Toronto FC
Nashville SC| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H27%D29%A44% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H25%D30%A45% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–2 | H27%D29%A44% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–2 | H32%D28%A40% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H26%D32%A42% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–2 | H20%D28%A52% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–1 | H30%D26%A44% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–2 | H25%D30%A45% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 0–1 | H21%D27%A52% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H27%D30%A43% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–2 | H24%D28%A48% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 0–2 | H22%D28%A50% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–2 | H27%D30%A43% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Nashville are the league's strongest side with by far the best defence, but their away record has dipped since the World Cup break, while Toronto arrive on a six-game unbeaten run at BMO Field and have drawn eight of nineteen. Expect a tight, low-scoring game with Nashville edging the underlying quality but a stalemate the single most likely scoreline.
Nashville's league-best defence and superior season-long quality make them the likeliest winner, but Toronto's six-game unbeaten home run, draw-heavy profile and Nashville's one-win-in-four away form since the break keep a draw very live; Toronto's key injuries further cap the upset chance.
Nashville SC tops the Eastern Conference behind the league's stingiest defense and prolific finishing from Sam Surridge. While Toronto FC has proved tough to beat during their recent home run, the visitors possess the tactical quality to edge a close contest.
Nashville remain the league's best side on season metrics (+24 GD, 15 GA in 19) but their road form has dipped (1 win in 4 away since World Cup break) while Toronto bring a six-game unbeaten run to BMO Field and draw heavily (8 draws in 19), making a tight away win or stalemate most likely.
Nashville is the clearly superior side (1st in the East, +24 GD, stingiest defense in MLS at 15 GA), but research notes flag notable road struggles since the World Cup break (W1 of L4 away) while Toronto is on a six-game unbeaten run and has drawn 8 of 19 this season — an unusually high draw rate. Toronto's weak attack (26 GF) is unlikely to break down Nashville's elite defense, but home form and Nashville's travel issues keep a low-scoring draw live as the single most likely scoreline despite Nashville being the rightful favorite.
Nashville SC's superior form, defensive solidity, and league-leading status make them clear favorites, despite Toronto FC's recent unbeaten run and home advantage. Nashville's struggles on the road are offset by Toronto's inconsistent home performances and Nashville's stronger overall quality.
Nashville are the league's best side with an elite defense, but they've won only one of four road games since the World Cup break, while Toronto host on a six-game unbeaten run and a draw-heavy profile (8 in 19). Nashville's quality makes them slight favorites, but the venue and form trends point to a tight, low-scoring contest where 1-1 is the single most plausible scoreline.
Nashville SC tops the Eastern Conference with the league's best defense (15 GA in 19) but has won only 1 of 4 road matches since the World Cup break; Toronto FC carries a six-game unbeaten run into this home fixture, making a tight contest with the visitors edging it.
Nashville combine the league's strongest defensive record with far superior overall form, giving them the edge despite some recent road vulnerability. Toronto's draw-heavy profile and home advantage keep the stalemate probability significant.
Nashville SC leads the Eastern Conference with the league's best defense (15 GA in 19 games) and are clear favorites, but their away form has slumped to just one win in four road games since the World Cup break. Toronto FC are riding a six-game unbeaten run at BMO Field and draw at an exceptionally high rate (8 draws in 19 games), making a tight, low-scoring affair the most likely scenario.
Nashville lead the East with elite defense and attack while Toronto sit near the bottom despite a recent draw-heavy unbeaten run at home; Nashville's superior quality should prevail on the road even if recent away form has been patchy.
Nashville SC's historic defensive record and elite attacking trio (Surridge, Mukhtar, Espinoza) should overcome their recent road struggles against a Toronto side missing key midfielders and sitting 12th in the East; Toronto's 42% draw rate keeps the draw probability elevated, but Nashville's quality gap is too large.
Nashville SC are the league's best team with a +24 goal difference and only 15 goals conceded in 19 matches, but they've struggled on the road since the World Cup break (1 win in 4 away games). Toronto FC are on a six-game unbeaten run at home, which narrows the gap enough to make a draw a real possibility, though Nashville's overall quality should still edge it.
Toronto FCNashville SC