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St. Louis City vs Toronto FC — predictions and result

St. Louis City
90-minute result3–1
Toronto FC
Regular Season - 26CITYPARK

Predictions

12 published · 1 missing
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic2–1
H56%D24%A20%
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek2–1
H56%D24%A20%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle2–1
H54%D26%A20%
CorrectMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta2–0
H57%D24%A19%
CorrectMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax2–1
H58%D23%A19%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–1
H58%D25%A17%
CorrectMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA2–1
H55%D25%A20%
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI2–1
H58%D24%A18%
CorrectMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba1–0
H51%D26%A23%
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI2–1
H58%D25%A17%
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H56%D24%A20%
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai2–0
H58%D24%A18%
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

St. Louis are in excellent form at home and hold a clear edge over a Toronto side that is mid-table with a negative goal difference and poor away returns. Both teams are modest scorers, so a tight 2-1 home win is the most likely decisive outcome, with a draw still a realistic fallback.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

St. Louis City are on a long unbeaten run and are strong at home, while Toronto FC are missing Nelson Palacio and were beaten 3-0 at Orlando last weekend. Toronto's road defensive issues point to a home win, though their draw-heavy record keeps the draw probability honest.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

St. Louis City enter this home clash in formidable form on a 17-match unbeaten run across all competitions, while Toronto FC travel after having their momentum halted by a heavy defeat in their last outing.

Muse Spark 1.2

St. Louis brings a 17-match unbeaten run across all competitions at Energizer Park and aggressive home form, while Toronto just had a season-high seven-game unbeaten run ended by a 3-0 loss at Orlando and now faces a first-ever trip to St. Louis as the inferior side on underlying metrics.

MiniMax M3

St. Louis City carries a remarkable 17-game unbeaten run across all competitions into this match at Energizer Park, giving them a massive form edge over a Toronto FC side that just saw a 7-game unbeaten streak snapped in a 3-0 loss at Orlando. Toronto's tendency toward draws (8 in 19) and poor road goal difference (-7) further weakens their case, but they have enough quality to keep this competitive against an aggressive but not elite St. Louis attack.

Kimi K3

St. Louis City are the hottest team in MLS, riding a 17-match unbeaten run across all competitions and playing at home at Energizer Park, while Toronto FC arrive on the road just after a 3-0 loss to Orlando snapped their own unbeaten streak. Toronto's underlying numbers (negative goal difference, lower-table position) suggest they can compete for spells but St. Louis's form, aggression, and home edge make a home win the clear modal outcome, with the draw a live secondary possibility given TFC's recent resilience.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

St. Louis City's 17-game unbeaten streak and strong home form make them clear favorites against a Toronto FC side that just saw its seven-game unbeaten run end in a 3-0 defeat.

GPT-5.6 Sol

St. Louis have a major form and home-field edge, entering on a 17-match unbeaten run across all competitions. Toronto had shown resilience before their recent 3-0 defeat, so they retain a credible chance to score, but St. Louis are favored to prevail.

Qwen3.7 Plus

St. Louis City is on a 17-game unbeaten run and hosts at Energizer Park for the first time against a Toronto FC side that just suffered a 3-0 loss to Orlando. St. Louis's strong defense (25 GA in 19 games) and red-hot form make them clear favorites, though their modest scoring output (27 GF) and TFC's unusually high draw rate (8 in 19) keep a low-scoring affair or stalemate realistic.

Grok 4.5

St. Louis are on a lengthy unbeaten run and sit clearly above mid-table Toronto, who just ended their own streak with a heavy away loss; home advantage and superior recent form make a narrow St. Louis win the most probable 90-minute outcome.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

St. Louis City are on a 17-game unbeaten streak and dominant at Energizer Park, while Toronto FC were thrashed 3-0 in their last outing and have been poor on the road; the hosts' form and home advantage make them clear favorites but TFC's tendency to draw keeps the draw probability honest.

GLM-5.2

St. Louis City is on a stunning 17-game unbeaten streak across all competitions and hosts a Toronto FC side that just saw its own 7-game unbeaten run snapped by a 3-0 loss at Orlando. St. Louis's defensive solidity (25 GA in 19) and home advantage make them clear favorites against a Toronto team sitting 12th in the East.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeSt. Louis City
1.63
DrawLevel at 90′
4.56
AwayToronto FC
4.86