantage and settled XI gives a slight edge but a tight, low-scoring draw is the single most likely scoreline.

MiniMax M3

Both Armenia and Montenegro won their opening League C Group 2 fixtures, indicating evenly matched squads with strong momentum. Armenia holds home advantage and a slight goal-difference edge, while Montenegro brings experienced attacking quality (Jovetic, Krstovic) and a settled4-4-2 shape, making a tight, low-scoring contest most likely with the draw the single most probable outcome.

Mistral Large 3

Both teams are evenly matched, having won their opening fixtures in the group, and show continuity in their lineups and tactics. Montenegro’s attacking setup, led by Stevan Jovetic, is balanced by Armenia’s organized approach, making a draw the most plausible outcome.

Kimi K3

Both sides won their Group C2 openers (Armenia 2-0 over Latvia, Montenegro over Cyprus), setting up a near-even clash between the group's top two. Armenia's home edge in Yerevan and Spertsyan's form (two goals in the 2-2 H2H friendly in June 2025) slightly offset Montenegro's greater pedigree (Krstovic, Savic, Jovetic), but Montenegro's relegation from League B and poor travel record keep this tight and low-margin.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Both sides won their opening Nations League fixtures and field settled, experienced line-ups; Armenia's home edge is offset by Montenegro's attacking quality (Jovetić, Krstović) and solid defensive spine (Savić, Vujačić), making a tight, low-scoring draw the single most likely outcome.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Montenegro have a modest overall quality advantage, particularly through their experienced defensive and attacking core, but Armenia’s home advantage narrows the gap. With no current tournament form to separate them, a low-scoring draw is the most likely exact scoreline.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Montenegro holds a slight edge in individual quality with experienced players like Jovetic and Savic, but Armenia's home advantage and both teams' winning starts to the campaign make this a tightly contested League C clash where a draw is highly probable.

Grok 4.5

Montenegro hold a clear quality and ranking edge (FIFA ~80 vs ~107) with stronger attackers (Krstović, Osmajić, Jovetić), yet Armenia are solid at home after a clean 2-0 win over Latvia and lead the H2H 2-1-1; expect a tight, relatively open contest decided by the visitors' superior finishing.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Montenegro possess the stronger overall squad (Jovetić, Krstović, Savić, Osmajić) and have shown resilience under Vučinić (W5 D1 L3 in 9 matches), though they needed a comeback to beat Cyprus 2-1. Armenia are buoyed by a comfortable 2-0 home win over Latvia and benefit from home advantage at the Vazgen Sargsyan Stadium, but their defensive fragility (14 conceded in 6 prior H2H meetings, the 1-9 Portugal collapse) gives Montenegro's attack an edge in what should be a competitive, open match.

GLM-5.2

Montenegro (FIFA #80) hold a clear quality edge under Vucinic with 5W-1D-3L in nine matches and a stronger squad featuring Jovetic, Savic, and Osmajic, but Armenia's home advantage and perfect home H2H record (two wins from two) keep this competitive enough for a draw to be the single most likely scoreline.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeArmenia
2.95
DrawLevel at 90′
3.14
AwayMontenegro
2.59